Indulge me for a minute while I talk California state politics. I swear there’s a lesson for everyone…
John Garamendi, the state’s Lieutenant Governor, won election to Congress earlier this month. Arnold Schwarzenegger has the opportunity to appoint a replacement, who must then be confirmed by the Senate. He named that replacement last night on the Jay Leno Show (I’m sure announcing a Constitutional officer in state politics did wonders for Jay’s ratings): a guy named Abel Maldonado.
This is important for one big reason. There are 26 districts out of 40 in the California state Senate which have major Democratic registration advantages. And there are two swing districts. Because of the insane 2/3 rules to pass a budget or raise taxes, Democrats need 27 votes on the most important pieces of legislation. And they even hold one of the swing districts. But they’re two votes short of a 2/3 majority right now because of two seats in the central part of the state, held by Republicans Jeff Denham and… Abel Maldonado.
If Democrats didn’t botch a recall effort against Denham and actually run somebody against Maldonado in 2008, they might have that 2/3 majority already. But Denham is termed out next year, and there’s already a credible Democratic candidate expected to win that seat. So Maldonado getting the LG position and vacating his seat sets Democrats up to win 2/3 in the Senate, without too much trouble. They’d have a great Senate candidate too – John Laird, the former chair of the Assembly Budget Committee. Registration advantage is major in these huge state Senate districts, which are bigger than Congressional districts, and Dems hold a 41-34 edge.
But that would all be too easy, given personal jealousies and career advancement. Maldonado is considered a “moderate” in the Senate Republican caucus, because he only votes 90% of the time with his party, and he actually bothers to ask for outrageous pieces of pork or personal favors when it comes down to budget time, getting them in exchange for his holdout vote. Because of this heresy, he could never win a statewide Republican primary straight-up, and he has designs on higher office. Schwarzenegger is appointing him so he has the power of incumbency in a statewide LG run.
(Maldonado actually forced an open primary law onto the ballot next year as a chit for last year’s budget vote, so he could get decline-to-state votes in a future primary. He also tried to run on the Democratic AND Republican ballot lines last year. He’s a horrible person.)
Now Denham, who is also running for LG next year, will probably clean his clock in the primary. But there is a Democrat running for LG as well, the current Senate Majority Leader, Dean Florez. And he doesn’t want to go up against a perceived moderate in a statewide race. So he’s looking to actually torpedo the Maldonado nomination and the chance at a 2/3 Democratic majority in the Senate because of personal aggrandizement. Here’s his statement:
It is especially troubling to see the Governor miss out on an opportunity to save taxpayer money by rewarding Senator Maldonado with a post that could be left open until the next election only months away.
At minimum, since the Lieutenant Governor seat was held by a Democrat, appointing a Republican to the post only complicates and heightens the partisan divide.
The Governor has put Senator Maldonado in a difficult position to say the least. I don’t see the Senate confirming him.
Nice tactic there, Dean, saying that the LG position is so meaningless that it could be left open for a year, while at the same time running to be the LG.
Florez, as Majority Leader, may get some support for blocking the nomination of Maldonado, which is purely a selfish play. The term limits in California are very short, and if you want to move on from the Senate, it helps to have a friend in high places. Florez might be that friend, and a vote favorable to him now might pay off later.
So this is where we are. California is dying on the vine, with projected $20 billion deficits for years and years, debt service swallowing all ability to provide state services, a catastrophic shortfall in the state unemployment insurance fund and a 30% fee hike in the state university system. This is a decaying state. And the one way out is somehow getting around the minority veto that forces the state to be run like Grover Norquist is in charge. But when the picture-perfect opportunity comes around to actually get that 2/3 majority in one chamber of the legislature, they may piss it away over one man’s career aspirations.
Days like these make me want to move…




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Any Democrat who can’t hang an appointment by Arnold around Abel’s neck in the November 2010 elections doesn’t deserve the Lite-Guv job. I mean, Arnold’s approvals are at 20%. Should Abel escape the GOP primary (unlikely) he’ll be clobbered in the general, and should be made to wear Arnold’s appointment like a scarlet letter.
I’ve written to my Senator, Mark Leno (no relation to Jay) and asked him to support the nomination. It’s the only sensible thing to do.
David, once again a great insight to an incredible issue.
As a Sacto person, I’m with you.
We’re fucked so bad, and now this . . . .
Teh stoopid, huh.
Thanks for all yer work, hoss.
It’s in no way any different than ‘any’ other politics as usual. Shameless self-interrest, dollar-billed morals and any lack of a conscience or accountabillity are the New American Way (r)
Been watching this California meltdown for awhile now. I lived there for a while and my mom and sister still does.
Oh, and the census worker found hanged has been ruled a suicide. Cops are good at solving suicides.
I surely question all of that finding, although have YET to read the DETAILS of why they ruled a naked man, was hung, out in the woods, of his own free will.
S’rsly???
What about the amendment that makes a majority vote possible for budgets?
California is a mess. And as long as it takes 2/3 to get something done, it will stay a mess. The Rs just vote no on everything and that’s the end of it. The infrastructure is in terrible condition.
I heard he tried to make it look like an attack so his family could get the insurance.
Here’s Steinberg on the Maldonado issue. LINK.
Here’s something fun: a package of “reforms” by a centrist group of wankers would foreclose this option by upping the requirement to 2/3 for use fees, which would invalidate a landmark court agreement known as Sinclair Paints that forces businesses to participate in spending for the consequences of their actions.
There’s an amendment in CA, returning rule from the minority to the majority for budget issues. I can’t find the link where I thought I heard it, though. Lakoff was involved in crafting the language.
Marcy Wheeler is upstairs!
CIA Met with White House about How to Respond to Jane Harman’s Torture Warnings
Oh wow . . . hadn’t seen that . . . geez . . . .
What if that’s not the case, and it’s the insurance people paying shit off and spinning the reality so they don’t HAVE to pay?
(tinfoilengaged)
Keyyyyy richhhhhssstttt . . . what could the Dem, and Senate Majority Leader Steinberg be up to to NOT approve Maldonado, and lead CA into a 2/3 rejection?
Guess I’ll hafta go read and get updates on all this.
As MSM goes, McClatchy Newspapers are better n most on foreign affairs and other domestic issues, but on THIS one they fail to detail WHY Steinberg might oppose Maldonado’s confirmation as Lite Gov and risk gaining a majority in the 2/3rd’s struggle.
Makes ME wonder. A lot.
Ok, edit is fritzing on me.
Here’s The Link To Calitics Dot Com
i hear ya david — i did move and i do not regret it at all.
i can actually afford to live on my retirement now that i am out of california and living in oregon. what a concept!
I’d have to say the cops got this one right. I’ve seen suicides like this, but without the fancy tape job. Many erotic asphyxiation cases look like this too, including some binding. Feet on the ground, all they have to do is stand up. He must have really wanted to die.
Yeah, its been wiggy for a while. Sometimes I have to go as far as shut FF down and start over and still no guarantee my edit will appear. Weird.
Eli is upstairs!
At Least We Agree On The Problem…
Here’s his statement on his website. LINK.
(It’s an add-looking website address, so if you don’t get through just google and go to his official page. Link to the statement is right there.)
I guess we could call tomorrow, assuming the office will be open.
Day late and a dollar short on this one. If, and it is a substantial if, the CA Democrats could seize a couple more state senate seats they won’t hold them for long. Last November’s Prop 11 set up an “independent” commission to oversee redistricting following the 2010 census, and this will hand any number of State Senate and House districts back to Republicans destroying any hope of beating the 2/3 rule for state taxes and with that any hope of sensible budgeting and other needed progressive reforms.
For decades a coalition of smart CA Democrats, starting with Willie Brown and continuing under Phil Burton, played the Republicans like a fiddle, showing them how they could individually be “safe” while slowly, slowly, pulling the rug out from under the Republican Party as a whole through clever and prescient gerrymandering. With just one more redistricting cycle we would have had the 2/3 legislative margin we needed to start fixing this horrible mess, and likely with a Democratic governor to boot.
But while most CA liberals saw Prop 11 for what it was, another VRWC lie designed to keep their minority in a position of obstructionist power, enough misguided idealistic liberals supported the measure to turn it into law.
Does gerrymandering stink, regardless of the political party doing the deed? Yes, it does. But what is far more damaging than a bad odor is handing back power to the obstructionist Republicans and continuing our slide into chaos. Last November, a significant portion of the CA Left cut off their heads to spite their nose. Foolish, beyond imagining.
The Democrats have had the resources and time to address the 2/3 budget problem but have only hemmed and hawed.
Like during the recall, the Democrats just stood there on the tracks as the train barreled down on them saying “this is not happening, this is not happening.” My assembly member, Mark Leno, told me how expensive the recall would be when I asked him what that they were doing to brace for a fight. As if people would give Gray Davis a pass on being pathetic because it would cost too much to get rid of him?
The reason why nothing ever gets done in California is that everyone’s trying to climb the greased pole and they’ve figured out that they can’t do that via policy accomplishment–pisses off too many people–so they determine who’s going to move up by a series of elaborate social posturing rituals.
Ca Majority Rule. They have a good idea but not a lot of money.
Well to be honest I think 32% tuition increase will empower students like never before, that can only help Dems.
We can either just get the 2/3rd’s and overpower them or change the law.
I’ll bet on the former happening sooner rather than later. (sorry watching newest Top Gear , don’t ask how if you don’t know….)
Just spell out what we need to do and yes I know some of the Dems are just running in place and they need a cattle prod in the rear end.
We need to get this done and pass Single Payer Cali style too.
You’ve correctly highlighted the problem with politics in general today: self-serving politicians. They routinely pass up the opportunity to do the right thing for their constituents and posterity in favor of what will enhance their personal wealth and/or power in the short term. Isn’t that precisely what is driving people like Joe Lieberman, Ben Nelson, Blanche Lincoln, et al.? There’s little question about what the People want and what would be best for the nation, but their actions are based upon what will put money in their pockets or get them re-elected. Does anyone doubt that each and every fence-sitter would happily scuttle the future of health care in America for a sizable “campaign contribution”?
The problem with California’s 2/3 majority: even if Dems are able to fill the requisite number of seats, the leverage afforded an obstructor is not diminished. In the US Senate today, it is the Democrats who are endangering progress for personal gain. What would stop California Dems from doing the very same thing, i.e., hold out on or sink the efforts of the majority in exchange for “campaign contributions” from corporate lobbyists? The self-serving Dems are the People’s worst enemies at the national level; they could prove to be the same at the state level in Cali.
I couldn’t see any light at the end of California’s tunnel, so I packed up & moved after forty years of residence. The state politicians seem absolutely determined to drive it into the ground, to finish the downward spiral induced by Reagan (may his name be cursed for all time!) with his disastrous Prop 13 scam.
Ummm…
Couldn’t you guys get behind a sort of omnibus reform ballot initiative that would:
1)repeal the 2/3 rule for budgets
2)repeal Prop 13
3)repeal term limits
4)repeal the ballot initiative process
Is the problem that CA voters haven’t had enough? What more would it take to convince them that what they have now isn’t working?