After weeks without clarity, it appears the top leadership in the Democratic Party is committed to using the budget reconciliation process to make changes to the health care bill so it can pass both chambers of Congress. And the White House supports the action as well.
President Obama, House Speaker Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Reid are preparing to begin the reconciliation process after next week’s bipartisan White House health care summit. “They are coming out of the summit guns-a-blazing and they’re committed to reconciliation,” said one Democratic insider. All three are dedicated to comprehensive reform, but Reid and White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel are cautioning that “it’s going to be a heavier lift than a lot of people expect it to be,” said a senior Democratic official. “It’s going to cause political problems.” Not the least of which is how Democrats pivot to reconciliation, a procedure Republicans view as a partisan ramrod, shortly after Obama hosts the GOP to talk about bipartisan solutions. Right now, Democratic leaders are considering a $200 billion reconciliation bill that includes more affordability subsidies, the union-tweaked Cadillac tax and filling in the gap in seniors’ drug coverage, which would be paid for primarily by additional Medicare cuts and an increase in Medicare payroll taxes above those in the Senate bill, an insider said.
I’d only go by this “insider” take because it matches what we’ve been hearing all along – affordability credits, reducing the excise tax, filling the donut hole, paid for with an increase in payroll taxes on the wealthy. And if Rahm Emanuel is cautioning about something, you can pretty much guarantee it’s the right move.
The report cautions that the votes aren’t quite there for the bill, but when Evan Bayh is consenting to using reconciliation, you can be pretty sure that at least a simple majority in the Senate will agree as well. The reconciliation whip count shows 34 so far in favor of the process, 4 maybes and just 1 no (Blanche Lincoln), so this is not all that heavy a lift, particularly if Republican intransigence and obstructionism can be demonstrated.
The President will propose a comprehensive bill in advance of next week’s health summit, and the changes from the House and Senate base bills will be entirely budget-based, clearly suggesting reconciliation as the answer. Will that include the newly-resurgent public option? Ezra Klein reported yesterday that there’s “sharp resistance” to any public option comeback in the White House. But then Kathleen Sebelius told Rachel Maddow the White House would push for it if the Senate included it in their reconciliation bill:
Eighteen Senators have signed a letter asking Harry Reid to push for the public option using reconciliation, which would allow Democrats to pass it with just 51 votes. (Republicans may be able to slow or halt the processing with procedural objections.)
Appearing on MSNBC tonight, Sebelius said the administration would back that decision.
“Certainly. If it’s part of the decision of the Senate leadership to move forward, absolutely,” she told Rachel Maddow.
I don’t think those two stances are all that contradictory. We know the White House wants a bill in the end, and they’ll resist anything controversial that might leave them with no bill. But they’ve consistently allowed Congress to take the lead, and they know Reid won’t touch the public option unless he has majority support, so they’ll back it on the back end.
All we’ve learned is the path forward: a reconciliation sidecar, with the Senate bill as the baseline. We do not know if such a strategy will pass, particularly in the House, because nobody wants to talk about the other roadblock. From the NYT piece:
Democrats said it was still unclear how the president would deal with other disagreements, including the issue of insurance coverage for abortions.
Abortion remains “a wild card,” said a Democrat on Capitol Hill.
Ignoring that element does not make Bart Stupak disappear.




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Here’s hoping that these folks can get out of their own way and pass something the public actually wants.
So we’re still essentially in the same place we’ve always been in. Obama will not include the public option, despite campaigning on it, unless he is forced to. His reform is really “pass anything and call it reform” (with generous handouts to corporations.) At least we finally know where he stands, firmly on the ground of lobbyist-dominated Washington-as-usual–and we can go forward expecting absolutely nothing significant from him.
A big move
The song remains the same: If the votes aren’t clearly there for the public option, the White House will say the public option is good but not crucial. This was particularly true when they were looking for 60 votes. But now that we rejected Coakley and forced reconciliation, the minute there are 50 clear votes for the public option, the White House will start selling it like there’s no tomorrow. Watch.
Reconciliation. Which Republicans view as a partisan ramrod. Oh Noes!
That’s rich after all the shit they used it for.
If Rahm and the White House don’t shoot that shit down, the fucking retards aren’t outside the White House.
I think this looks really positive. We have a 2010 election where dems are pushing for healthcare-with a public option!!!, and republicans all vote no AND work on cutting social security and medicare.
What Waterloo???
If the dems can stick to their guns and pull it off.
i hopey they don’t changey their little minds.
fingers crossed.
Could be hope-a-dope. When I hear my rep, Darrell Issa, saying he wants to slash SS and Medicare, I get a little more hopey.
can we add this one to the list of stuff for HCR?– Extending COBRA (not the subsidy) for the unemployed until the exchanges kick in.
The open-ended COBRA extension is in the House bill, Section 113. We need to help the unemployed keep their insurance until the exchanges start, without forcing them into expensive high-risk pools.
Section 113 of the House bill permits the unemployed, many of whom can’t get individual coverage because of pre-existing conditions, to buy into their old group insurance until the insurance exchanges start in 2013.
jeebus, we both have ***hole* for reps. Mine is lungren but we don’t hear from him often.
I hope it’s not too little, too late. Because as mad as I am at Democrats, if Republicans take control again this soon it could trigger an economic and social melt-down unlike anything we’ve seen in a thousand years.
One assumes all the key decisions have already been made–in secret meetings.
So let me understand. Obama might resign himself to signing a bill with a PO if that’s what will be forced upon him?
That’s Leadership, – really?
COBRA without a subsidy is about as affordable to most people as buying a nice cadillac plan all on their own.
It’s what passes for leadership these days.
The sooner it happens the less time for Obama’s savvy businessmen to clean out the public’s larder.
edit: If it happens soon enough, it might still be bloodless.
If the economy unravels to the point that civil society breaks down, it is not going to be good.
Right now, Democratic leaders are considering a $200 billion reconciliation bill that includes more affordability subsidies, the union-tweaked Cadillac tax and filling in the gap in seniors’ drug coverage, which would be paid for primarily by additional Medicare cuts and an increase in Medicare payroll taxes above those in the Senate bill, an insider said
oy…
ugh…
oof…
“affordability subsidies”: see, taxpayer money to pay off health profiteers
add to that, medicare cuts, an increased tax on the middle class thru increased payroll taxes and the (sketchily described) “union-tweaked” cadillac tax and i wonder why anyone would want this bill?
in what way is this better than the terrible system we have now? (if you are a CEO for a health profiteer, don’t answer, i know why you like it)
where is the public option in their plan?
or, is this ‘reconciliation surge’ happening now to stymie the effort to bring the public option back?
Those who have been baying about the federal government butting out [yes, Joe Scarborough, you] should only look at the obscene rate increases private companies are pushing through right now to know that too many states leave their citizens way too exposed to further victimization because of lack of regulation.
Kent, Byron, or whichever of your interns are scanning the blogs–this North Dakota voter supports the public option. And reconciliation. Now.
I remember sitting with a group early in Senator Dorgan’s congressional career, in his Fargo office, and him telling us he wasn’t going to be a lightning rod on a different issue. My husband Lincoln and I talked about that event in the weeks shortly before his death last summer.
We saw, we lived the healthcare system. And now I, without him, see the ravages the healthcare system has taken on others I care about.
Byron, Kent, I’m asking you to be the lightning rod now.
The unemployment rate among the young will continue rising as we are no longer producing jack. That sort of state of affairs is not tenable in the long run, and the Gov. has no plan to change the status quo.
LOL. LOL a lot.
BTW, I have something in common with you and Loo Hoo: a dismal rep. Only mine is a DINO — Jane Harman. (Praying for Marcy Winograd to dump Harman in the primary.)
OT:
What’s your opinion of the Bank of ND?
Obama says he Loves Vegas on the Hudson.
First of all who gives a shit what some insider may be saying, we’ve heard this same refrain time and again, or what some conceiveable bill might end up looking like. We already know the answer to all this idle speculation.
Let’s just cut all this tiresome crap. It’s been a fucking year and we’re still talking about what the Rs might object to or what the public might conceivably be willing to tolerate.
If there are 50 Democratic Senators for reconciliation then the outline of the HCR bill to be adopted and passed should not be in question. It has been agonizingly clear what the majority of the public wants. And you can count this on your fingers and anything else that the Democrats dish out will be rejected by the public and they will be voted out of office in the fall.
People are sick of this dithering Congress and WH and realize full well that they are wedded to the health care lobby and will never deviate from that. So it is completely idle and pointless to speculate that anything favored by the country will be the end result of this hideous legislative ordeal.
I think some Dem congress men and women want to stay employed.
I think more and more Dems are starting to realize that Obama and Rahm have an agenda that is not in their best interest. The Obama and Rahm Hope a Dope game is being expose.
Most Dems with any common sense, know the reason for Dem hate is because of Obama and Rahm love for Blue Dogs and Republican Lite Ideas. (the reason Dems stayed home in MASS elections, was because Obama and the Dems did not go far enough to left. Obama and the Blue Dogs are the main reason for Scott Brown winning)
A lot of Dems in congress know that if they would have embrace the progressive agenda that got them elected in 2008, they would be sitting in a much better position right now!
Also with Bill Maher about to attack the corporate democrats like Blanche Lincoln, Evan Bayh, Ben Nelson, I think a lot of Dems want to sure up their Progressive Credentials and Left Flank.
Why are people happy about this? It sounds like the same steaming pile that WellPoint wrote for Baucus. It still is financed by a middle class tax hike designed the lower the quality of health care of people with insurance slightly modified to please the unions.
The “rants” just keep on comin….Three words. November, November, November. If Health Care is so important why are Politicians jumping of the HC wagon? We’ve wasted a year of uncertainty….we need a dose of reality. People are hurting, losing their homes, small business needs a break from Washington. Politicians need to get out of the way! Calculate Washingtons’s “carrying charges” on the old and new Stimulus plans. Make it simple, cut taxes across the board, large, medium, small, and instill confidence back into the economy. Even the Unions would prosper with more productivity! Set aside the partisan BS and let’s get this country moving again!
Back under your bridge, now. (Shouldn’t you be busy at CPAC?)
Sympathies.
Exactly.
Only HCR I’m buying as genuine HCR is one with a — remember this phrase? — “robust” public option, covering like 30 million people, available now, etc.
Let’s see if we can clarifify something for you in plain English. The government, meaning the public, doesn’t owe businesses a fucking thing. Nothing.
If you round up your money and start a business then if you need to hire someone to help you make a profit you need to do two things. Pay your employees and pay your taxes. And your tax burden at least is the same as your employees. That’s it.
If you can’t manage that then don’t go asking the public for a tax relief hand out. Simply fold up your tent and go on the public’s dole.
But they’ve (the obama administraiton) consistently allowed Congress to take the lead.
No, they duidn’t … obama made a deal … at least one deal … with the pharmas and then used baucus’ committee as a proxy to make sure they kept their promises.
Z
Bring on the Nuclear Option! Pass Healthcare via Reconciliation. Woo-Hoo! Even the Republicans weren’t that stupid. The showdown that’s been coming for 3 decades, it will be the end of the progressive movement in this nation. Watch for the impeachment trials of Obama and then Biden next February.
In case you haven’t got the word. No one wants Healthcare reform. They want jobs. That’s why the Dems will be blown out in 9 months. It’s only a question of degree and a question of whether people will take to the streets. I wouldn’t get my hopes too set on reconciliation or on the public option…success would be Pyhrric and temporary at best and the end of the Democratic Party as we know it in all likelihood.
No. Treating Republicans like good-faith partners in governance, and adopting policies designed to appeal to Republicans instead of the public, is where the Party has lost its way. Sounds like someone may have finally realized that.
Yes!
I found a link on newsvine and called Senator Nelson in Florida and urged his support. Veteran in Florida
~~~ModNote: If you have to go to the name-calling, do it elsewhere.~~~