The Pentagon claimed at their press conference that the Arab League formally backed the actions of the UN coalition i Libya, after previously criticizing it. But I’ve seen no Arab League communiques on the situations in Yemen and Bahrain, which of course concern Arab League member states. So let’s look at those situations on their own.
The citizens of Yemen have decided to respond to the violent assault and murder of protesters with a massive funeral in Sanaa. Tens of thousands of mourners gathered in what is considered the largest demonstration yet; the Guardian put the number at 150,000, which would be amazing. And opposition parties, which previously sought political reforms, now are intent on removing President Ali Abdullah Saleh from power. The rising crowds, not just in Sanaa but in other cities, show how tenuous Saleh’s position is at this time.
Saleh responded by dumping his cabinet, but not before many cabinet ministers and Yemen’s ambassador to the UN resigned in protest. Saleh imposed a state of emergency in the country, and rolled out tanks and soldiers into the streets for the first time. It seems the military is one of Saleh’s last strongholds. Even the tribes are deserting him:
Yemen’s tribes, one of the few remaining bastions of the embattled Saleh’s rule, appear also to be turning against him. Sadeq al-Ahmar, the leader of Yemen’s most powerful tribal confederation, issued a statement on Sunday asking Saleh to respond to the people’s demands and leave peacefully.
So the trajectory in Yemen is similar to what we saw in Egypt, with the nonviolent protests ultimately pushing Hosni Mubarak from power. With the outrage internally at Saleh’s forces firing on unarmed protesters, and the growth of the demonstrations, we could see Saleh forced to resign. The status of the army would be crucial, and a shift in the international posture as well.
Bahrain, I fear, is following a different trajectory. Foreign troops from Saudi Arabia and the UAE are enforcing martial law along with Bahraini forces. Opposition leaders are being rounded up. Hospitals are under siege. And while the US has given lip service condemning the crackdown, you’re seeing talk about Iranian agitators among the protesters creep into many statements. The Bahraini opposition has formally asked for an intervention from the US and United Nations under the “responsibility to protect” doctrine. They don’t look wrong in believing that their lives are in danger without international support.
I’m willing to accept that these situations are unique, and the lack of intervention in one trouble spot does not mean that it should be withheld everywhere. But it is incumbent upon the US and their allies to explain precisely why their standard supports interventions in one context and not others. Especially because the doctrine of humanitarian intervention does not really make these distinctions – it essentially avers that, wherever civilians are threatened, the international community has a responsibility to defend them. Each case is unique, but we have a right to know what makes Libya different from Yemen, or Bahrain, or Syria, where the protest movement has grown in recent days. And this is separate from understanding what we are prepared to take on – nation-building, partitions, a permanent presence – when we agree to these interventions.
UPDATE: Attention should be paid to Richard Lugar (Via John Cole):
Sen. Richard Lugar (R-Ind.) warned on Sunday that the U.S. is starting a treacherous descent down a slippery slope of international diplomacy by getting involved in Libya.
It doesn’t make sense, he said, for the U.S. to help Libyan civilians when the citizens of countries like Bahrain, Yemen and Syria are also being oppressed.
“We had better get this straight from the beginning,” he said on CBS’s “Face the Nation,” “or there’s going to be a situation where war lingers on, country after country, situation after situation, all of them on a humane basis, saving people.”
Should this be the goal of American foreign policy?



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In response to your question, U.S. foreign policy is captive to capitalism and supporting democracy in other nations is subservient to that economic paradigm. So your question implies other questions.
FWIW; please see this diary:
http://my.firedoglake.com/wendydavis/2011/03/20/saudi-pilots-to-train-in-idaho-saudis-help-crush-protests-in-bahrain/
I ask the question: “why should we be providing ANY assistance to a government who orders it’s police to shoot to kill protestors and tells the police they will be punished if the show any mercy?
As long as Israel is paranoid about it’s chances for survival and Europe is so dependent on ME oil-we get most of ours from Canada- the game will keep being played as it is.
And more to your question:
http://www.opendemocracy.net/ali-khan/when-armies-go-marching-in-bahrain-and-libya?utm_source=feedblitz&utm_medium=FeedBlitzEmail&utm_content=201210&utm_campaign=Nightly_2011-03-20%2006%3a30
Libya is unique because it is a Mediterranean country with a small population that is relatively well-off. Gadhafi has little international support. It should be a quick military operation, and now that we have committed to it we should get it over with.
In contrast the Bahraini opposition now recognize that they are living in a client state of Saudi Arabia. The US should condemn the violence more forcefully and press for reforms but for now that’s all that’s going to happen.
Yemen is somewhere in the middle. The Saudis (and the US) would prefer the current government remain but if civil war breaks out I wouldn’t expect foreign intervention.
With both Yemen and Bahrain, the US government has another option besides military action -withdrawing support. This is obviously less problematic from a sovereignty point of view, does not depend on any international authorization, and is considerably less destructive and counterproductive as bombing.
What will be interesting to me is to see if the House of Saud tries to send troops to Yemen to shore up Saleh much as it’s trying to shore up Bahrain’s régime. The Sauds haven’t wanted to be too open in their opposition to the Arab Spring, but they certainly don’t want to see it take root in Saudi Arabia. That’s why they’ve so far refused to pass on arms to Libyan rebels, even though Gaddafi has actually tried to kill Saudi King Abdullah at least once.
Interesting analysis of the situation in Libya.
Just a Bad, Bad Idea
Josh Marshall | March 20, 2011, 6:11P
“It looks more like once we’ve closed down Qaddafi’s air forces we’ve basically taken custody of what is already a failed rebellion. We’ve accepted responsibility for protecting them. Once we recognize that, the logic of the situation will lead us to arming our new charges, helping them get out the jam they’re in.
“So let’s review: No clear national or even humanitarian interest for military intervention. Intervening well past the point where our intervention can have a decisive effect. And finally, intervening under circumstances in which the reviled autocrat seems to hold the strategic initiative against us. This all strikes me as a very bad footing to go in on.”
LINK.
“No clear national or even humanitarian interest for military intervention.”; absolutely a fallacious premise upon which too base his argument. Marshall needs to go back to the beginning of the al jazeera blogging about Libya and read them.
The title of Marshall’s piece doesn’t fit the text. He says at the end:
He has the same ambivalence everyone else has. It’s not a “bad, bad idea.” It’s a “bad, good idea.”
You got it, bmull! Ambivalence reigns, which creates many dangers, including opportunities for the nefarious.
As an attempt to answer why intervene in one situation and not another, i would answer cost-benefit analysis.
I don’t mean to say that cynically, in an ideal world we can bring peace everywhere, but in the real world intervening cost resources and intervening too much will stretch our resources thin.
Getting involved in civil wars is usually a bad idea, as is getting involved in nation-building. In Libya, there is already a sophisticated, organized ground force on the side the pro-democracy side. We do not have to commit ground forces for that reason, and if Sec. Gates is to be believed, the US role in this will be over in a few days. Moreover, some rebel leaders have claimed (maybe a bit too optimistically, but who knows) that they will be able to finish overthrowing Gaddafi in a few days! So the cost of intervening here (in terms of our resources) is minimal. The benefit is we prevented a massacre.
In Bahrain, as a counter example. In an ideal world, a UN peace keeping force would go in to prevent a crack down by the local and foreign militaries. The cost of that is a ground force in an Arab country, which unfortunately is far to high a price for US to pay. If the UN were able to find a suitable (and willing) peacekeeping force to accomplish that it may be worth it, but it is unlike to find a suitable force (or the political will).