We’re seeing some interesting races in the US Senate. Alexi Giannoulias is up by about 100,000 votes in Illinois with half the vote in. Joe Sestak is up by a similar amount with half the vote in. Michael Bennet has 50,000 votes up on Joe Buck in Colorado with a quarter of the vote in. Russ Feingold is behind with 12% in, but Democrats are hopeful based on the exit polls. Right now Republicans have picked up three seats in the Senate, but there aren’t any other obvious victories out there for them. They could eventually go the GOP’s way, but right now they’re all nailbiters.
Meanwhile, in the House, it’s a bloodbath. A Democratic loss of 60 seats is seen as the middle of the projections. It could go higher. Republicans are sweeping the close races in many states.
So how to reconcile this?
I’d say that the Senate candidates got all the attention. Outside of a guy wearing a Nazi suit, there were very few Republican House candidates that got any exposure nationally, although obviously it was a different story locally. The Senate races, by contrast, got a huge bit of scrutiny. And there you have it. When voters really took a look at some high-profile candidates, they split their vote. When they just put up a D versus an R, they went for the R.
Maybe too simplistic a reading, but that’s what I’m looking at right now.





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Wait until we have more data. I think it’s unlikely that the polls underestimated the Republican’s gain in the House and overestimated it in the Senate.
So the people show their displeasure with the house, but reserve some insurance with the senate. Maybe they’re smarter than I thought.
We’ll get a lot of those House seats back, since they are up every 2 years. Not so with the Senate.
I hope FDL works on getting good progressives in those key seats instead of letting the DLCer pick former republicans -which is how we ended up with a counterproductive Blue Dog majority in the first place.
Arianna Huffington kicking Obama’s butt on MSNBC about his strategic failures in listening to The Summers/Geitner cabal. I’ve never seen a president so thoroughly trash a mandate. He’s either grossly arrogant or simply just totally unprepared to govern. Get him gone!
It will be an amusing two years.
However, we will be looking at a new electoral map in 2012 because of redistricting. If R’s control a lot of Governor’s chairs in purple to blue states, they may be able to limit R’s losses with creative redistricting.
So, I gather you’ll be supporting Hillary in 2012 Democratic primaries?
How do you get the house back in 2 years with obama leading the ticket?
I saw that. She nailed him.
BC @ 6: What an interesting leap to a conclusion. Hope you didn’t hurt yourself :)~
Democrats failed to place the blame on Bush 4 years ago, so it automatically went to Obama. All too stupid.
CA Sec of State site results reporting, if you’re interested:
LINK.
I think that obama went to bed with a smile on his face.
It’s not the governors, it’s the legislatures. And that looks much worse.
That is the biggest bullshit I have heard tonight.