Tom Perriello has decided to vote for the health care bill, per CNN. I had him as a lean Yes in my whip count. So that makes it 196-208, with still 204-211 with leaners. None of the true undecideds have announced today.

Again, if the Stupak side deal comes to pass, the whip count doesn’t matter as much, because there will be enough votes in hand to pass the bill and the only question will become who can be allowed to take a walk. My suspicion is that Pelosi and her leadership team would rather handle this another way. But with Stephen Lynch looking like a no and the Stupak gang expanding a bit in the final days, she may not have a choice.

UPDATE: If you want to understand what Stupak means by “enrollment corrections”, read this from David Waldman. He seems to think that he can get the enrollment correction inserted into the Senate bill before the President’s signature. It’s very weedy.

And don’t forget about the DeFazio complaint. That could really screw everything up, and it’s hard to see how they can offer a firm commitment to fix the Medicare geographic disparity in the future.

The numbers…

Tuesday, 3/16/2010 Voted Retiring Stupak PVI No Leaning No Unknown Leaning Yes Yes
Aye Nay
Definite No (30):
1 Adler, John X R+1 1
2 Barrow, John X D+2 1
3 Boren, Dan X R+14 1
4 Boucher, Rick X R+11 1
5 Bright, Bobby X R+16 1
6 Chandler, Ben X R+9 1
7 Childers, Travis X R+14 1
8 Davis, Artur X D+18 1
9 Davis, Lincoln X R+14 1
10 Edwards, Chet X R+20 1
11 Herseth-Sandlin, Stephanie X R+9 1
12 Holden, Tim X R+6 1
13 Kissell, Larry X R+2 1
14 Kratovil, Frank X R+13 1
15 Marshall, Jim X R+10 1
16 McIntyre, Mike X R+3 1
17 McMahon, Michael X R+4 1
18 Melancon, Charlie X R R+12 1
19 Minnick, Walt X R+18 1
20 Peterson, Collin X R+6 1
21 Ross, Mike X R+7 1
22 Shuler, Heath X R+6 1
23 Skelton, Ike X R+14 1
24 Taylor, Gene X R+20 1
25 Arcuri, Mike X R+1 1
26 Costello, Jerry X S D+3 1
27 Donnelly, Joe X S R+4 1
28 Driehaus, Steve X S D+1 1
29 Lipinski, Dan X S D+11 1
13 Lynch, Stephen X D+8 1
30 Stupak, Bart X S R+3 1
Potential No-Yes Flips (10):
1 Altmire, Jason X R+6 1
2 Baird, Brian X R D+0 1
3 Boyd, Allen X R+6 1
4 Kosmas, Suzanne X R+4 1
5 Matheson, Jim X R+15 1
6 Murphy, Scott X D+2 1
7 Nye, Glenn X R+6 1
8 Tanner, John X R R+6 1
9 Teague, Harry X R+6 1
Potential Yes-No Flips (23):
1 Bean, Melissa X R+1 1
2 Berry, Marion X S R+8 1
3 Cao, Joseph X S D+18 1
4 Carney, Chris X R+8 1
5 Cuellar, Henry X S D+0 1
6 Dahlkemper, Kathy X S R+3 1
7 Ellsworth, Brad X S R+9 1
8 Foster, Bill X R+1 1
9 Hill, Baron X R+6 1
10 Kanjorski, Paul X D+4 1
11 Kaptur, Marcy X S D+10 1
12 Kirkpatrick, Ann X R+6 1
13 Michaud, Mike X D+5 1
14 Mitchell, Harry X R+5 1
15 Mollohan, Alan X R+9 1
16 Ortiz, Solomon X R+2 1
17 Owens, Bill X R+1 1
18 Pomeroy, Earl X R+10 1
19 Rahall, Nick X R+6 1
20 Space, Zack X R+7 1
Committed Votes
Democratic 195
Republican 177
TOTAL 208 3 16 8 196