Speaking of Afghanistan, CNN reports another mini-escalation in the works:
As many as 2,000 additional troops — including a number of U.S. forces — may be headed to Afghanistan in the coming weeks under a plan being proposed by Gen. David Petraeus, CNN has learned [...]
According to the NATO source, it calls for an additional 2,000 troops including at least 750 personnel to serve as trainers for Afghan forces. The trainers specifically would work to teach Afghan units how to support their operations in the field. The balance of the forces would work largely to counter the still significant threat posed by improvised explosive devices (IEDs).
Another NATO official tells CNN “it’s highly likely” many of the additional forces will be U.S. troops. Some NATO member countries are politically ambivalent about the war, he noted. And practically, it is only U.S. forces that have the most advanced equipment to counter roadside bombs.
No other country plans to send in troops at this stage. We have a Coalition of the One in Afghanistan, for all intents and purposes.
Keep this in mind that roadside bombs didn’t exist in Afghanistan for years following the invasion and occupation. Neither did suicide bombers. These are outsourced innovations from Iraq, the terrorist training ground we inadvertently created by invading in 2003.
Yes, this is a small increase, but it points the direction of the mission upward toward more escalation, apparently authorized by a back-door allotment of 3,000 extra troops in the initial 30,000-troop escalation. And then there’s this little buried lede:
A U.S. military official also confirms that in recent weeks the discussion of the “withdrawal” of forces from certain areas of Afghanistan beginning in July 2011 has taken a bit of a twist.
The official said the withdrawal in some areas will signify that those areas may be turned over to Afghan control, but that may not mean troops will come home. The latest options call for taking those troops not needed and sending them to other areas where security is still poor.
That’s not a withdrawal, that’s a reshuffle. And the trajectory stays upward.
Joe Klein, who does have the sources on this stuff, sees a clash coming between the Administration and the military. He thinks Petraeus will try to delay or divert the planned December review of the Afghanistan policy:
Here’s what to watch for now: The Administration wants to keep Afghanistan on the back burner for the next two months, until after the election. The military is playing a different hand. It will try, via a surreptitious media strategy, to get the President to delay any policy review, to give a new vote of confidence to a failing and deeply flawed, in my view, war strategy [...] In short, there will be an effort to portray the President as an indecisive, non-military wimp. There will be an effort to get him to back off his July 2011 date for the beginning of the transition to Afghan “control.” There may even be a request for more troops. All this will happen in the midst of a political campaign that may well prove devastating for Democrats. This is a test of strength that Obama can’t afford to lose. A major review of Afghan strategy is necessary–in fact, it’s needed right now. A major change in strategy, given the outrageous incompetence and corruption of the Karzai government. It is time to downgrade the importance of Afghanistan, and focus on trying to meliorate the real problem in the region–the enduring emnity between Pakistan and India.
“Crisis” barely begins to cover it. But with the midterms looming as a point of leverage for the military, you can certainly see how they will exploit it. Meanwhile, Karzai is holding another peace jirga designed to foster reconciliation with the Taliban. Sounds like a good time to get out.



17 Comments


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ugh
You’re probably correct on where the troops will come from. Obama has been such a wimp in the past and buys into the Military/Industrial complex, so again I expect him to give the JCS a fluff job on request.
Obama is paying the price for not having cashiered McChrystal when he was out of line.
Weakness breeds contempt.
Withdrawal? Naughty word.
It’s a “conditions-based beginning of transition to the Afghans for security.”
http://www.defense.gov/news/newsarticle.aspx?id=60715
Yeah and Petraeus is Obama’s hand-picked guy just like how McChrystal was. Obama can neither hire nor lead.
Maybe this is Obama’s “infastructure spending” at it’s finest.
Gareth Porter and Peter Dale Scott, along with anyone else who’s been paying attention for the past 50 years, knows that whenever there’s a chance for a peaceful resolution to any sort of conflict that the military wants to continue and the civilian commander-in-chief wants to end, the military engineers some sort of incident to continue making war.
Petraeus needs to be removed.
Why does the army want to keep fighting the longest war America has ever lost? You would think the Generals were not worried that every West Point Grad will be forced to study them in the future and told don’t be like that General?
Where is the victory that makes this all worth while even if somehow we win if Ossama is in Pakistan?
Where do we get the money for this war but stealing from old people their social security?
I’m sure Afghan patriots and freedom fighters will welcome more american mercenary thugs as more target practice.
It may be an opportunity for O to face them down; I think he knows the country is not behind this war.
Ummmmmmmmmm….that’s where they will get it. Out of our hides.
I see starvation and roaming gangs this time next year and a fire and brimstone preacher on every corner berating US for our “sins”.
We really can’t compare what’s happening in America today with the GREAT DEPRESSION. This is worse.
Our society is collapsing around our ears and this time a war didn’t “save” US, it started the whole mess.
When has O cared what the people of this country think?
Im giving him credit for having set a date and seeing this venture is a “loser”. He could stand alittle public support.
Can we have representative government, please?
I think that the Generals want to do what you say they want, but I don’t think they are going to succeed. Obama is a very tough customer. He chooses his battles carefully (too carefully, for most of us). He is holding the big cards here. The American public doesn’t know why we should be giving our American lives to defend a society of confirmed child molesters, so despite the noise form the usual quarters, more war is not going to get any real traction. The second card he holds is that he can demand that the Generals explain how their plan is going to work. That’s what he did last fall. They couldn’t and he sent them back to the drawing board and made them sign off on the product.
Here’s the thing. We’ve seen this story played out too many times before (starting in Vietnam) for the President not to know the narrative. He is going to make sure that the responsibility is placed where it belongs on the backs of the military. Syncophants beware.
There’s money in them thar hills. Just imagine how much drug money is being laundered through Wall Street helping to increase profits and provide bonuses for the MOTU along with nice retirement plans for the CIA people over there.
Ted Shackley was station chief in Laos when the Marseilles mafia was displaced as the major distribution network for heroin. The Blond Ghost retired to Colombia, nice country with no extradition treaty with the US.