The press conference from a public official that actually matters today is not happening in the White House or on a tarmack in New Hampshire. In just a few minutes, Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke will take questions from reporters. It’s the first time in history that a Fed Chair is holding a press conference, but it comes at a difficult time in the history of the Fed. Their public image has been soiled by a rough economy and their work to prop up zombie banks during the bailout era. Despite praise and a Man of the Year award from Time Magazine, public confidence in Bernanke and the entire institution of the Fed has dipped. For three years running they have failed to meet their targets on both core inflation (which is running below their preferred level) and unemployment (which is running too high). Their efforts to fix the economy outside of finance have been halfhearted at best. And even some otherwise staid observers are beginning to question Bernanke’s ability:
One question more than any than other is crying out for an answer: Why has Mr. Bernanke decided to accept widespread unemployment for years on end, even though he believes he has the power to reduce it?
The Fed’s own forecasts suggest that the unemployment rate won’t fall below 5 percent for perhaps another five or six years. Mr. Bernanke believes the Fed “retains considerable power” to reduce unemployment faster, despite the fact that its benchmark interest rate is zero, as he’s said before. Yet he has been hesitant to use that power.
He is in a tough spot, to be fair. Several other voting members of the Fed’s monetary policy committee — and some prominent members of Congress — oppose aggressive action, because they worry it will set off inflation. But these critics always worry about inflation. They have been wrong again and again over the last two years. More important, they don’t have enough power to keep Mr. Bernanke from pursuing the policy he thinks is best.
So the Fed’s decision to permit high unemployment for an extended period rests on his shoulders.
The success of economic policymakers to deal with the fallout of the financial crisis should not be measured by the ledger of whether TARP turned a profit, it should be measured by the millions of jobs lost over the same period, which no real effort to replace them. Fiscal policy isn’t even being considered as an option (and Bernanke has generally cheerleaded fiscal austerity), but monetary policy most certainly has failed in this regard. In addition to some minor constraints on the Board of Governors, Bernanke has put real constraints on himself, warning of risks to monetary policies that might actually work. The Fed has tremendous power it chooses to use for financial companies and not the rest of society.
The Fed’s release on the state of the economy, which will probably be part of Bernanke’s opening statement, shows them incapable of breaking out of this box, unable to perform necessary tasks to break the back of unemployment. I don’t expect Bernanke to elaborate much in his remarks; this is more about transparency theater than real transparency. But if there’s anything interesting from this press conference, I’ll note it here.
…You can watch a stream of the Bernanke press conference at this link.
…Bernanke’s statement was basically a recitation of the long-term outloook. The first questioner asked why GDP growth in Q1 is going to end up so horrible, with less than 2% growth. Bernanke said it was “transitory,” a phase that will pass. He also said “possibly there’s less momentum” in the economy.
….Bernanke getting lobbed softballs.
…Bernanke on the increase in gas prices: it’s all supply and demand. There’s a nod to the unrest in the Arab world. “This is a very adverse development… accounts for pretty much all the increase in our inflation target in the near term.” Says there’s not much the Fed can do. Not one word on speculation.
…Finally a question on jobs. Says that job creation has picked up in the last few months. The labor market is improving gradually. Encouraging to see improvement in recent months, but the pace is quite slow. Something like 7 million-plus jobs below where we were before the crisis. Obviously, labor market not in good shape.
…And actually a good question. “What would you do to lower the job rate and why aren’t you doing it?” Bernanke’s answer: “We saved the banks!” Also we have to worry about inflation (even though they’re not meeting inflation targets right now)
…NPR asks why QEII didn’t work. Bernanke disagrees and says it is working.




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The Fed is worried they might be closed it has happened before given how the Fed has handled the economy its only a matter of time. Ron Paul will likely run on closing the Fed as a major issue for his campaign if he has any brains.
That assumes the Feds projections are right but after they missed predicting the banking bailout can we trust their ability to predict anything?
The press seems absolutely terrified. They still seem to believe there is some arcane magic here to which they must be subservient.
Lets not forget the McJobs replacing the good paying jobs that got outsourced.
More like half assed. They don’t care about the economy except as to whether the rich are making money. Let enough rich people start going broke and they’ll leap into action with more “shared sacrfice”™.
That qualitative easing thing worked: look a the increase in the stock market.
I’m sure that really means a lot to retirees with their savings accounts losing money every month with interest rates under inflation rates.
It must be arcane magic, because it sure ain’t divine.
We can’t do anything about long-term unemployment, and the problem is going to get worse.
The Press is scared they are starting to worry? Just how bad are things really? When the Press starts worrying about stuff FDL cares about then I start thinking its time to panic.
Government could hire people like FDR did? Granted Obama won’t do it but its possible.
S&P negative watch: Congress and Executive should fix the long-run problem “as best they can.” Heh.
Why is there a picture of Larry Kudlow on the side of my screen? What in the holy hell did I do to deserve that?
The Banks just started another bubble based on nothing when it fails I expect another bailout. Bank Profits are imaginary.
But government jobs aren’t real jobs. Haven’t you been listening to all those guys with government jobs?
Well, as a factual matter, that’s definitely half-right.
“The damage that was done by the tragedy.”
If Ben was serious about fiscal austerity he would be saying we can’t afford two wars:)
Overall, there have been more questions about jobs and employment than I would have expected.
Not unexpected is Bernanke’s non-answers about what tools the FED has at its disposal to improve the job market and what it plans on doing or has done. “Well, we bailed out the financial sector. What more did you expect?”
Only two?!?!?
I’ll translate this whole press conference right here and save you all some time:
“We care about the rich. Period. As long as the rich have enormous piles of idle cash to sit on, we’re doing our job. Unemployed? Oh well, nothing we can do about that. Uninsured? we’ll make you buy useless insurance whether or not you can afford it. Pension gone? Guess you shoulda worked harder. House foreclosed? Guess you shoulda rented instead. In summary, unless you have at least one million in assets, don’t bother us with your petty complaints! Can’t you see that the we’re doing our best so the rich will let some pennies trickle down on you? Oh and you mere millionaires? Don’t think that just because we give you tax breaks that you get a seat at the table. Now be quiet. Serious people talking here.”
Chairman Bernanke, are you now, or have you ever been, a follower of Ayn Rand?
FDR fixed the Great Depression Bush/Obama and Ben have not fixed anything African American unemployment is approaching Depression Levels is the rest of the country that far behind?
Ben’s fear is he is wrong about the economy and White unemployment starts reaching those levels Politicians even Obama only care when rich White voters start feeling the heat.
Not financial heat the possibility of the White Middle Class going Socialist.
Sorry drones in Pakistan, Libya anywhere else?
I think it’s more but honestly I’ve lost count. Three at least that I can think of.
Thanks for that. Since I don’t have sound on my tubes today, that made everything very easy. Cheers.
Forgot about Pakistan. Okay four at least.
That’s what they mean by austerity. Cutting back to two wars.
Shorter version I just borrowed a bunch of money from loan sharks to gamble and this time I got a system! Stop nagging me about paying the rent or getting a real job gambling is a real job!
Srsly…what has Bernake said? Anything worth noting?
The main reason the recovery is slow is because government spending has not increased adequately.
The prevailing world depression, the enormous anomaly of unemployment in a world full of wants, the disastrous mistakes we have made, blind us to what is going on under the surface to the true interpretation.
Now that Gates is out, how far can we be from the big enchilada Iran?
…Bernanke’s statement was basically a recitation of the long-term outloook. The first questioner asked why GDP growth in Q1 is going to end up so horrible, with less than 2% growth. Bernanke said it was “transitory,” a phase that will pass. He also said “possibly there’s less momentum” in the economy.
I thought the Fed was predicting much more than that what happened.?/s
*heh* Can I assume Bernake did not say anything like that?
Pray tell, what is the “true interpretation.”
Yemen.
Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen, and now Libya.
Five wars.
“Anomaly” makes it sound innocent, inexplicable or unintentional. I’m not trying to parse the definition because unemployment is anomalous in the fact that it’s certainly unusual but it’s all working exactly as intended.
Maybe they think they’re getting a bulk discount for multiple wars.
Amazing what you can do with drones!
Like I said, I’ve lost count.
I hope it ends up on all their tombstones. Makes it easier to find the right one to piss on.
Okay, that was a waste of time. Bernanke is not going to do anything different and has no plans to do anything about unemployment. He even insulted me as a long term unemployed person!
Bank speculation and leverage will likely be the cause of the next bank bailout nice to see the Fed is on top of this/s.
Ok I need a scorecard the entire Lake needs a scorecard to keep up.
Nah. We don’t need a scorecard. You can remember 0′s just fine.
We are not at war. Congress hasn’t declared war not once and Obama used some archaic reason to help Libya.
7 million jobs below what we were pre crisis never mind the growth in population since then? Never mind McJobs replacing good paying fulltime work?
Never mind American consumers are what drives the world economy if we don’t buy stuff the world economy will stall? Never mind wage growth is not keeping up with inflation and the rise in food and gas?
Never mind higher gas prices and food prices which the Fed ignores when they calculate inflation but American consumers won’t ignore it they will stop spending.
Unless anyone thinks gas prices will go down anytime soon?
How Many Police Actions, military advisors fighting in foreign countries, etc are the terms are we in?
Oh! I thought you meant how many war zones. Scuse me. My apologies. Drones are for war zones.
I have no way of knowing all of them. Most of that info is top, top, secret but I’ve read several articles about the drones being used along the borders of US both at Canada and Mexico.
The reason the Fed won’t act to drive down unemployment is because they are trying to drive down wages. The longer we have substantial unemployment, the easier it will be to pay less and less to workers.
“Push the button, Max”!
my thanks to everyone for listening so i don’t have to. will try to read a transcript later, but don’t think my computer would survive if i had to listen.
The counterfeiting (hat tip John Perkins) will continue. We will spread “democracy” at the end of a gun to more populations so we can extract rents. Move along now, nothing to see here.
And banks have done what to create Jobs? What he really meant to say was hey forget jobs my loan shark is flush thanks for paying him off for me! I can keep gambling! I got a System! I can’t lose.
You will get your money back when I win! Of course when I win I will say the win is the result of hard work discipline and me being a self made man and that you should act more like me.
I will forget you loaned me money and never pay you back your the first wife who pays for my medical school by being a waitress. I divorce you the second I make money.
Selise,
All the things you’ve already posted and read shows you have a better handle on the situation than Bernanke does. He didn’t really say anything the entire conference and the questions were all from Finance rag writers.
The corporatists are taking over everything. If it wasn’t bad enough the FBI raiding dairy farms for selling non-processed milk, now buying health food is being labeled a mental illness – just wait for Obama to label his critics mentally ill:
Orthorexics: Those affected may start by eliminating processed foods, anything with artificial colorings or flavorings as well as foods that have come into contact with pesticides. Beyond that, orthorexics may also shun caffeine, alcohol, sugar, salt, wheat and dairy foods. Some limit themselves to raw foods.http://health.yahoo.net/experts/dayinhealth/new-eating-disorders-are-they-real
i actually don’t think there is much the fed can do to create jobs — unless it is to support congress and treasury’s non-existent fiscal policies.
‘course bernanke could be calling for fiscal policies in support of jobs… instead of engaging in deficit hysteria.
That would be an interesting number to get:)
Yep! I seem to keep going back to his revelations in the book constantly these days.
it’s not me. i’ve just been reading some seriously great economists:
warren mosler to head the fed!
james galbraith to head the fed!
wray, fullwiler, …. there’s actually a lot of good choices.
Yes, anybody besides what we have now and our Treasury Sec needs to go too.
He could say we can’t afford 2 wars we can’t afford private healthcare or Obama care and must have national Healthcare he could say wind power is cheaper than nuclear power and America can’t afford a Japanese Nuke disaster clean up.
He could say we need tariffs if we want to mine rare earth minerals in this country without worrying China will flood the market and lower the price. He could say thousands of good paying jobs could be created in America if high tech goods had a 100% tariff.
The American consumer market is the largest in the world we win more if we conqueror are own market rather than lose our own market and conquer part of the world market.
Ben could say other countries are not following free trade and even when they do they pirate our goods.
( I really need to research just how many ipods apple sells in China vs the size of the knock off market or the ipods nearest competing product whatever that maybe ).
Anyone you like to head the Fed will make Ben and his gambler friends scared their loan shark might retire:)
Tweedy-Beard does looneytunes press conference.
as a nation we are constrained in what we can afford only by real resource constraints (as winterspeak sez, atoms not bits): by our people’s ability and the productive capability of our economy. not dollars. the (consolidated) fed gov spends dollars into existence. dollars we can afford. oil is a real resource constraint.
in addition to the immorality of our wars, our country wastes the people, the equipment, etc and all of what they could be productively doing. that’s what we can’t afford. not the dollars.
Silver gave The Bernank the middle finger, going up $3 from the time of the release to the end of the press conference. Shilly Jim Cramer tried to say that the first 75cents was just knee jerk buying.
What do the psychologists say? Repeat something often enough and you come to believe it? Don’t you love how The Bernank kept talking about the “extraordinary measures” the Fed took? Excuse me?? The Fed? How about the fucking tax payer jerk off???
The Bernank sounded exactly like he must have giving his first job talk at Princeton. Nervous with quaking voice. Settling down after a full thirty minutes. Then impressed with his performance, stretching it a bit to show how competent he is. Anybody else hear an academic job talk there today?
not retire. :)
fair trials!
They only care about inflation because it reduces the value of the money they get from unearned income, interest and dividends. Back in the 70′s we had what they called “stagflation”, inflation plus relatively high unemployment. It was goal of the Reagan administration to kill stagflation. Well, they killed the inflation, but never got around to getting rid of the stagnation part of it.
Now that we aren’t even stagnating, but actually sliding backwards into the deep abyss they are determined to stop inflation even if it puts us into a depression.
What banks were forced to file for bankruptcy before they were bailed out? What individual CEO’s name was on any bankruptcy form? The banks in other nations that American taxpayers bailed out–have they paid anything back to the US treasury? A while ago Bernanke squealed saying it would be a horrible thing if the Fed was audited. So, no oversight for the Fed or for the military. This needs to change now. The Corporate Supreme Court– I have no respect for any decisions coming out of it. It is too political. It has been compromised and degraded. The constitution re the SC needs to be changed. It means nothing anymore. Given the current US tyranny, it is an obsolete institution. They have spoken and have said corporations are more important than We The People. Very, very sad.