The Century Foundation, Demos and the Economic Policy Institute have released a liberal counterpoint budget plan, as a response to the plan put forward by Erskine Bowles and Alan “The Greediest Generation” Simpson on deficit reduction.
The report, entitled “Investing In America’s Economy,” makes its first bold statement at the beginning – there should be no spending reductions until unemployment hits 6%. This is fundamental to a different worldview about the budget, which believes in people first over deficit hysteria. Moreover, the budget deficit once unemployment is at that stage is a much different animal than the deficit currently, as economic growth happens to be the greatest deficit reducer there is.
Debt can be stabilized afterwards, but only if investments are made up-front that support long-term economic and job growth. Those investments are cheaper in the near term than their dollar amount, just as spending cuts will prove quite expensive down the road.
To deal with any deficit, revenue increases must be looked at over the long-term, and that simply means targeting the people who can most afford it, who take up a larger share of the commons, to pay for the increases. Right now virtually all the revenue boosts in Simpson-Bowles and most of the other plans out there are regressive; a VAT tax operates like a sales tax, and reductions to the top tax rate produce a flatter tax system even by eliminating most tax expenditures and broadening the base.
My favorite core principle is this:
No cost shifting. Debt reduction must be weighed against other economic priorities. Policies that simply shift costs from the federal government to individuals and families may improve the government’s balance sheet but would worsen the condition of many Americans, leaving the overall economy no better off.
Private debt has actually fallen a bit during the Great Recession, as the savings rate has gone up and individuals deleverage. Many of the Simpson-Bowles recommendations would just cost-shift and alter the balance between public and private debt, with no effect on the economy at large. The cost burden goes from the government to individuals, but the wealth transfer goes from those individuals to the entities doing the financing, namely the major banks, who get a better yield on individuals than from the government. We always have to keep that in mind.
The Our Fiscal Security plan (the umbrella title) realizes primary budget balance by 2018, but spends money on investments throughout, eventually offsetting them through defense savings (about a trillion dollars in cuts over the next decade) and revenue increases, the latter up to $450 billion annually by 2020. The revenue increases do not begin until 2014 and get phased in over time. By 2020, revenue would be at 21.7% of GDP, with spending at 25%, producing a manageable deficit. And no safety-net programs are touched in the exchange. This also stabilizes the national debt at 90% of GDP by 2025, adding that “debt at these levels is within historical and international experience, and has not been shown to represent a drag on economic growth.” The total deficit solutions are well within the range of what Bowles-Simpson offered.
The report recognizes that long-term health care costs are 98% of the deficit problem, and offers a number of cost-reducing strategies that go further than the Affordable Care Act, including accountable care organizations, bundling payments (where a patient pays for wellness over time, approximately, rather than fee for service), comparative effectiveness reserach, incentives to increase patient safety at hospitals, and a robust public option. On Social Security, the report mostly calls for an increase to the payroll tax cap to fill the long-term gap.
Public investment in areas like early childhood education, child care, infrastructure, mass transit, rural broadband connectivity and research and development would yield a major return on investment and pay back over time.
The plan reduces tax expenditures, makes law the Bush tax cuts on the first $250,000 of income while allowing the rest to expire, extends the “Making Work Pay” tax cut of $400 per individual from the stimulus, and adds revenue enhancements like a millionaire’s surcharge, a carbon tax and a financial speculation tax.
It’s a pretty good report, with a vision of how to create the best economy in the next decade, not merely how to fill in numbers in a ledger book.




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Good news to hear that this report and plan is out there. Thanks David.
For all it’s worth. My guess is Obama will never ever even see it. He’s already decided to move hard to the right. He’s following Billy Clinton’s game plan to a tee. Unfortunately, for him history does repeat itself, but the 2nd time usually as farce. He’s just making sure Pres. Palin can blame him for everything in 2012. He’s a fool and an arrogant one at that.
welcome back David
RoundUp Withdrawal is :::receding:::
like my hairline…
now THAT is the right frame work we need to adopt, not really “people who could most afford it”, certainly not ‘tax the wealthy” but rather “those who use more of the economic assets, those who use more of the commons, those who have paid less then everyone else for the assets they’ve used need to pay closer to what everyone else pays”
THAT’S the way to frame the debate, THAT’S the way we need to adopt our discussions
nice david
clinton raised taxes on the upper class, that’s one of the great successes of his economic strategy
obama is doing everything he can to keep the bush tax cuts for the wealthy
How are we going to keep this stupid SOB from giving the next two elections to the Republicans.
Surely the other members of the committee will seriously look at this proposal. Simpson-Bowles is not the end all, say all. They are the only two until now that have put up a proposition.
But that was more than cancelled out by his signing the repeal of Glass-Steagall.
1st. Demand removal of all black box voting apparatus and return to paper ballots.
2nd. Demand that no Foreign money enter PAC’s or campaign coffers, including corporations that left America to move offshore!
3rd. Investigate Lobby firms to make sure that foreign money and entities are not influencing our elections and lawmakers!
all the while we work on 1 thru 3, STOP THE WARS!
Very smart stuff. Watch the MSM studiously ignore it…or give it minimal coverage, at best.
Address #1 first, then the effect of your #2 and #3 will be minimal.
Not just stop the warz, STOP THE VIOLENCE!
I believe that bill had enough votes to be veto proof ghosto
most president sign bills that are veto proof
Yes, stop the violence!
As though he could no influence in Congress at all to affect the outcome of the vote. Veto-proof or no, Clinton was complicit.
on that point I agree, he could have educated the populace to demand their representative vote against that bill, he could have vetoed and forced them to over come his veto
I can’t argue that point
The good Gov. Pawlenty pulled that cost-shifting bullshit here in Minnesota. He toed the Republican line about not raising taxes and so cut state aid to cities and counties. The result was that they had to raise property taxes in order to make up for the shortfall. But he got to keep his ideological cred with the idiots that elected him. They didn’t care that he kept the ‘no tax increase’ promise, but they had to pay for it through their very own higher property taxes. See the insanity there? He technically didn’t raise any taxes and got around it by renaming them ‘service fees’. He then raised them for everything from license tabs on your car to camping permits in state parks. But No New Taxes! Schmuck bastard.
reagan pulled the same crap, people STILL believe reagan lowered taxes when in fact he raised taxes more then any peacetime president in history before him
AND he lowered the burden on the upper class that was already too low and raised that burden on the middle class that was already too high
and then he reduced services ON TOP of all that
On top of that, he pissed down their backs and convinced them it was raining.
You’d have more luck throwing shoes. The secret service would have to start seizing people’s shoes.