You wouldn’t know it, but one of the most intense diplomatic efforts happening right now is the attempt by Western powers to try and get the Palestinians to abandon their effort to seek statehood from the UN General Assembly in September. The Palestinian Authority has made no secret of this goal, and it seems undeniable that they would garner the support of an overwhelming majority of UN member states. The General Assembly process cannot be vetoed; only the Security Council can. So the Plan B for those countries which would rather use peace talks between Israel and Palestine is this hard-headed diplomatic effort.
Intensive efforts are under way to stave off a Palestinian bid for United Nations membership in September, with diplomats trying to lure Israeli and Palestinian leaders back to negotiations on the basis of President Obama’s formula of a state based on the 1967 lines with mutually agreed land swaps.
Israeli and Palestinian leaders have told American and European officials who have been here repeatedly in recent weeks that they want to return to talks. But with numerous moving parts, neither side desperate about the status quo and no agreement on the terms, success is far from assured.
The Israeli government was livid about Mr. Obama’s reference to the 1967 lines and swaps in a speech in May. It considers those boundaries indefensible and does not want to commit in advance to giving up land within Israel in exchange for keeping settlement blocs in the West Bank.
But Israeli officials acknowledge that they have little choice but to work within that formula as a negotiating basis if they want to stop the move in the United Nations. A successful General Assembly vote for the Palestinians could increase boycott and sanctions pressure on Israel as well as international legal proceedings in forums like the International Criminal Court.
The 1967 borders comment, then, was a setting of parameters, in a way, for Israel. If they want to avoid the UN process, they have to accept those parameters. Similarly, the question is put to the Palestinians; if they want to start negotiations on that favorable track, they must end the UN process.
But there’s no guarantee that the Palestinians would abandon UN membership, even if peace talks restart. They have seen nothing but disappointment for the last several decades and seem convinced that petitioning for statehood represents their only bargaining chip, even if it’s a confusing one without a real endgame (essentially, Palestine becomes a state when other countries recognize them as a state, not necessarily if the General Assembly votes them in). So the Palestinians would be unlikely to give up that chip.
The US has already intimated that they would veto any membership effort in the Security Council, so statehood could not advance. What’s more they would in all likelihood whip allies against the General Assembly vote. This is all being done to pressure the Palestinians back into negotiations and out of what the West considers to be a divisive process at the UN.
For all the energy being put into stopping something from happening, namely the UN membership drive, you’d think that could be channeled into, I don’t know, getting negotiations underway for a solution that would make statehood a realizable goal. But that’s not how things work.





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The parameters of a Palestinian state may revert to 48 borders with the International Court rather than 67 armistice lines. But… they are dealing with Mahmoud Abbas here, installed by Israel into Arafats cabinet as a quisling.
I have to wonder if the US isn’t worried about it’s own delegitimization rather than Israels.. How can the US claim the mantle of Leadership and portray ourselves as example that the should emulate after stomping on Palestinians aspirations following years of punishment and demonization for nothing more than being born on the land someone else wants?
Plausible deniability will be gone and the narrative exposed as a total farce.
Agree 1000%
Why wouldn’t Palestianians seek UN recognition? There is nothing on the table that is an even remotely fair solution.
The US has already intimated that they would veto any membership effort in the Security Council, so statehood could not advance. What’s more they would in all likelihood whip allies against the General Assembly vote.
On top of that, our Amb. to the UN, Susan Rice threatened the entire UN body, à la John Bolton…
Discussing the possibility that a resolution recognizing a Palestinian state could pass the General Assembly in September, she [Rice] said, “And this would be exceedingly politically damaging in our domestic context, as you can well imagine. And I cannot frankly think of a greater threat to our ability to maintain financial and political support for the United Nations in congress than such an outcome.”
*gah*
Please. The Palestinians have no incentive to abandon this track. Hopefully, they aren’t like Democrats and easily moved to drop a winning strategy for a muddled one with no clear goal.
Great update Mr. Dayen, and great comments so far as well.
Thanks to all.
Dawg help the Palistineans, cuz God sure as shit ain’t.
yeah! I’d pay to see her have an aneurism.
The US pull out of the UN, UNSC or Nato?
Do it Susan! Jump! Jump! Jump!
We really shouldn’t be anywhere near the HRC, but whatever.
Yep
Congressional wishes don’t matter diddly squat as it relates to an unauthorized and unfunded war on Libya with our UN partners and later NATO.
Who in congress would ever to vote to stop usurpation of power or funds by the President? Susan Rice is a bully.
The Israelis do not want a Palestinian state in any shape or form, and our government, either under a Democrat or GOP president, will adhere to their wishes, pretty much no matter what those wishes are.
I’m somewhat reluctant to say it, but this strikes me as a fairly uninformed diary, David.
I wouldn’t say that, ET, Dday is working under the assumption that Israel would actually do something constructive to improve the plight of the Palestinians, like just stopping the Occupation… But, we both know that it’ll never happen under the current Zionist regime…! 8-(
Agree with the tenor of your responses, shekisses, but I don’t think the US has much global credibility on IP. We have voted against the world with Israel for several decades, just as we stood with apartheid South Africa.
I think the Palestinians will stand strong here or obtain some very real concessions. Either way, a slightly improved outlook awaits.
Holy sh*t…
Report: Palestinians May Abandon Demand for Settlement Freeze
Instead Seeks to Start Peace Talks on Obama’s Mention of 1967 Borders
Utterly reprehensible, the Rice statement, although I don’t see it swaying the vote. We used to be able to get countries like Dominica, post-Grenada, to vote for us with Israel, but nowadays they get much more economic help from China and Venezuela.
The Obama presidency is a nightmare, and I’m afraid we face six more years of it. But what–really–are the lessons we must draw? Number one: expect NOTHING from the top level of US govt during our lifetimes. Wage the fight elsewhere, especially in the streets.
The pre-1967 borders led to Israel’s invasion by the armies of Jordan, Egypt and Syria. Israel captured some land in that war that was supposed to eliminate Israel. The current lines are not borders, but armistice lines. Israel also captured the Sinai, but gave it back to Egypt in exchange for a peace treaty.
Any plan to setup a country 11 miles wide is just dooming it to extinction, when surrounded by nations who even admit they want its destruction.
TransJordan was to be the Palestinian homeland, but Jordan reneged.
If Palestinian leadership is this utterly clueless, then they need to be replaced. But let’s be honest, they are not. If they actually agree to “talks” AND withdraw from the UN option, then they’re doing as their Israeli masters commanded.
Israel has repeatedly and violently shown they are not interested in talking.
Palestinians should push ahead with the UN position, AND the peace talks.
That’s the practical and logical thing to do.
If the Israelis don’t like it, they can kiss their …
“Any plan to setup a country 11 miles wide is just dooming it to extinction, when surrounded by nations who even admit they want its destruction.”
And the current plan is working out well?
Even for Israel, the current plan, is not working. Slaughtering civilians??? I missed that part in the Bible.
And don’t tell me they’re doing it to protect themselves. What they’re doing is actually making them less safe.
Every civilian slaughtered gives them a family of people who will hate them till they die. The current plan does not foster stability. only MADNESS.
This was the partition plan for the Palestinian Mandate:
To renege on a deal, there has to be one in the first place. There wasn’t.
Ar you in favor of the forced transfer of Palestinians in the occupied territories to another country? Jordan, for instance?
Temple history lessons?
Fuckin’ A right. But don’t expect much good will from this KKKrowd. They can’t stomach the truth.
My dear Mr. Kohn,
Rather harsh words, don’t you think? Please give one full quote from one of the “KKKrowd” who you seem to claim is commenting here at this diary that gives a specific example of not being able “to stomach the truth.”
You may start with me, if you would like.
Heavy, solid. Whew.
Even still, your account doesn’t mention the Palestinians, except for something that Edward Teller has corrected you on. They were and still are pawns in this game for government powers. They didn’t have any real representatives and even the Mufti was chosen by the British.
Have you been introduced to Plan Dalet in your studies? [1] [2] [3]
Max Blumenthal on JNF and Nakba and Plan Dalet
And then there’s also this….
NYT: General’s Words Shed a New Light on the Golan
And Max Blumenthal
After 1948: How Israel stopped the “outcast race” from returning home
Don’t you think these people are getting what they deserve?
And one more point.. The peace treaty that Israel signed with Egypt also had the condition that Israel would withdraw from the Occupied Palestinian Territories within 5 yrs. This is why we pay 3 billion each year in tribute to Israel as well.
Mr. Kohn,
Are you in favor of the forced transfer of Palestinians out of what I have a hunch you call Judea and Samaria? If so, where would you have them put?
I think the Zionist nightmare is a viable Palestinian state. Strictly from a commerce perspective, any goods manufactured in Palestine will fly off the shelves. When ordinary people throughout the world have a chance to support them, they’ll succeed. It is only our government, bought and paid for with campaign contributions, that has prevented this outcome.
It is nonsense to talk about agreements determined by the U.N., Britain or anyone else in the 40s. Those deals ended when the Arab nations invaded the new state of Israel in 1948, and over and over again after that. When you declare war, old agreements end when your intention is the murder of a nation.
Would the wise commentaors here suggest we give back our capitol to the British because we won the War of 1812, or perhaps return the colonies because we defeated a British occupation in the 1700s?
If you have an Israeli stamp on your passport you cannot enter Saudi Arabia. If you have a Saudi Arabia passport you can enter Israel. Democracy is the reality for the million plus Arabs who are living in Israel as citizens, while there is not one Jew citizen of Saudi Arabia, or many other Arab nations.
Please read any of the links I gave you about about plan Dalet. There is a distinction between nations (governments) and the people, and again you’ve completely overlooked the people and conflated them.
You’ve got to read these with an open mind, without demonizing the people or with an eye to excuse, either the jews who suffered terribly and escaped, or the palestinians who were made to pay the price. The distinction needs to be made between the different governments policies, practices and the people.
Though you label them all “Arabs”, the people from saudi arabia, Iraq, Oman, Egypt, Syria are not Palestinians or Druze any more than Irish, Germans, Norwegians, Spaniards, Italians or Greeks are all just european whites. The term “Arabs” wipes away specific ethnicity and cultural distinctions in order to hold any or all of them responsible for the crimes of one group, or more accurately one government. What ever Saudi Arabian Kings did or do doesn’t justify what is being done to the Palestinian people, does it?
The cultural, ethnic and religious differences are so vast between these people that they justify killing the other groups. Consider syria, it’s the alawite clan in power but not all of them agree with the Assad Government and some are fighting.
Your writing is very emotional and confuses many different topics. Jews aren’t under attack here and not only Palestinians but Jews have been used and manipulated by the PTB. That needs to be sorted out and set right.