Ben Smith’s latest on Jonathan Gruber’s disclosure problems makes a very salient point – while disclosure would be expected in cases of traditional media mentions of Gruber, in the case of the New England Journal of Medicine, they have a formal process for disclosure:
Gruber pointed out that he’d disclosed the contract in the New England Journal of Medicine’s formal disclosure process, but the disclosure does not appear in any number of other places: beside his quotations in newspapers and magazines supporting the plan, including a Ron Brownstein piece the White House pushed hard; under a recent Washington Post op-ed; and beside crucial statements, such as his dismissal of an insurance industry study, which was part of a successful administration fight to discredit the study [...]
“The [New England Journal of Medicine] asked me, so I disclosed it. Nobody else really asked,” Gruber told me a few minutes ago, adding that the journal article was “the most important” to disclose because it was an explicit defense of the plan.
Presumably NEJM had the same formal disclosure process back in July of this year. Back then, Gruber wrote this article. It actually appeared in the July 2, 2009 print edition, but was on the website by June 10, 2009.
At that time, Gruber was under a $95,000 federal contract to HHS the first of his two this year. The article discusses the employer deduction, and essentially what has led to the excise tax on “Cadillac” plans.
This is what’s so important about Gruber’s lack of disclosure. Virtually every discussion of the controversial “Cadillac tax” features Gruber as the main defender. John Kerry, who is credited with designing the tax on insurance companies, wrote just today at the Huffington Post about the Cadillac tax, and the only economist he cited was Jonathan Gruber. Bob Casey, on the floor of the Senate, talked about how savings in health reform, partially through this tax, would raise wages, using data from… Jonathan Gruber. Here’s the money quote.
That is Dr. Gruber at MIT, not my words, not the words or the analysis of some Senator or House Member on one side of the debate or the other.
Austin Frakt has a defense of the theory that premium prices affect wages (that always is “proven” in one direction, noting that the rising costs of premiums lead to cuts in wages, but the reverse, that lowering premiums for employers would lead to concomitant rises in wages, is often assumed) and he cites several peer-reviewed journals on the subject, including two from… Jonathan Gruber.
Gruber is at the center of virtually every discussion of this particular financing element of health reform, and yet he doesn’t disclose when writing about it that he’s being paid by the Administration? And he doesn’t mention it to the New England Journal of Medicine back in June, which has a strict disclosure policy?
This looks like a serious breach of professional ethics.
FDL News has contacted the NEJM for a comment, we’ll let you know if they respond.
UPDATE: One of the amusing sidelights to this is that we know much about Jonathan Gruber’s contracts with HHS because of the new website USASpending.gov, created so the public would get some transparency over the federal contracting process.
You know who co-sponsored that law?
Tom Coburn and then-Senator Barack Obama.
UPDATE II: Jennifer Zeis, a NEJM spokesperson, has emailed a response, but it’s incomplete:
Jon Gruber’s article was published Online First on June 10, 2009; this is noted under “Source Information” on the article’s page. So this article was published before the contract was awarded.
That’s true. But he was at the time already operating under a separate contract that was awarded on March 25 and didn’t end until July 25 (scroll down). I’ve asked NEJM to clarify that.
UPDATE III: Here are the NEJM’s guidelines for disclosure:
“Public trust in the peer-review process and the credibility of published articles depend in part on how well conflict of interest is handled during writing, peer review, and editorial decision making. Conflict of interest exists when an author (or the author’s institution), reviewer, or editor has financial or personal relationships that inappropriately influence (bias) his or her actions (such relationships are also known as dual commitments, competing interests, or competing loyalties). These relationships vary from negligible to great potential for influencing judgment. Not all relationships represent true conflict of interest. On the other hand, the potential for conflict of interest can exist regardless of whether an individual believes that the relationship affects his or her scientific judgment. Financial relationships (such as employment, consultancies, stock ownership, honoraria, and paid expert testimony) are the most easily identifiable conflicts of interest and the most likely to undermine the credibility of the journal, the authors, and of science itself. However, conflicts can occur for other reasons, such as personal relationships, academic competition, and intellectual passion.
All participants in the peer-review and publication process must disclose all relationships that could be viewed as potential conflicts of interest. Disclosure of such relationships is also important in connection with editorials and review articles, because it can be more
difficult to detect bias in these types of publications than in reports of original research. Editors may use information disclosed in conflict-of-interest and financial-interest statements as a basis for editorial decisions. Editors should publish this information if they believe it is important in judging the manuscript.




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This is terrible. I have long felt there was something not right about Gruber. Academicians are usually very cautious with their professional opinions but this guy was clearly into the politics. He crossed the line, perhaps several lines. Sadly, these revelations come too late to stop the health reform monstrosity.
bmull, let’s hope that the disclosure came in time to effect how the final bill looks. These revelations might have come just in time in weighing negotiations between the House, Senate and White House.
One word for Gruber: scumbag.
FDL rocks on this. Triple team the shit outta him.
Marcy likes rugby so this is probably fun for her. Watch out for her cleats!
Rugby is less violent than American Football. In Rigby one th eperson with hte ball can be tackled. Scrums are tough, but not violent.
It’s wonderful to be smart and talented and also dishonest.
There are so many willing to hire such a person.
He may well not be bound by any ethics committee that has real teeth. I find his giving actuarial opinions – and there being received with respect – amazing.
The problem is that Gruber is not an actuary – he serves on the Massachusetts Connector (the universal coverage for health body) but that bodies actuary is Ian Duncan, FSA FIA FCIA MAAA, President, Solucia Inc.
I am a retired actuary – an insurance actuary – and Gruber does not know what the hell he is talking about.
Yet Gruber claims a rise in “actuarial value” from 60% to 70% – yet that term is well defined to mean something other than what he uses it for. He is claiming a larger percentage of total health costs in a small sub-group – the nearly poor- will be either paid or partially paid – it is unclear – by insurance – with no reference as to ability to pay or what is needed care. I do not know why the aversion to hiring real actuaries as consultants – and instead using studies by actuaries for ins co clients who dictate how the results are to be presented (I note the health industry study for the ins co’s by PriceWaterhouseCoopers who went public with fact the data was mis-used/mis-represented – which is what happens with a strong actuarial ethics board). But to use a study by a non actuary, with all due respect to professional health economists and policy persons, is a bit suspect.
David,
Here is the text from the NEJM disclosure form on what must be disclosed. The form is common to original articles and perspectives (this one by Jonathan Gruber is a perspective) but not to review articles or editorials which have a separate policy. I’m bolding something you should be aware of, if you, Jason, and Marcy want to continue trying to do this:
Be very careful. You are attempting to professionally discredit a researcher, you better have your ducks in a row.
Did anyone catch the update that Ben Smith added to his post on Gruber’s response?
Gruber’s disclosure
Slinkerwink first mentioned this on her Kos diary.
Sorry to be OT but I just heard on Ed Schultz of a company that has American made clothes, jeans, polo shirts, sweatshirts etc. for both men and women. For anyone interested in U.S. made clothing pass along. Put American workers back to work.
http://www.allamericanclothing.com/SFNT.html
Gruber did two stories for NEJM. They were both the same type of article. He disclosed the HHS relationship in one, not the other. During the time of both articles, he was in a paid relationship with HHS.
I don’t think I’ve ever taken the time to say what an awesome team FDL has. You’re all great at what you do, and the posts today are a perfect example of that. Thanks for your work.
As for Gruber, it bugs me that I wasn’t suspicious of him before. I should know better by now. Lily Tomlin is right: no matter how cynical you get, you just can’t keep up.
And NEJM accepted and published the first one, and the editors on the author information pages explicitly state that the ultimate responsibility for the article being properly disclosed is theirs. The author has furthermore stated that he disclosed the second time because those editors asked him to. The para I quoted were the rules he read before filling out his disclosure form. Find the place where he needs to disclose HHS money or proceed with greater caution. You may just be framing FDL instead of Jonathan Gruber. Because you may just come off looking like the climate denier hackers if he didn’t need to disclose and you caught him not doing something he didn’t need to do.
Mr. Dayen, can you offer any insight if perhaps there is any nexuus between Gruber and NIH’s Zeke Emmanuel’s input about health care reform?
It may not be too late to kill the “Cadillac” tax, thereby making the “monstrosity” ever-so-slightly-less monstrous. Pelosi claims to be pushing back on it, and the union leaders would no doubt love to have some ammunition to use against it as well. I don’t suppose they’re all following Marcy’s work on this as avidly as the rest of us, but someone could bring it to their attention. If anyone knows any staffers for any of the players in this bout, please let them know!
i agree re gruber. but jason has been pitching gruber’s
bullshitstatements and reports since at least the beginning of november (see my links on marcy’s thread here for some examples of the ensuing, um, discussions we’ve had).“Contract Description HP-09-015 (CONTINUATION OF TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE FOR EVALUATING OPTIONS FOR NATIONAL HEALTHCARE REFORM)”
___
So, what exactly would be HHS’s skin in this game?
It’s an HHS contract. Other than that, I guess nothing.
In the spring it would be great to see 500,000 people in front of the Capitol and the WH wearing American made clothing and beating on American made pots creating a racket and catching the attention of pundits and politicians alike. It’s a tactic that’s been used in Latin America to great effect. The range of issues would clearly run the gamut, from saving the American worker, accountability for criminals in government and Wall Street, real health care reform, tax reform, immigration reform, net neutrality, a new green economy, the list is almost endless.
I would also say that since Gruber disclosed the second contract, it would seem that HE views an HHS contract as something that has to be disclosed.
I guess I’m just asking whether the insinuation is that HHS expects him to slant stuff in favor of the Cadillac tax? That, by virtue of an HHS contract, he’s an Obama shill?
I don’t think “all relationships that could be viewed as potential conflicts of interest” allows much room for doubt in this instance. If it did there would not have been disclosure for the same relationship in December ’09. Furthermore, the guidelines read, “If doubt exists, it is best to err on the side of publication.”
Shorter Gruber,
I own this intellectual model which is secret and unique and be paid $300,000 for this propriety by the HHS. My integrity is not for sale. Yeh, right!
have you read gruber’s nov reports on premium costs? the guy discredits himself.
Awareness of actual or potential bias, including the researcher’s own, that might skew results is always at the forefront of a researcher’s mind, non?
Moreover, this is not about the research, per se. That’s a different thread. This is about Gruber’s disclosure of conflicts of interest that would allow readers, legislators and the public to gauge for themselves the credibility of his conclusions.
As for the tits for tats on these pages, I can only imagine they pale in comparison to the academic attacks, administered in the disguise of polite conversation, that take place every afternoon in the Harvard or MIT faculty lounge.
I guess we owe Armstrong Williams and Maggie Gallagher an apology. Apparently they did nothing wrong.
Maybe Obama can invite them over for a beer.
The problem is mostly on the side of Gruber and the media, in my view. You cannot have one person constantly cited in the health reform debate without noting that he has a financial relationship with the Administration pushing the same health solutions as him. Every reporter who has learned of this who previously cited Gruber in the past said they will disclose in the future, and would have had they known. The fact that Gruber has changing standards for disclosure – “I told them if they asked me” – is also a problem.
The general public does not generally know the kind of backscratching taking place in these national debates.
Yeah, OK, but,
“the Administration pushing the same health solutions as him.”
I worked two tenures for an HHS contractor (CMS/Medicare QIO, and may about to be going back for a 3rd, again doing HIT work). I am dubious that HHS is “pushing” a Cadillac tax, that they are a lockstep institutional Obama administration adjunct.
Not to say that HP-09-015 isn’t “academic welfare” in which this guy gets to spout his partisan stuff partially on our dime.
Ahh rugby. A high school buddy of mine and his plastic surgeon dad both played in a rec ruby league. After every game, the doc would be out by his truck with his medical bag, stitching up players from both teams.
Gruber’s $400,000 contract is pretty impressive, that’s what the president makes in a year (and of course every other federal employee makes less than that). Its pretty ballsy, him saying that “NONE of the work I have done in public, or any public declarations I (have) made, has been in any way funded by the administration,” which is true of course. He was funded by the taxpayers.
Are there no other health economists who have analyzed the features of these bills and their overall effects? It wouldn’t be so bad if this one person made mistakes or fudged things if we had other voices in the room.
When the Blue Dogs yell for cost control they are only going to be effective if they have valid numbers.
There is no sport (save for various forms of motorsports) that is as violent as football, esp. the NFl version. Two guys going flat out can have a combined impact speed of 25-30 mph. I used to work in pro football. If I took the average fan down on the sidelines and they heard the actual sounds they’d puke. There’s a particular sound that results from some collisions; the only way I’ve been able to describe it is a cross between an orgasmic moan and a death rattle. There are times when you get hit when you can feel your internal organs bouncing around.
Beats me. I don’t think the collective FDL has what it needs to go after this guy’s professional career. Until then, they should stick to trying to criticize and find fault with his analysis.
That USASPENDING site is pretty neat. This isn’t a typical “federal funding source” issue where a university researcher goes through a competitive grant process. For one thing, I’m dubious that most federal research checks are made out to the professor personally and not to the university. Gruber is listed as “sole proprietorship” (“invalid code”) AND a “non-profit organization” (this guy should be doing tax consulting for Geitner). I can’t speak for the HSS, but many government entities allow nonprofits to get around the competitive bids, could just be HHS staff didn’t know what category to put a “sole proprietorship”. I search back through 2000, he has three federal contracts, the earliest of which started in March. Now this is the kind of financial chart you want in your business plan.
The contracts were sole-source “Negotiated Proposal / Quote” for “541990: All Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Service” that wasn’t competitively big because it was a “Unique Source”. Apparently economics is an art and not a science.
Let’s see, The grant by the office of political appointee (“Office of the Assistant Secretary of Health except national centers” which apparently is a “disused code”) well what do you know– the Assistant Secretary is another Cambridge lad. Dr. Howard Koh came from Harvard School of Public Health. To be fair, Dr. Koh is a well respected physician (he was Gov. Weld’s health commissioner) and wasn’t nominated until a month after Gruber received his first (of three) federal contracts. However Dr. Koh is the poor guy the Republicans are going to hammer at congressional hearings.
OK, back to the “sole proprietorship” for a minute, its an invalid code and nothing comes up and searching back to 2000, only 22 contracts come back under “sole proprietor”. I’m sure there’s more out there under a different “organization type” label. Regardless, its just weird to see a government contract made to an individual like that (it costs, what, a $100 to set up an LLC or an S Corp?). The only other sole proprietor who received a contract worth over $100,000 was a Colorado radiologist contracting with a military hospital (for $312,000, but the contract was soon after deallocated) and that contract was put out to bid. Heck, I’d rather that Colorado doctor be advising the Assistant Secretary instead of an economist and the doc costs less than Gruber.
oops I meant NEJM not JAMA– sorry.
And when people do that, you complain because they’re not being nice to him.