The New York Times cites an anonymous source saying that Peter Orszag will step down as the head of the Office of Management and Budget.
Mr. Orszag, an economist who previously spent nearly two years as director of the Congressional Budget Office, somewhat reluctantly accepted Mr. Obama’s invitation to join the Cabinet after the 2008 election and never planned to stay more than two years. Typically, budget directors do not.
While the president recently urged Mr. Orszag to remain, the calendar for drafting the next budget weighed in favor of Mr. Orszag leaving sooner. So did Mr. Orszag’s personal calendar: He is getting married in September.
By fall, as Congress is taking final action on the budget for the fiscal year that begins Oct. 1, the Office of Management and Budget is busy preparing the next year’s budget request to be released next February. Mr. Orszag argued inside the White House that his successor should be in place to put the next budget together from the start.
Basically, the OMB Director is a brutal job and subject to quick burnout. I wouldn’t read any more into this than that.
However, Orszag was an architect of the White House strategy toward deficit reduction. According to the Jonathan Cohn tome on the subject, Orszag, not Ted Kennedy, got Barack Obama interested in health care, which is why the early days of the effort were punctuated with such visceral lines as “bend the cost curve” and “entitlement reform is health care reform.” Orszag also co-wrote the Diamond-Orszag plan for Social Security reform (with future Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Peter Diamond), which included modest benefit reductions. Orszag was an Administration champion for the Cat Food Commission as well, which has since hit some choppy waters after Alan Simpson revealed his true colors. Orszag wanted the President to try and adopt the recommendations of the Cat Food Commission even if they got voted down in Congress. So his absence during that upcoming debate is probably good news, I would say.
Orszag’s replacement could continue this recent OMB tradition of stressing medium-term deficit reduction over the short-term crisis in aggregate demand (although the political shop has a hand in this as well, with David Axelrod running around the White House waving around polling about the deficit, polling which isn’t even accurate). Or, he or she could understand the intense need for more short-term stimulus to keep the recovery from foundering, and defend a strong social safety net as a core Democratic value. The President claims to support the latter approach, but most of his actions seem guided by the Orszag deficit reduction strategy. He could end all doubt with the next appointment.
UPDATE: Here’s a short list of potential replacements. I’m not buying Byron Dorgan for a second.




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Peter Orszag would be the first major player to leave the Obama Administration. I would say this is big news. I don’t believe though the job is brutal BS for a second. Is Secretary of State or Defense, the DOJ, or Treasury less brutal? Let’s face it once you establish the budget priorities a lot of the budget writes itself. You have committees and accountants inputing numbers into software and then massaging and re-massaging the results. It is not Orszag in a garrett working alone by the light of a single candle. Also the cover story of him getting married sounds a lot like a riff on leaving to spend more time with his family. There may be more to this story. It is hard to see Orszag leaving on his own before his baby the cat food commission comes in with its report and the lame duck Congress seeks to act on it. There are lots of flashing lights here, the timing, the woman he had a kid with just as he was getting engaged to the current fiancée, her business connections, the possibility of other liaisons, losing policy fights, and, of course, the possibility that he wanted to get out of Dodge ahead of the next economic collapse. I think the one thing we can be assured of is that the real story behind his leaving has yet to be reported.
Peter Orszag out as WH Budget Director.
Good Riddance!
“Entitlement reform is health care reform”. Orwellian.
x2
Historically, budget directors have left after two budgets. That’s held for a number of years now.
What I want to know is where he got the dough for a half million dollar engagement ring, and how come these gorgeous and intelligent women don’t seem to care about the trail of kids and bitter break-ups in his wake.
Bush I had only one OMB director during his one term Richard Darman. Reagan had 3 during his two terms but his first one David Stockman was there for 4 1/2 years, his successor James Miller was there for 3 years, and the third guy Joseph Wright was just a stand in for all of 3 months to the end of Reagan’s second term. Both Clinton and Bush II had 4 OMB directors. For Clinton, Panetta was there for 9 months before becoming his Chief of Staff. Rivlin was there for a year and a half, Raines for 20 months, and Jacob Lew for about 30 months. For W, Daniels was there about 2 1/2 years, Josh Bolten who went on to become Chief of Staff à la Panetta was there for almost 3 years, Portman was there for a year, and Nussle for 16 1/2 months.
From wiki on OMB: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Office_of_Management_and_Budget
So before Clinton your assertion falls apart entirely. And even during Clinton and Bush II only about 4 of 8 OMB directors even fell roughly within your two budget parameters. Maybe we have different ideas about what historical means.
I think going back to 1992=a number of years. Maybe we have different ideas about what a number of years means.
?
yikes.
Is there anyone in the upper reaches of the US government that isn’t wealthy?
I agree. This is much bigger than the McChrystal kerfuffle that seems to be sucking all the air out of the Village at the moment.
The question is what will Obama do with this opportunity? Obama’s Oval Oil Speech getting panned, rumors circulating about Rahm’s possible departure amid gossip of divisions within the WH gives one hope that the corporatists have overplayed their hand.
The real question is who will Obama choose next? If he goes with Orszag redux, then I think we can write off Obama’s presidency as a determined failure. If he chooses someone with different economic views, then maybe he can rekindle a little of that old hope…
Orzag had some very bizarre thinking on health care spending to say the least. It was all about weird thinking he could nudge change over two decades with small moves while ignoring that PhRMA compared to the rest of the world rips us off blind. Talk about blinders.
Don’t let the door hit you on your fanny.
I agree with Hugh. There’s much more to this story.
Isn’t it interesting that orszag’s possible resignation (he hasn’t actually has he?) comes so soon after simpson’s blow up?
Orzag should have never been in. I don’t want to read into this anything that isn’t there but I would love to fantasize that this is the beginning of the administration telling the deficit hawks to STFU.
kind of surprising Goolsbee isn’t on that short list
That is saved for the hippies.
More likely, Orszag wasn’t hawkish enough, or is/has turned dovish.
I’m surprised Alan Simpson isn’t on it. That list should have two names: Paul Krugman and Duncan Black.
Unfortunately yep. :(
Probably right. Now about this half a $mill engagement ring… wtf?? must be nice to be a villager, I guess.
Yes, but even under W and Clinton, OMB directors stayed around for 2 years only around half the time. Orszag btw has only been there 17 months. So he will have seen only one budget process through from beginning to end.
With this economy, it’s 1937 all over again vis-a-vis “balancing” the stupid fucking budget. Orszag is a GOP-lite deficit hawk during times when that policy will RUIN the world’s economy.
Was he at Sitges earlier this month? I wonder if he networked a new gig or part of a plan. Maybe he just wanted out before more SHTF.
It’s ironic that name translates to ‘deep hole or silo.’
How very pithy, much better than “single payer is cheaper and better”, no wonder they were able to rebut the “death panel” arguments so easily at the town hall meetings last summer.
Obama, Orszag, Hamilton Project.
He sucks it for a living (in theory), and he is going to go suck the same big one somewhere else. The “small/little” people are the ones who get to suck it literally.
Of course if you get enough little people to give you $1 each – then you can buy a big fat fuxkin $500,000 wedding ring.
Just to be clear – spend no time with some fantasy that Obama is going to clean house or whatever….STATUS QUO MAXIUMUS.
There’s actually not going to be a budget process this year, as Steny Hoyer confirmed today. They’re going to pass a one-year resolution.
Can’t hurt Big Pharma’s profits!! After all, Orzag is one of Pete Peterson’s boys, though Obama is too.