Both sides have gotten off the sidelines and started to spend money in the surprisingly close NY-26 special election between Republican Jane Corwin, Democrat Kathy Hochul and Tea Party candidate Jack Davis. After polls showed the race in the red district within reach for the Democrat, thanks to the third party effort of Davis taking conservative votes and Corwin’s embrace of Medicare privatization, we learned that American Crossroads, Karl Rove’s organization, will drop $650,000 into the race in support of Corwin. Their anonymous donors may have to pay a substantial gift tax on those funds, but it’s a small price to pay to have government policy in their hands. Crossroads will buy $350,000 this week and the rest next week.
The DCCC, which had been reluctant to engage, finally got involved as well yesterday.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is placing a $250,000 TV ad buy in the race for a vacant western New York congressional seat, according to a knowledgeable Democratic official.
It appears that Hochul has already benefited from some coordinated funds on behalf of the DCCC, but this is a more public effort. The NRCC, the Republican companion to the D-Trip, has so far done nothing, outsourcing to Karl Rove’s group instead.
Jack Davis, a multi-millionaire, will have plenty of money available for the end of the race as well. He just lent himself another $500,000.
So with all three candidates financially viable, how will the race shake out? The presence of Davis makes it harder to claim that this is a referendum on Medicare privatization. However, I do think you can say what Josh Kraushaar says, that this has refocused attention on the actual desires of Republicans, which are broadly unpopular.
The inconvenient truth is that issues resonate more in special elections, because they’re the only campaign in town. In November, with other races on the ballot, many voters are hardly familiar with House candidates. But in a contested special election with more politically attuned voters, there’s more reason to pay attention to the nominees’ views [...]
In the district, which has bled jobs for decades, voters want to hear a candidate squarely focused on pocketbook issues. Hochul has connected with them, particularly on seniors’ entitlements and even her fight against costly tolls.
As the late Speaker Tip O’Neill of Massachusetts famously said, “All politics is local.” It’s a quote invoked to downplay the significance of national issues in a congressional campaign. But politics, locally, can also tell us an awful lot about the national environment.
I’m unfamiliar with the toll issue, but I think we can say that running on a platform of ending tax breaks to the rich while protecting Social Security and Medicare is a pretty good strategy that will resonate with the public. Only one of the three candidates in NY-26 is giving that a shot.




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What date is the election?
Hochul prolly only needs that one ad to counter the reichwing money.
I got a call from the DCCC the other day. One question survey. “Do you think the Democratic Party is headed in the right direction?” Boy, did she get an earful. Coulda just said no, I suppose. Doesn’t surprise me the DCCC is late getting into this race. It would appear they’re only willing to spend money on sure winners, like districts with no other candidates.
A seat is a seat, but she will have to run again next year, and she may not have the luxury of a split Republican vote to work with.
Yeah, the DCCC hasn’t emailed me since the last time when they asked me the same question.
Yep. They lost me when the abandoned Francine Busby who had a real shot at Cunningham’s old seat. Another Rahm Emanuel special.
O.T.: Teh stooopid! It hertz!
They could begin to learn ASL during the time they spend in the slammer.
The “cutters” of our society engaged in a form of societal self-mutilation. These characters lack any sense of decency? What they fail to realize is the billion plus dollars wasted today out the tailpipe’s of our inefficient cars could be better applied to enhance the general welfare of this nation rather than lining the pockets of energy corporations. No moral hazards here in America destroying a standard of living for the governed while corporations like Exxon Mobile and GS make profit extracting life and liberty from the governed. No moral hazards here……..
They lost me a long time ago. I can’t figure out why I’m still on their list. I don’t get emails or mailers from them any more.
Karl is stepping up the cash because losing a red district to us when unemployment and gas prices are so high would signal that voters are not blaming Obama for those two issues.
Trump and Sarah’s dump in the poll numbers suggest the fundies Birther issue is backfiring and is being seen as a code word for racism.
Rep Ryan the GOP’s tv friendly point man for Corporate GOP ideas has caused how many GOP Reps to run from or restrict questions at their town halls?
High Gas prices are the only issue the GOP has left the GOP and Dems won’t talk about creating jobs.
They don’t fail to recognize it, they fail to believe that any of the rest of us recognize it.
Oh, man, I miss all the good stuff. What do I have to do to get them to call me?
Blue Texan’s regularly scheduled post is up: Will Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum Defy Pope Benedict’s Call for Swift Action on Climate Change?
I changed registration to a Dem late in 07 so I could vote in the primary. Switched back to NPA right after but I’m apparently still in some database.
By the way, Ian Murphy is running in NY-26 as the Green candidate. He’s the guy that put through that prank call to Scott Walker in Wisconsin posing as David Koch, which was more helpful to the union cause than the combined efforts of the Democratic Party in its entirety.
The Democrat here seems like another Blue Dog to me, going on about keeping taxes low and cutting wasteful government spending. She doesn’t even have a single issue on her webpage.
I doubt the tightness of this race means much. People said the same thing about it being a referendum on Republicans in 2009 when that Democrat won a House seat in a district that hadn’t elected a Democrat in 150 years when that Hoffman guy ran as the Conservative candidate and split the vote. Then Democrats got wiped out in 2010.
Francine Busby was a terrible candidate and would have joined the Blue Dogs in her own right.
I’d be afraid to take that survey.
Them: Do you think the Democratic Party is headed in the right direction?
Me: No.
Them: Thank you. Based on all the no answers we received, we’ve determined that the Democratic Party should move further to the right.
Me: No way! The democratic party needs to be more liberal!
Them: Sorry, we’re not authorized to address that, thank you for helping shape democratic party policy, bye! *DIAL TONE*
Me: FFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUU –
I haven’t gotten a call from them since the 2008 elections. I’m still a democratic, but I consider myself a DINO. I vote in the primaries to support the most liberal candidate, but vote Green during the generals.