I wanted to know a little bit more about this late-in-the-game derivatives loophole that is potentially holding up Wall Street reform, so I talked to Michael Greenberger, a professor at the University of Maryland School of Law and the former Director of the Division of Trading and Markets at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission under Brooksley Born. He’s about as knowledgeable about derivatives and their import as anyone involved in this debate, and he believes that Maria Cantwell did the right thing in holding up cloture on the bill in order to tighten the language around trading and clearinghouses. A lightly edited transcript of our conversation follows.
Q: So is this a legitimate problem with the bill? Is the language on derivatives trading and clearinghouses toothless without these proposed changes?
A: Sen Cantwell is absolutely right in what she’s doing. The bill got somehow, through the work of magic, or not so much magic, when they merged the Senate Banking Committee language with the Agriculture Committee, they dropped out something that said, if you don’t comply with the rules on clearing trades, it’s unlawful. Another part said, if the swaps dealer doesn’t comply, the penalty would not be mandatory. Essentially, they’ve removed the ability to enforce the central regulatory tenet of the legislation. They turned statutory requirements into statutory suggestions.
Q: Could this change even get through on a vote at this point, given Republican obstruction?
A: I know that the interest groups stand with her, and when you explain the language to people, and the problem this creates, there’s widespread agreement across both parties. What’s getting her traction right now is that Olympia Snowe said she would support her. Had she not brought this to people’s attention, it just would not have been fixed. So I think she did something courageous. Now there are also issues like the Levin-Merkley amendment on proprietary trading, and the amendment to bring back Glass-Steagall. But for me, the derivatives statute is a joke without this fix. I think with this move, she now has a fighting chance to get the changes. Many of us feel she’s right.
Q: Harry Reid, or his people, said that this could be fixed in conference committee or down the road. Why don’t you agree with that?
A: You have to look at the fact that there’s a similar problem in the House bill. So it can’t be fixed in conference. I’ve seen Phil Gramm produce wonders in a conference, but if you follow the rules, if the statute in question is not in the House version and not in the Senate version, it’s not supposed to get added. The only way it would get fixed, would be maybe through a technical addition.
Q: You mean like what happened during the health care bill, when Stupak tried it? An enrollment?
A: Well that, or what would be easier, is if they threw it in the manager’s amendment. But that’s all very iffy. So Cantwell’s right to push this.
Q: Obviously, derivatives is your speciality. Do you believe that this Senate bill, as written, fixes the major problems with derivatives and will help to prevent the severity of future financial crises?
A: I think it goes a long way in that direction. Because what it says is that all these toxic products can’t be done under cover of darkness. You have the transparency of exchange trading, with a ready price minute-by-minute, and no more market to myth or whatever they used to price these instruments. The other thing is the banks have made a fortune masking the cost of the products, there’s no competition in the market, it’s dominated by the big banks. Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup control 90% of the market. This will help pry open the market. You won’t have Goldman getting paid by Greece $300 million dollars to hide their debt through derivative trades. So if they get the Cantwell changes, I think it goes a long way.
Q: What do you think will happen with the section 716 of the bill, forcing banks to spin off their swaps trading desks? Chris Dodd offered a proposal to basically kill that off, and then he pulled it back.
A: What he proposed was that after 2 years, the banks would have to stop doing prop trading in swaps. But after 1 year, the Financial Stability Oversight Board would vote. And they would report to the Treasury Secretary on their findings. So Geithner would have had some say. Bernanke would have had a lot of say.
Q: That board is made up of people who have basically come out against 716.
A: Right, so the effect is that it would have died one year before it went into effect. I think Sen. Dodd was made to realize that this was not a solution. I even heard that the banks were upset about it, because they didn’t want their prop trading in doubt for even a year.
I believe that if 716 doesn’t get through, something close will. We’re going to give a clear price for banks, and benefit for the taxpayer. And what we’ll say is that banks will have to fill the hole in economy or go out of business. They will not be able to get rich off these unregulated securities anymore.
Q: You don’t think that section 716 would be on the chopping block in a conference committee? The White House doesn’t seem to support it, and the House bill doesn’t have anything like it in there.
A: Yes, but Barney Frank has made several statements about derivatives, saying he wished he would have been tougher on that piece. And remember that his chief derivative advisor, after they finished the House bill he went to work for the banks. That was a severe blow for Frank.
The other thing is that the world has turned financially since November, December. We have the lawsuit against Goldman by the SEC. Just yesterday there was a New York Times article about Goldman customers troubled by their allegiance to no one. And the euro crisis becomes more and more serious, and could be another global calamity. So I think there’s a lot of aggravation in Washington over the role that these instruments played. The swaps blew a hole in the economy and could do so again. I think there’s a lot less tolerance for giving the banks the benefit of the doubt.





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Thanks, that was very clear.
David, you rock! I’ve been following you since you were at Calitics and you keep getting better and better. I’m sure glad Jane saw your genius and moved you over here. We are all very lucky to have you on our side.
AND THE KILLIN’ GOEZ ON AND ON AND…
Citizen David Dayen and the Firepup Freedom Fighters:
Thank you again Citizen Dayen, you do real journalism and your reporting is a true act of citizenship. It seems to me that the entire effort to get control of our economy boils down to this end game to get real derivative reform and the return of Glass-Steagal. And what makes this even more important is the fasinating politics of this moment especially after Tuesday. It appears that a few of the “progressives” in the Senate have realized that not only will they not lose any votes for pushing for real reform but that they actually gain political advantage for themselves, their party and the country by forcing the issue as it should have been forced in the healthcare mess. Dorgan has actually used his lame duck status to stand up to the Randian White House and Feingold has saved his seat by standin’ up to ObamaRahma on this issue.
Do you see the beginning of a movement toward confronting the White House over this issue that may carry us into and past the November elections and force the administration to throw the Chicago School balast overboard in Janurary?
KEEP THE FAITH AND PASS THE AMMUNITION, AND REMEMBER THAT THERE IS NO COMPROMISING WITH FASCISM!!
Called her Washington office this morning to thank her and ask her to stick with holding the line on derivatives.
Thanks! The delay sounds well justified to me.
Thanks, David. Your posts on this subject are the only reason this simple mind understand any of this. Again, thanks.
Hey Norske. Nice to see ya.
OT,
Here are some photos of the consequences of O’s fiddling while the oil filled the Gulf. Primary the fraud and failure. Dean, Sanders, DeFazio, Feingold, Whitehouse, Kuccinich, someone step up and challenge the first black Republican president.
http://www.mnn.com/green-tech/research-innovations/blogs/coast-guard-and-bp-threaten-journalists-with-arrest-for-docume
It is always a good idea to talk to Michael Greenberger. He would have been my choice for head of either the CFTC or the SEC.
I would make two points. A couple threads down this was quoted about the Cantwell amendment: “any swap that is required to be cleared is unlawful unless the swap is cleared.” The problem is that the most dangerous swaps are in fact those that AFAIK would not be required to be cleared. Such swaps are structured as one-offs, non-standard. They would not have to be cleared. In fact, even if they were put on exchanges it is hard to see how they could be priced or cleared. There is simply no way to price discover on them because being unique there is nothing to compare them to. A one-off almost by definition is not marketable because it can’t make a market.
This is why there should be legislation which says if a swap can’t be cleared (i.e. it’s non-standard), it’s unlawful.
This is precisely what happens when big money interests have more access to our elected officials than the ordinary citizens have. I feel that the next big rally in Washington should be one where the focus is to go there and physically remove lobbyists from the halls of the capital so that our elected officials can do what “We the people” sent them there to do. Because what the senate and congress don’t seem to understand is that just because some corporations donate to your election it doesn’t mean that you are more obliged to them than you are to your constituents. It is all too obvious that big corporations and banks have no allegiance to America. So what they will do is spend several million dollars to water down a bill that will force them to do business above board. Because amongst all the people on Wall street you wont find an honest bone in their bodies.
It’s all Kabuki.
The White House, the Dem leadership, and 80% of the Dems want the status quo, but they need the appearance that they are taking strong action. The Rethugs are simply determined to prevent any Democratic victory, real or illusory.
No real reform will survive this congress or this White House.
For now, all we can do is hold their collective feet to the fire and, primary, primary, primary.
I think it’s time for the few real Democrats in congress to start the Progressive Democratic Party.
Agree. Credit default swaps didn’t exist in their current forms 10 years ago. Alot of other derivatives formulations didn’t exist before the deregulation of the CFTC began with Reagan. The point of derivatives reform is to actually make a change. After what we’ve come through, it would be pathetic for the derivatives market to remain as it is with only window dressing tweaks. Would mean the government, federal reserve, and the financial sector still view these obscene financial products as a growth industry for the economy.
Breaking news–Cantwell caves. Quel surprise!
Reenact Glass-Steagal. Outlaw all derivatives trading on Wall Street. Outlaw hedge funds: they are criminal organizations that consistently bet against America. Who needs them except greedy unpatriotic Wall Street criminals.
I agree with those that argue Cantwell and Feingold deserve our support especially now. They can’t be the only Democrats who understand that the political tide here is moving against the establishment and against Wall St. Reid and Obama must be making it awfully painful for progressive senators to hold out for more meaningful financial reform. If the politics weren’t clear enough last week, Tuesday should have made it obvious to any elected official. Can someone explain to me why Reid and Obama want to rush this? I mean ostensibly. Is it to get to a jobs bill or energy or immigration?
Is there plan “build momentum with finreg, and then close before the election with jobs, and do energy and immigration after the election”? I share the enthusiasm for a real jobs bill, but I don’t believe they can do as much before the election than after. The R’s will have a much easier time demagoguing a jobs bill that “causes more runaway deficit spending” than real financial reform, where they have absolutely nothing resonant to crow about, true or false.
To me this strategy–if I’m correct in guessing it–absolutely exposes them as corporatists little different from their R opponents. And the gusher in the gulf is not helping distinguish themselves either. Sometimes I really wonder who in the WH is doing the political calculations. I get that they’re corporatists; I don’t get that their political calculus is so clearly amateurish.
Your ignorance is showing.
http://www.rense.com/general37/char.htm