Nancy Pelosi has been intimating that she could pick up some votes for the health care bill from conservative Democrats and Blue Dogs when it comes out of conference. I don’t see how the dynamics which led those Democrats to vote against health care on the first pass have changed to any degree to free them up to vote for it this time around. Jane offers a pretty good explanation of that. Blue Dogs didn’t vote against health care originally because of particular pieces of the policy, they voted against it because of perceived risks to their re-election prospects and the fact that they have no interest in passing any kind of health care reform whatsoever.

This was confirmed by Rep. Bobby Bright yesterday, when he revealed that he still opposed the health care bill, even the Senate’s version that does not include a public option.

“After it comes back from conference committee, unless it significantly reduces the expense that I know it’s going to add to our budget, I will not be able to support it,” Bright said.

He restated his opposition to a public option and told Kiwanis attendees he was “proud” the Senate’s version did not include one but said the Senate bill is still “entirely too expensive.” [...]

“When your budget’s in a bind, you don’t continue to borrow and you don’t continue to tack on. Even though we all probably want to see every American to have access to quality health care; we also realize that right now, our economy is in a state that we can’t afford additional financial burdens.”

This really doesn’t make a lot of sense. Even a negative reading of the health care bill still must acknowledge that it cuts the deficit, by $132 billion dollars in the first ten years and by much more thereafter. Rejecting the bill because of the cost is a cop-out and a total misreading. It suggests that Bright is just looking for a reason to oppose.

Bright comes from an R +16 district. There’s simply no way that he’s voting for this bill. And there are at least 25 others like him. Given all of the other issues facing the conference committee – immigration, abortion, the public option, financing – making sure 15 other Democrats will not join them will be a tall order for the House leadership.