E.J. Dionne had an op-ed this week about how “responsibility equals invisibility.” He contrasted the divisiveness of Scott Walker in Wisconsin or John Kasich in Ohio with the more measured approaches of Democratic governors dealing with their budget crises.
There is nothing courageous about an ideological governor hacking away at programs that partisans of his philosophy, including campaign contributors, want eliminated. That’s staying in your comfort zone.
The brave ones are such as Jerry Brown in California, Dan Malloy in Connecticut, Pat Quinn in Illinois, Mark Dayton in Minnesota and Neil Abercrombie in Hawaii. They are declaring that you have to cut programs, even when your own side likes them, and raise taxes, which nobody likes much at all. Rhode Island’s Lincoln Chafee has warned of possible tax increases too.
As a California resident, I have personal experience with one of these Governors. And Jerry Brown may be a lot of things, but I don’t think his performance screams “courageous” thus far.
Dionne is right that Brown has toiled in relative obscurity as he seeks to fill a $25 billion budget gap; that’s largely thanks to an invisible political media. He isn’t using many gimmicks or one-time fixes in his budget, which puts him in better stead than his predecessor. But he isn’t exactly tackling the structural problem of governance in California. The voters got him part of the way there by eliminating the 2/3 requirement for passing a budget. But there’s still a 2/3 requirement for revenue increases, or even to put on a proposed June 2011 ballot an extension for tax hikes already in place. It’s unclear whether Brown will be able to find two Republicans in each house of the Legislature willing to do that.
But Brown has ducked many more fundamental governance issues in the state. He hasn’t gone near a tax structure where people making $47,500 a year pay the same in income taxes as those making $999,999. He won’t approach the third rail of California politics, the artificially low property taxes resulting from Prop 13. He won’t expand the sales tax to cover services, which would allow the rate to be lowered while still gaining more revenue (and becoming more progressive, as higher-end services get used by wealthier people). He’s basically doing the bare minimum possible on revenue generation, and even then he won’t commit to raising them himself, preferring to put them up for a vote of the people.
As for the spending cuts, they will be utterly devastating; California already cut the less necessary stuff in prior years of the crisis. And by and large, Democrats in the legislature are going along with it. In the Schwarzenegger years, you’d have a lot of resistance to very similar cuts, both from the outside and the inside. These days, state Democrats don’t want to cross their own governor, and so they’re basically carrying out his wishes. They tell everyone they don’t feel good about it, but that’s of little solace. Here’s what passed out of the Joint Budget Committee this week and will head to the floor of both chambers:
Lawmakers voted to limit welfare, cap the number of doctor visits for the poor, end the Adult Day Health Care program for the elderly and eliminate redevelopment agencies, among other reductions, to close California’s $26.6 billion deficit [...]
“Unfortunately, given the severity of the crisis, … California is going to look a little different by the time we get to the end of the budget season,” said Sen. Mark Leno, D-San Francisco, who was the leading Senate Democrat on the committee. He called the elimination of redevelopment agencies “earth-shaking for many stakeholders.”
Assemblyman Bob Blumenfield, D-Woodland Hills (Los Angeles County), chaired the committee and said that in taking the actions, “I’m so far out of my comfort zone I feel like Charlie Sheen at a rehab clinic.”
The health care cuts are perhaps the worst. Capping Medi-Cal (California’s Medicaid) doctor visits is a literally insane policy. There is an exemption if a doctor certifies more visits as “medically necessary,” but this only ensures that more Medi-Cal patients will have advanced diseases and illnesses near the end of the year before seeking help. I don’t see how that doesn’t increase Medi-Cal spending in the final analysis. In addition, patients will bear the burden of more of the cost of care with higher co-pays. And, patients will likely see reduced access to providers, because their rates will be slashed another 10%.
Anthony Wright of Health Access California, the statewide health care consumer advocacy coalition, said in a statement, “It’s hard to overstate the severity of health cuts in the budget, as they will be felt directly by hundreds of thousands of patients, by the over eight million Californians with Medi-Cal or Healthy Families coverage, and by all of us who want our health system to be there for us when we need it.” He makes the point that, as a result of the cuts and the lack of maintenance of effort, California will lose hundreds of millions of dollars in federal matching funds for health care.
UPDATE: A slight fix here, the federal matching funds that California will lose because of Medi-Cal cuts come from the standard 50-50 match, not because of a lack of maintenance of effort. California didn’t change eligibility and enrollment requirements in this budget, so the MOE remains the same. The total loss from the 50-50 would be $1.5 billion dollars, and combined with the $1.5 billion in cuts, that means $3 billion less to health care in the state.
If you look at the California Budget Project report of the differences between Governor Brown’s budget and what passed out of conference committee, there are almost none. They mostly rubber-stamped it. Not only that, but the legislature and the governor will raid First 5 money without even giving the people a chance to block that on the ballot, as they did in 2009.
Brown’s plan called for a ballot measure to amend Proposition 10, which voters approved in 1998. It was initially thought that taking Proposition 10 money for Medi-Cal services for children would require voter approval; in fact, lawmakers went to the ballot in 2009 to attempt the same thing, unsuccessfully.
But the new proposal now calls for using First 5 money once in 2011-12 and foregoing Brown’s plan to take money in the future, according to Sherry Novick, executive director of the First 5 Association of California. Novick’s group represents the 58 county commissions whose $950 million in reserves would be tapped. An additional $50 million would come from the state commission.
Lawmakers believe that if they take the money only once, they can do so on a two-thirds vote of the Legislature. Proposition 10, a constitutional amendment, allows lawmakers to amend its provisions so long as the changes “further the act” and are “consistent with its purposes.” Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg, D-Sacramento, confirmed Thursday that the Legislature is seeking to avoid the ballot on First 5.
By raiding this money, First 5 will have to reduce their own contributions to children’s health care, preschool and child abuse prevention in order to accommodate the taking of $950 million. Prop 63 mental health care funds would get raided as well. The public will only get to weigh in on the mostly regressive extension of tax increases, with the threat that if they fail, $12 billion more in cuts would be coming, mostly to education.
Why does E.J. Dionne consider this brave? Half of the costs in the budget would cut vital services for the most vulnerable people in society. The other half would raise revenue from a lot of those same people, through regressive sales taxes. The rich get a light touch, a trifling amount from sales and vehicle taxes; their property values remain ridiculously low; and corporations would still pay less taxes than before a 2009 law changing the way they pay them in the state (though some of those tax cuts would go away). I could envision worse plans, and surely the state is in a big hole, thanks to years of mismanagement by the Schwarzenegger Administration. But every Democrat in the state is taking a “go along to get along” approach to a budget that will have major deleterious effects on those who can least afford it.
UPDATE: A quick stat:
The general fund portion of the state budget proposed by Gov. Jerry Brown spends $5.05 per $100 of personal income earned statewide. That’s the lowest amount since the 1972-73 budget year, when Ronald Reagan was governor and state spending per $100 of personal income was $5.01.
Needless to say, things are a bit more expensive now than they were in 1972.




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kudos to david. he works 7 days a week!!
and that bracket that starts at $1 million, it was created in a referendum by voters adding a 1% tax on earnings over $1 million to fund mental health care–in 2003 or 2004.
so CA really doesnt have a progressive income tax.
The brave legislature did NOT do that.
California does not have much of a political media, but we do have some strident radio hosts. Jon and Ken seem somewhat influential in Los Angeles, and basically all they do is bash public employees. Clarification on California taxes: it is the same tax rate in that income range, not the same tax, yes?
FWIW, I took the Next10 2011 California Budget Challenge and didn’t cut anything and still ended up with a Billion dollar surplus. The results were sent on to CA government Reps.
So try it yourself. If enough people ‘balance the budget’ without cuts, maybe the “lawmakers” will get a clue.
And yeah, Dionne is just another media type captured by the deficit mongers.
yes.
CA Income Tax Brackets [Go To Different State]
Tax Bracket (yearly earnings) Tax Rate (%)
$0+ 1%
$7,168+ 2%
$16,994+ 4%
$26,821+ 6%
$37,233+ 8%
$47,055+ 10%
$1,000,000+ 11%
YES–one giant step from 47k to 999k. if you make 50k you pay the same rate as the guy behind the gates with six cars, three homes and yacht.
http://www.tax-rates.org/California/income-tax
I did the same thing here and ended up with over 500M in reserve.
I can’t understand the Adult Day Health Care cut. It keeps many chronically ill elderly and disabled, with significant limiting conditions, out of nursing homes and could provide appropriate care for many more of CA’s rapidly growing older population if the funding were there. Many of those who will be thrown out of the ADHC program will have no choice other than to seek entry into those nursing home that will take MediCal patients. I do not understand the logic, to say nothing of the total lack of compassion.
Meanwhile, there is the huge, exorbitantly expensive CA penal system. Gah!
Wealthy pundits like Dionne always believe it is brave to screw the lower classes. He is what is called a liberal elitist. Back in the day that meant you screwed the middle class to help the poor. Today, it means you impoverish the bottom 98% and then sit back and admire their sacrifice.
Michael Moore in Madison.
“which would allow the rate to be lowered while still gaining more revenue (and becoming more progressive, as higher-end services get used by wealthier people)”????????????????????/????????
Yes a sales tax can be made more progressive – see Vermont’s for example with its cut outs for the necessaries bought by the lower middle class and poor.
Raising it does nothing progressive – indeed limiting that increase to luxury goods gets you a tax that collects near zero as the rich can – as they showed in 1994 – avoid such taxes – indeed exposing the fact that the rich pay very little on sales tax on what little they spend in the US.
I assume you are suggesting extending a sales tax currently on goods into the area of services – again for the very large dollar services there will be out of state corps doing the billing – but for those a bit above the average wage – yes they use more services and will pay a bit more in contrast to the poor who will not.
It is worse than that. As AG, Brown tanked Lakoff’s California Democract Act by insisting on using conservative framing for the title and summary, thereby ensuring that the 2/3 requirement for taxes would remain in place.
like O, all corporatists.
they say what they need to say to get elected (and it probably helps that they run against the fringe, ie. Whitman or Palin, to make them more “sensible”), and then they skrew the people and protect corporate profits.
what kind of person attacks the weak and defenseless? sociopaths and the evil monsters parading as humans.
Serious, thoughtful liberal pundits applaud from the sidelines while rich and powerful people attack those who are weak and defenseless. I’ve seen it a thousand times if I’ve seen it once. NPR (Nice Polite Republicans) is a master at this, to wit, designating a Dionne-like pundit as spokesperson for the ‘left’, who then promptly cheers (sedately) while a politician rips somebody’s eyeballs out.
Book Salon up with Micah Sifry’s Wikileaks And The Age Of Transparency hosted by Siun
Brown didn’t do that on his own. The Party wouldn’t get behind the Lakoff measure, starving it of the resources it needed to qualify for the ballot. The entire party out here is shell-shocked, and I’d argue that, if it weren’t for Lakoff’s action, they wouldn’t have even put ending 2/3 for the budget on the ballot.
That’s precisely what I’m saying. You can target a sales tax on services and lower it for basic goods – it’s up to 9.75% in LA. There are progressive ways to pull this off but the sales tax scheme we have right now in the state only really hurts the people who don’t have lobbyists in Sacramento.
We need a labor party. The democrats are the republicans of thirty years ago, and the republicans do not have a reason to exist at all except to punish the dems and assure they have an excuse to move even farther to the right of where the public is. Dionne and other tnr types do not represent my views in any sense, yet they undoubtedly dominate the modern democratic party.
And yet I *still* hear endless whiiiiiiiining from ConservaCali’s about *how insanely high* corporate taxes are… and these *egregious* corporate taxes are “business unfriendly” and driving corporations out of CA.
I have some high-income earning pals who, as demonstrated, pay CA taxes in the *exact same* tax bracket that I do, yet – literally from behind their gated fences in their $1.5Mill+ homes & very expensive gas-guzzling cars, after taking their 3rd overseas trip annually – boohoohooo with great big crocodile tears about how insanely UNFAIR their taxes are… why why why, they’re just being driven to the poor-house by these “outrageous” CA state taxes (I’m quoting almost verbatim).
The corporate-owned rightwing media has really done a mind-control job on the somewhat “upper middle classes” to make them feel amazingly entitled, completely self-centered, and utterly devoid of any milk of human kindness. I somewhat like my friends, but I can only see them infrequently bc their endless victimization & crying poor-mouth is more than I can stand.
It has totally become all about ripping off the lower & middle class for the benefit of the upper middle class on up.
And I agree that a LOT of Brown’s proposed draconian cuts are going to end costing the State *much more* in the long run. Talk about being penny-wise but pound-foolish. But “the people” only want to hear about the poor being *ground under.* Heaven forbid that CA should levy any more “egregious” taxes on the obscene wealth that exists out here in the Golden State.
I also keep hearing CA citizens – from all income levels – talking about the “welfare rip offs,” or the “Medicare rip-offs” or “unemployment rip-offs.” The notion of the underdog “ripping off” everyone else is very pervasive in our society.
Just this morning, someone I work with was going on & on & on & on about people ripping off unemployment, along with “waste” in the Medical. This person is barely middle class and was on unemployment, herself, for a number of months (luckily got a job recently).
Again the corp-owned fascist media has done the job the elites want it to do in terms of getting the serfs to buy their propoganda.
When I ask for concrete examples of the alleged “rip offs,” all I really hear about is gossipy rumors & innuendos… nothing concrete. Not once, ever, have I been given anything approximating a real-life example of supposed “rip off.” Not once. And believe me, I’ve asked often.
one thing all three — Scott Walker, John Kasich and Jerry Brown — have in common is that the state budget crisis they are dealing with (whatever their approach) is a crisis caused by the fed gov and the solution also lies with the fed gov: a per capita fed revenue sharing program to the states.
focusing on the actions and inactions of the state governments deflects attention from where , imo, it should be, with:
1) the obama administration and with congress, where the political responsibility lies. and
2) on a workable solution: a per capita fed revenue sharing program to the states.
Well David, it’s Saturday, and once again look to President WTF to supply those incredible soundbites that everyone in the media ignores:
But of course Mr. Republican President is prepared to do more. If nothing else, we all now know who the Republicans will be running in 2012. Who are the Dems going to run?
Well, I am sure you are right that the party killed it off. I was making the much more modest claim (obscurely, no doubt) that Brown hurt it with his rewording in the title and summary, that largely adopted right wing frames.
It is maddening that in a state where Democrats dominate, they are, as you say, shell shocked. I wish I had the answers on how to deal with that problem.
The situation is similar here in DC, where a council full of Democrats keep cutting spending instead of seeking to raise taxes (our top tax bracket begins at $40,000) or create jobs.
I did the one on the LA Times website and got surplus. The only thing I think I cut was prisons
Dionne’s idea of what real courage is has some merit, but he takes it to the wrong conclusions because he can’t see past the phony Democrat-Republican dichotomy.
Both parties are agents of and owned by wealth and privilege, hence going easy on the rich while demanding sacrifice from the rest of us really is the easy option for politicians of either party.
Standing up to the bipartisan consensus, that’s real courage, and correspondingly rare.
I think Brown’s attitude is the same as Big Daddy’s
He, and they, think they can get away with it because they’re Dems
Agree with everything except the Dem apparatus meme of “artifically low property taxes” due to Prop 13.
Residential property taxes are not artificially low. They are proportional to one’s ability to pay, instead of being proportional to some developer’s ability to sell adjacent property to Mr. Richy-Rich. Residential property taxes in California are based on the value of the home, not the value of the dirt under it.
And I have yet to see anyone explain how come all these states that do not have Prop 13 type property tax limits are in the financial tank. If Prop 13 was the cause, wouldn’t other states without Prop 13-type limits be hunky-dory?
Yes, income tax reform and some other reforms are needed but mostly CA has a spending problem. (Starting with its incarceration costs.)
Suffer more. That’s what Americans need to do, then they will understand. Dems/Repubs = same thing. Notice there hasn’t been a peep from the national Dems (except S. Brown) on the Wisconsin crisis. Until we bring down the rich, nothing is going to change.
Mostly agree with you, except I think that the State Income Tax needs to be changed and made much more progressive.
Plus: yes, cut the prisons and three strikes your out. That’s been an unfunded mandate (three strikes) foisted on us by the punitive Caliconservatives, who want to be judgemental and punitive but not pay a dime for it.
Studies have proven endlessly that recidivism drops significantly with various educational/vocational/technical training programs for prisoners, esp the younger prisoners. Yet the dog forbid we have such programs bc it represents “coddling” to the conservatives.
What happens? Then we get prisoners who end up being “trained” only to be crooks/criminals/gangbangers, who end up recycling endlessly thru the State’s prison system at a much much higher cost to tax payers than if we gave them adequate training, along with a variety of rehab programs, in the first place.
Again: penny-wise, pound-foolish, short-sighted and ever-pandering to the cockamamey notion that we have to grind under the poor in order to ensure that the poor don’t somehow manage to “rip off” the wealthy.
I think it’s called Insanity.
Hope this is ok, but I think it’s more accurate.
Although the upper middle class *believes* that they are endlessly suffering from being “ripped off” by taxes & the poor, quite simply they are not suffering.
And the Elites? Well, you know the answer to that one… suffering is for serfs, not for the upper 2%.
The goddamn stupid unwinnable insane drug war, esp. regarding marijuana, is at the crux of the problem. Hell, make all drugs legal. Put them on sale and tax them. Make sale or providing any of the hard drugs to a minor a minimum 20 year sentence. But make any emergency room treatment contingent on ability to pay. You come in O’D, no insurance, we fucking let you die. Harsh, but the word gets out, we’d have a lot fewer overdoses. (My particular brand of the “personal responsibility” the conservatives like to rant about.)
One of the q’s on the Next10 challenge was reforming Porp13 to reclassify commercial properties differently than residential; that ‘should’ be done.
And like John in Sacramento, the only thing I cut was prisons.
As towards your “You come in O’D, no insurance, we fucking let you die”; that occurs because of the illegality and how the drugs are ‘cut’. Making such drugs ‘legal’ won’t happen but we could take a page from Portugal about such. But even more to the point, drug usage such as crack,crank,smack,etc. are symptomatic of issues in a persons life; those issues need to be addressed and in a society where the number of people greatly outweighs the needed population for ‘productivity’ sakes, addressing such isn’t something that any politicians seems to be willing to take on.
This does not define a spending problem, it defines a criminal justice policy problem. And we just elected in California as Attorney General a woman who ran on a smart on crime platform of not locking up so damn many people. So this can change if people take the lesson from Kamala Harris’ victory.
I’d be perfectly willing to start Prop 13 reform with split-roll, there’s even a movement headed by SF Assessor Phil Ting. But you have to start this.
State spending per $100 of income, as I said in the piece, will be the lowest in the state since 1972. That simply does not reflect a spending problem at all.
I did the ballot too and was stunned by how uninspired, often cruelly counterproductive the choices. And cutting elderly home healthcare, forcing elderly into nursing homes! That appears almost a campaign contribution payback to filthy money. There was no place to register suggestions to the Gov either on the form…just choose between a bunch of sad options that unfairly target the less fortunate.
Brown offers no indication that he is willing to go to bat against fundamental forces that have sucked our coffers dry:
Why is he not addressing the financial insanity of our three strikes law, where each inmate costs the taxpayer $50000 year til death? The majority of these 3 felonies are non violent. At least Brown should be promoting a law change to making three strikes mean three violent felonies.
Jerry is also the perfect spokesperson for declaring the unaffordability to Ca of hemp and marijuana prohibitions. The savings to our state budget in diminishing violent crime, incarcerations, prosecutions and arrests, the environmental benefits of hemp cultivation, and the revenue from taxation of Ca’s largest cash crop…all at this point realistic no brainers.
Increasing sales tax…which is already obscenely near 10% and already unaffordable for the poor and economically struggling. Why not sales taxes enforced that our state and local coffers have been cheated out of for years:
An internet tax on all purchases shipped into California and a financial tax on every financial purchase made by California residents?
Corporations should also pay corporate tax in California if the majority of their employees (including “consultants”) reside in our state.
Enough with these corporate tax cheaters pretending to be in Delaware & the Caymen Islands
while they use our roads and schools.
Brown should also get more aggressive about getting all the Mers money back for states and cities…fees that were not collected by this virtual fraud.
It seems necessary, given the obscene amount of tax free money we in Ca saw spent on the last election, that there should also be a way to tax this money…maybe just by putting a sales tax on media purchases, I don’t know. But why, for example, did we have to listen to the Prop 23 wall of sound lies and subsidize that garbage at the same time?
I guess Brown’s hands are tied right now on raising income tax, but in addition to that gaping mess between 50000 and a million, why not do a progressive estate tax?
Prop 13 should be reexamined to disallow heirs from inheriting their parents property and still pay only the property tax of their parents. Prop 13 was designed to keep homeowners, especially the fixed incomed, in their homes. Not to make tax cheats out of their children and grandchildren.
These are just a few ideas. Brown’s cuts are intellectually lazy and rudderless. He needs to have a Plan, something that demonstrates to Ca that he wants to make fundamental changes to our broken tax system in Ca. And essential to that Plan is addressing some of the fundamental misorientations of our state laws and priorities.
Instead of hopelessly picking over the carcass Arnold left, Brown needs to show some serious and informed leadership with a Master Plan that addresses the true financial realities of our State. That’s why we voted for him.
Great!While I was writing my comments, I see others mentioned the 3 strikes and drug laws. So
definitely I second those suggestions and sorry to duplicate.
I thought of one more taxfree event that rankles me. The Port of Ca in Long Beach makes that area and Freeway one of the most unhealthy, polluted spots in the Country. Why not put a Ca environmental tax of say 2% of value on every container unloaded there? The majority of those
containers come from foreign countries, yet they pay nothing to our state for the excessive diesel pollution their trucks causes.
Good point, and another one of those burrs that stick in my craw. Definitely should be reclassified and made to pay a more “fair share” of the property taxes than they do now. I figure that commercial property taxes must be ridiculously low bc so much useless commerical property was developed in the boom… most of it sitting vacant now. What a waste.
Agree. I feel like Brown has made a passing stab at attempting to have the beginnings of a plan, but it’s very incomplete, and as you say: lazy & rudderless. It is “early days” in his admin, but consistently going after the poorest and most vulnerable is just pathetic.
And, like refusing to reform three strikes, etc, will most likely end up costing more in the long run anyway. That’s what’s so infruiating. IF somehow I thought these draconian and unfair measures would somehow add up to really really saving State money and making a serious difference, well, perhaps I could deal with it. But these measures are tired & stupid and do nothing but cause the vulnerable to be harmed whilst ongoingly pandering to and sucking up to the upper middle class & elites.
I’m so g-d*mned sick & tired of the upper percents having their butts kissed as if they were the fatted calves. I really don’t see them contributing their fair shares AT ALL. Yet the weak and helpless get to suffer more, so that self-serving sh*ts in gated communities can buy more fancy cars, go on more vacations, etc.
Again, I call it Insanity.
Must say: I didn’t have high hopes for Brown, so I’m not all that “disappointed” in terms of my very low expectations. I still feel, at this point, that we’re better off than with E-Meg, but get back to me later on that notion, too. Time will tell.
This seems like a real-life example of rip-off:
State controller finds more big public employee salaries, including $875,000 for hospital chief
These kinds of extremes are severally damaging to public workers.
Nobody should be getting filthy rich at public expense.
It’s always the conservatives who have valid points in the eyes of Our Great Liberal President. Criticism from the left is whining at best and the basest treachery at worst.
To “start” Prop 13 reform with a split roll? Start? Freudian slip, there David. Real agenda is complete repeal? Check.
No, your stat was per $100 of personal income. To that I would say:
a) What about corporate income and other non-personal income?
b) If it’s true that middle class wages have remained stagnant since 1979, why shouldn’t government spending remain stagnant as well? I mean, if we’re not going to tax the rich and corporations, aren’t the non-rich already bearing enough of the load?
I’d be careful about this idea. I agree there can be abuses but I would like to see some careful study on this in relationship to the issue of elder care by surviving children, esp. in light of the coming “austerity” programs and the loss of some many pensions. (Plus the retirement inadequacy of so many 401k plans.) I suspect that what is going to happen over the next 15-20 years is that more and more kids are going to be putting off buying their own homes to live with and care for their parents, or to go into hock for that care in assisted living facilities.
I also know that in most cases with multiple children, the properties are sold to split up the proceeds among the siblings, so I’m guessing — just guessing — that the majority of beneficiaries from this provision are only children who, in turn, bore the sole responsibility and costs for caring for parents in old age.
Like I said, not ruling out this reform out of hand, just want to see some more data, pro and con. Would love to know how many properties fall into this category annually, and what the estimated revenue loss is.
Hey, you lost me here. How can reassessing commercial property increase tax revenues if so much commercial property is vacant? Seems to me everybody would be using that vacant property as a comp to get their assessed value lowered from where it is now. (Based on original build cost assessment or last sale price.) And how can you increase the assessment on large numbers of vacant properties which may have remained vacant for long periods, or which are only rentable at reduced rates? In fact, we keep hearing about a coming financial crisis triggered by a massive number of commercial loans not being able to re rolled-over because of so much vacant property and the corresponding decline in value, revenue streams, etc.
Not disagreeing on the issue of changing how commercial property is assessed, just saying this example doesn’t seem to make sense to me. Not sure how you make a case for increasing assessed value of properties that apparently have decreased real-world value by normal standards of measurement.
Maybe you didn’t convey what you intended to.
Repealing Three Strikes is going to be difficult because it appears to be directly tied to a reduction in crime. For every guy who gets 25-to-life for a third strike petty theft there are hundreds of others who have committed more serious crimes.
I’m guessing that the chances for marijuana reform, which has the effect of reducing arrests and incarceration rates, is more likely to happen.