Harry Mitchell (D-AZ 5) has told Channel 12 News in Arizona that he will vote “yes” on health care. Mitchell was a “yes” vote the first time around but had not committed.

Mitchell will face the winner of a hotly contested GOP primary in his district. One of the candidates is Dave Schweikert, the GOP nominee who lost to Mitchell in 2008, 54-44. Mitchell took the seat from J.D. Hayworth in 2006. The district has an R+5 PVI, and, all things being equal, Democratic leadership would probably rather Mitchell not walk the plank on this one.

Mitchell was previously in the “undecided” category. That puts the vote at 202-209 (208-214 with leaners).

The current breakdown:

Tuesday, 3/16/2010 Voted Retiring Stupak PVI No Leaning No Unknown Leaning Yes Yes
Aye Nay
Definite No (32):
1 Adler, John X R+1 1
2 Barrow, John X D+2 1
3 Boren, Dan X R+14 1
4 Boucher, Rick X R+11 1
5 Bright, Bobby X R+16 1
6 Chandler, Ben X R+9 1
7 Childers, Travis X R+14 1
8 Davis, Artur X D+18 1
9 Davis, Lincoln X R+14 1
10 Edwards, Chet X R+20 1
11 Herseth-Sandlin, Stephanie X R+9 1
12 Holden, Tim X R+6 1
13 Kissell, Larry X R+2 1
14 Kratovil, Frank X R+13 1
15 Marshall, Jim X R+10 1
16 McIntyre, Mike X R+3 1
17 McMahon, Michael X R+4 1
18 Melancon, Charlie X R R+12 1
19 Minnick, Walt X R+18 1
20 Peterson, Collin X R+6 1
21 Ross, Mike X R+7 1
22 Shuler, Heath X R+6 1
23 Skelton, Ike X R+14 1
24 Taylor, Gene X R+20 1
25 Arcuri, Mike X R+1 1
26 Costello, Jerry X S D+3 1
27 Donnelly, Joe X S R+4 1
28 Driehaus, Steve X S D+1 1
29 Lipinski, Dan X S D+11 1
30 Lynch, Stephen X D+8 1
31 Stupak, Bart X S R+3 1
32 Altmire, Jason X R+6 1
Potential No-Yes Flips (5):
1 Baird, Brian X R D+0 1
2 Matheson, Jim X R+15 1
3 Nye, Glenn X R+6 1
4 Tanner, John X R R+6 1
5 Teague, Harry X R+6 1
Potential Yes-No Flips (16):
1 Bean, Melissa X R+1 1
2 Berry, Marion X S R+8 1
3 Cao, Joseph X S D+18 1
4 Carney, Chris X S R+8 1
5 Dahlkemper, Kathy X S R+3 1
6 Foster, Bill X R+1 1
7 Kanjorski, Paul X D+4 1
8 Kaptur, Marcy X S D+10 1
9 Michaud, Mike X D+5 1
10 Mollohan, Alan X R+9 1
11 Ortiz, Solomon X R+2 1
12 Owens, Bill X R+1 1
13 Pomeroy, Earl X R+10 1
14 Rahall, Nick X S R+6 1
15 Space, Zack X R+7 1
Committed Votes
Democratic 202
Republican 177
TOTAL 209 5 9 6 202