Politico follows on several reports yesterday about the White House moving deficit-reduction plans with their own story:
President Barack Obama plans to announce in next year’s State of the Union address that he wants to focus extensively on cutting the federal deficit in 2010 – and will downplay other new domestic spending beyond jobs programs, according to top aides involved in the planning.
The president’s plan, which the officials said was under discussion before this month’s Democratic election setbacks, represents both a practical and a political calculation by this White House.
On the practical side, Obama has spent more money on new programs in nine months than Bill Clinton did in eight years, pushing the annual deficit to $1.4 trillion. This leaves little room for big spending initiatives.
On the political side, Obama can help moderate Democrats avoid some tough votes in an election year and, perhaps more importantly, calm the nerves of independent voters who are voicing big concerns with the big spending and deficits. Even if Obama succeeds – and that’s a big if – it will be tough for many Democrats to sell themselves as deeply concerned about spending after voting for the stimulus, the bailouts, the health care legislation and a plan to address global warming, four enormous government programs.
On the practical side, all of that spending was temporary thus far, as part of the stimulus package. And practically every economist in the world recognized its necessity. And it worked, even though it was too small. Which is why everyone looking seriously at the problem recognizes that more public investment is required. Including President Obama, who announced that jobs summit yesterday. Even in this reporting, jobs programs is exempted from this proposed freeze on new domestic spending. That strongly suggests there will be a jobs bill coming.
On the political side, see above. If unemployment is at double digits on November 2010 the Democrats will take big losses. Everybody knows this. Pleasing some imagined middle with spending cuts in the midst of a job-loss recovery, when such cuts would clearly increase joblessness, is a form of political suicide.
Voters tend to “voice concern” about deficits every time there’s a Democratic President – even when the President in question is cutting the deficit. That’s because there’s a well-funded cottage industry designed to ramp up fears about deficits and block a progressive domestic agenda. Obama was in a decent position to reject that because of the recession, but he’s reportedly ceding to it now.
To be clear, there is a progressive case to be made for deficit reduction. But that’s not what the fiscal scold industry is pushing. They mean to slash entitlements and return seniors to living on cat food because “we can’t afford it.” There’s no talk of tax fairness or restraining the military budget here. They link deficit mania directly to Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security. In the case of Medicare and Medicaid, health reform is the only way to get that under control. In the case of Social Security, there simply is no crisis that cannot be fixed with exceedingly minor tweaks.
The worst part of all this is that Congress is acting like an innocent bystander, demanding that the President focus on jobs and the deficit (two competing goals at this point) without proposing anything solid of their own. They don’t want to be held responsible for any hard choices that would have to be made or that would crowd out the well-manicured boondoggles they’ve set up for their contributors over the years, so suddenly legislating is a Presidential problem.
The cult of the presidency has obscured the fact that Congress is the biggest obstacle to new job-creating policy. Do Congressional leaders think that the president would veto a jobs tax credit if they passed one, or refuse to sign a package of fiscal aid to states? It’s a sad day when Congress is apparently sitting around and fretting until the White House comes to do the legislating for them. Of course, I understand the value of having the White House publicly pulling for a piece of legislation, and importance of coordinating with the executive branch, but it is still crazy to suggest that Obama is the one gumming up the process here.
It’s all comes down to our dilettante congress, happy to punt the hard decisions on almost everything to almost anyone — Medicare Commissions for Medicare! Budget Commissions for the Budget! — and then complain about the deficit while trying to lift the estate tax or refusing to cut agricultural subsidies, much less considering sensible ideas about reforming the charitable deduction so it applies fairly to all citizens. People joke about Obama’s summits, but that is apparently the new requirement for Congress to do anything these days, so direct your scorn down Pennsylvania Ave a few more blocks.
That said, as long as Congress abdicates its responsibility there’s a lot that Obama could be doing. And moving into the fiscal hawk phase this soon out of a recovery that hasn’t yet created one new job would be a severe mistake. There’s a role for deficit reduction – really, the price of borrowed money could strangle us down the line – but not until employment numbers return to a robust point. Jim Horney of the CBPP is right:
“If we try to reduce the deficit much below what’s been projected, we really run the risk of undercutting the recovery,” said Jim Horney, director of fiscal policy at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal think tank.



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Politico is heavily invested in this President’s failure, and it’s important to keep that in mind when reading.
I think that there are a lot of things that could be cut especially in the area of outside contracts.
If this is indeed a trial balloon for deficit hawking, it might be good to start hollering about it. That being said, Teddy is right: The Politico has its own agenda, and it’s not necessary America’s.
Hasn’t created ONE
Hasn’t created ONE NEW JOB ?????????
Might want to do some checking around the country –
Sorry for the error — first time responding –
“That said, as long as Congress abdicates its responsibility there’s a lot that Obama could be doing.” ; well said David and other commenters have already noted the rag that ‘politico’ is; the ‘National Enquirer’ of the beltway.
If the Right Wingers have all the answers to the economy and fiscal idealogy then why did the economy start bleeding jobs and plunge into a recession in October of 2007 after all of this wonderful conservative legislation:?
2002 – Job Creation and Worker Assistance Act of 2002
2003 – Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003
2004a – Working Families Tax Relief Act of 2004
2004b – American Jobs Creation Act of 2004
2006 – Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act of 2005 (enacted in 2006
Recreating 1938 isn’t wise. FDR cut the federal budget and the economy contracted more than 10%.
Hey there, welcome
If we cut the war budget and reinvest that money in domestic programs including job development, infrastructure repairs and upgrades we’ll be FAR ahead of where we are today.
Course, Hades would be much cooler when any of THAT happens.
Sci Fi’s commission demand is a harbinger of what all entitlement programs are gonna come under, and it’s a siege mentality.
But hey, we can hope, still.
Sorta.
So far.
Also.
“Pleasing some imagined middle with spending cuts”
Guess what? We’re not imagined….we’re very real.
I know you people hate to pay for anything and you love to spend, spend, spend. But eventually there is a limit. That limit will likely be reached before Obama leaves office in 2016. It will not be pretty.
Ah, I do so love it when it becomes a “you people” comment.
Of course, as YOU people always fail to mention, we wouldn’t have been in this situation if YOU people had actually stood up for those supposed deficit hawk principles I keep hearing about (but seeing no actual evidence of) when BushCo started pissing away lives and billions on invasions and occupations of choice in the Middle East and Western part of Asia. To say nothing about the trillion dollar bankster bailout that was pushed through Congress with no rules, checks, or balances. Edit: And noting that the bankster bailout without conditions was done under the BushCo wathc before someone mentions PBO.
What say ye, oh Caesar’s wife? Are you only now above reproach or were you just a cheerleader with no principles?
Not just Obama and the Congress but the people don’t understand that the best way to address the debt and deficits is to put the Country back to work, solve and fix our problems, and replace those that stand in the way of that.
Yet here again we are all worried about what is being spent, and no one is thinking of ways to make the money to solve the prolems.
Some of the worst complainers are the ones who caused the problems. The Republican defucit hawks, are the worst.
Thank God! I am glad he has decided to become a defecit hawk because that will ensure his economic recovery plan wont work and he and the dems will be out of power by 2013. Seriously, have we ever had a president as double minded as this one? There is not enough money in the private system to sustain our economy and turning off the government spigott is going to worsen not improve the economy. Obama kills me thinking he is going to win over those voters who dont approve of him, his people pleasing is a serious flaw for a president to have. Instead of flip flopping to attract votes in the middle why doesnt he focus on doing what he said he wld do during the campaign? If saying what he was going to do got him elected I wld think that doing what he said wld keep him in office. Obama is too double minded for this job.
Well, I am not surprised at all by this.
Based on Obama’s reluctance to do much of anything progressive, and teh way he has to be dragged kicking and screaming to do the right thing, I can’t think of any reason why anyone would be suprised by this. I am really getting the feeling having watched him for a while that he thinks he knows more then we do, and is smarter then we are. If you think back with how he has spoken to progressives in various issues, it is like he can’t understand why we just don’t listen to him.
I am getting very uncomfortable with the man and growing distrustful of his dedication to help the less privelleged and down-trodden. He has the levers to positive things, but his reluctance and language speaks volumes. If he starts to cut spending, then it is time to put the pressure on him full-court press, or run someone against him in 2012, Howard Dean maybe?
He seems to understand nothing about history. We don’t need Herber Hoover or FDR in 1938. If he can’t get that, then we need to run someone against him wh does! I am sick of the man. We voted for him based on who had presented to us as the real him. If he won’t get with his own program, then what is the point?
I know that the article emphasizes domestic spending, but I’m hoping this is the beginning of a PR campaign to sell slashes in defense spending. I don’t see any economic recovery happening in the near future, so I don’t believe Obama will want to make many domestic cuts – I think he’s keenly aware of Keynsian economics and the lesson of FDR in 1937. Let’s declare peace and come home, and then reap the dividend.
If You really want the people who caused the problems back in power, you are more of a problem than they are.
This is not the time to think about deficit reduction unless the real goal is to destroy any possibility for economic recovery. The banks still aren’t lending and Main Street is still dead. The signs of a recovery are all due to the Fed’s low interest rates and propping up too big to fail investment houses and banks, plus the cash for clunkers and first-time home buyer’s credit programs. The real unemployment rate is pushing 20% and still climbing. Now is the time to increase spending, not the time to cut spending.
Ask Krugman, Stiglitz, and Roubini, if you don’t believe me. Summers is an idiot. Pity that Obama only has ears for him, the Republican non-factor opposition, and the Blue Dogs. You can say one thing about Obama: he listens to whiners and ignores smart people who know what they are talking about and want to help him.
You’ve got it wrong (as usual). I never voted for Bush or any Republican for president ever. I voted for Obama last year.
Still, the truth remains. You’ve got to pay your bills.
As with health care reform, Obama was much too timid with the first stimulus package. He should have gone for broke then. It’s simple common sense: when bargaining, reach for the sky, then slowly make concessions as necessary (if necessary).