The jobs report for June significantly underperformed expectations, as the economy created only 18,000 jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The topline unemployment rate ticked up a notch to 9.2%.
The consensus number prior to the release of the report was 110,000 jobs. The ADP employment report for the private sector showed a gain of 157,000 jobs. So this really lags behind the consensus and the other private survey. What’s more, the last two months were revised down, so April saw +217,000 and May just +25,000. Which means the past two months have seen a near-total erosion of job gains.
One reason for the poor survey is the loss of government jobs. The economy lost 39,000 jobs in the public sector last month, including 14,000 at the federal level. This is a direct result of austerity in the states and in the federal government, and the numbers have been falling since mid-2008, even with the inclusion of the stimulus. States must balance their budgets, and without help from the federal government, that results often in layoffs. In addition, we were supposed to believe that the President fleeced John Boehner in the negotiations over the 2011 appropriations, but now we’re seeing the results of the budget cuts there. The public sector took away almost all of the job gain in the private sector. Those public sector jobs, just like the private sector, are paid in money, which employees use to buy food and clothing and pay the mortgage. They are real jobs, real jobs which are going away mainly because of ridiculous ideology about government budgets being like a family’s.
The rest of the employment situation was unchanged, for the most part. The employment-population ratio ticked down 0.2 to 58.2%, lower than at this time last year. 14.1 million Americans are unemployed. The average workweek was down by 0.1 hour, and hourly earnings went down by $0.01. And in a scary circumstance, newly unemployed persons ticked up sharply in June. The number of persons unemployed for less than 5 weeks increased by 412,000. If they have the same difficulties finding new work as everyone else, that will continue to weigh on the numbers.
This is a pathetic jobs report. Meanwhile we’re talking about grand bargains and cutting more spending, along with people’s Medicare and Social Security. Washington couldn’t be more out of touch.
…I guess none of this matters, because David Plouffe told me nobody cares about the unemployment rate.
…Since the 2009 inauguration, over 500,000 government jobs have been lost, and if anything that has accelerated in recent months, after the major job losses of the Great Recession.
UPDATE: Here’s some of the reaction of Austan Goolsbee, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers:
Today’s report underscores the need for bipartisan action to help the private sector and the economy grow – such as measures to extend the payroll tax cut, pass the pending free trade agreements, and create an infrastructure bank to help put Americans back to work. It also underscores the need for a balanced approach to deficit reduction that instills confidence and allows us to live within our means without shortchanging future growth.
Confidence fairy. The beatings will continue until morale improves.
UPDATE II: Jared Bernstein: “Almost everything in today’s jobs report suggests recession-like conditions in the labor market.”




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Hmmmm;…. you know even if I set aside my liberal ranting for a minute, I have to ask, do we have a team in office that can lead us out of this mess?
Even if you want to vote against Crazy, you need to have Competent on the ballot.
Ditto Wall Street: Payrolls data stun Street
30 years of trickle economics has finally caught up with the country.
It’ll be 10% by the end of the year and then what will Oily O do? Jeebus, what a miserable failure.
Well, this does give House Democrats an excellent reason to revolt on the grand bargain.
And we don’t have that. We need some extraordinary people to lead us out of this and we have a team of incompetents who spout off talking points that they simply do not understand or do not care about. It is so upsetting to watch them go after the programs that define the democratic party in pursuit of deficit reduction while unemployment gets worse. FDR rolls over in his grave.
That’s because the “Grand Bargain” isn’t big enough. It’s increasing uncertainty. We need to go to $8 trillion in spending cuts — with NO tax increases — to get this economy rolling. Maybe even adopt the Ryan plan for Medicare.
AND, privatize SS. /s
I have CNBC in the background. You really have to listen to these assholes to see how bad off we are and the incredible incompetence out there.
David Plouffe (from the link):
They are COMPLETELY out of touch…
AND, now is the time to eliminate non-shovel-ready loopholes.
David Plouffe prefers choice over referendum in the matter of President Obama’s reelection.
Why, I wonder?
Viewed in either way, the President has real problems.
Well, there are millions who voted for Barry last time around who don’t feel so good, David.
Well, people may not have a job, but at least they’ll get Social Security and Medicare cuts.
Or maybe Obama will develop a brain and realize that that’s a bad idea for 2012.
But the cuts will “save” the programs.
The debt ceiling was raised 7 times for W Bush. Congress didn’t hold Americans hostage then. This is total BS. And, the 4 trillion dollars reportedly needed for the “budget” is exactly the amount that the do nothing, fake wars have cost. The fake national debt is only, actually, finally paying for nation-building in OTHER nations. Bush, Cheney and other war profiteers need to pay for the nations’ “debt” now. ‘War on Terror’ has always seemed to be about protecting ourselves against our own US government.
Of course people vote on the unemployment rate. Has it occurred to the White House that the increasing unemployment rate means that many more people have someone in their family who is un- or under-employed? They have an intimate, immediate knowledge of the unemployment rate and its consequences.
Come January 20, 2013, Barack Herbert Hoover Obama will join the ranks of the unemployed.
I’m incapable of threatening – I’m not going to bother figuring out when exactly I checked off NEVER voting for this f’king sell out –
it was at least after the non existent 11 nty dementia chess AHIP-care handout.
in 2010 I voted “Medicare ForAll” for ALL candidates above dog catcher, and I live in Seattle! it was the FIRST time I didn’t just check off basically all D’s all down the list in the general, and it felt weird for a few weeks,
and the sell out chicken shit sacks of shit have NEVER made me regret it!
oh well, at least I still have scorn, contempt and sneers left for these worhtless sacks of shit.
rmm
Young people, in particular, are going to stay home in droves next November. Some of them will swear off politics for good.
Where are the jobs, Mr. Boehner? In your back pocket, held hostage to the grasping greed of Republican special interests and the zealotry of the Tea Party.
Tough morning. Just further evidence that this administration is not only NOT capable of turning in this economy but has been actively working against job creation since taking office in early 2009.
Unfortunately, he just won’t be POTUS any longer–he’ll never be unemployed. I dream at night of a future where he can’t command more than $100 for a speech in the backroom of a restaurant somewhere, but I know it’s just that–a dream.
The WH has informed me that the snark tag should be removed.
“because David Plouffe told me nobody cares about the unemployment rate”…
For fuck’s sake, the unemployment rate represents real people, desperate people for whom homelessness and hunger are days away. What an idiot! And I suppose the millions more working only part time are also unimportant.
Thanks to FDL for the pledge to Protect the Social Safety Net.
save and “strengthen” them. Let the spin begin.
Point taken. He’ll be “unemployed” in the Willard Romney fashion.
Now that’s a change I can believe in Tamm!
The Bush administration created the Commission to Strengthen Social Security. Guess what it recommended? Partial privatization of the system.
If a million unemployed people were on the streets of D.C. and all had a 2×4 in their hands I dare Plouffe to say that.
By now, this is all on obama. What a truly incompetent POS. Maybe the republicans are right about Chicago afterall.
I wouldn’t say Obama is incompetent. I’d say he’s a class warrior, and serves a different class than those that elected him in 2008.
He’s a system politician, and the system he serves is structurally incoherent and morally rotten.
Damn Buzz, I just spit my coffee out through my nose! Thank dog it wasn’t a fresh cup or I may never grow nasal hair again.
a nice thought but it would be tough to get many of them off their couches. The outrage over jobs won’t start until we curb unemployment benefits. As it is now people are still getting by with only minor inconvenience.
and it all started with his appoint of Rahm and Timmy. The hand writing was on the wall even before he was sworn in. Wonder if it’s possible to revisit the “flubbed” oath of office at his inauguration? or impeachement or a primary challenge.
Somebodies numbers aren’t adding up correctly. If ADP correctly reported 157K increase in the private sector, then the government sector should be showing down 139K jobs to allow for an overall increase of 18K for the total economy.
Or ADP over-reported and should only have shown 57K increase instead of 157K increase.
Or I might be an idiot – but right now, the math is off.
Where are all the OBAMABOTS today, talking about how OBAMA is going to win in 2012?
David Plouffe thinks he is a genius? Not! the only reason OBAMA won in 2008 was BUSH!!! Donald Duck could have won in 2008 running against McCain and Palin. “No one cared about OBAMA speeches, OBAMA did not even care about his lies in 2008. LOL
Every Dem in the Senate and the House, probably knows that OBAMA has no shot of winning in 2012. “I expect a lot of DEMS will be throwing OBAMA under the BUS now, as a form of payback, for the way he threw them under the BUS the last 3 years.
The idea of a Black Man cutting Social Security, Medicare, Medicade, ended OBAMA presidency!
David Plouffe must be blind! the idea that independent voters that hate Social Security, Medicare, Medicade, will vote for OBAMA? David Plouffe OBAMA is black, me thinks people who hate the new deal will not vote for a black candidate
Obama only shot at winning the White House with a great ECONOMY was HIPPIES, HARD CORE LIBERALS, and PROGRESSIVES, Obama can’t get enough racist votes to win the WH. LOL Yes! Obama was going to have a hard time winning with a great ECONOMY
Hear that? that is the sound of a PRIMARY CHALLENGER coming to destroy OBAMA. The cost of primarying OBAMA is dropping like a ROCK. LMAO
Who in their right mind is going to give a black candidate that wants to kill Social Security any money? Yes some MORONS will, but any SANE person knows OBAMA career in politics probably ended yesterday
this job report is just the icing on the cake! 9.2% un-employment and going up! yes it gets worse from here
David Plouffe you will always be A MORON!!!! 2008 was all about hating BUSH and the GOP
David Plouffe your candidate “OBAMA” is hated by the Left and Right.
David Plouffe your biggest success was creating a candidate “OBAMA” that is hated by the LEFT and RIGHT
That conjures up a very enjoyable mental picture.
In a recession (depression) Keynes said decades ago:
–the deficit doesn’t matter
–increase government spending; and
–cut taxes
Obama says:
–the deficit matters more than unemployment
–decrease government spending; and
–raise taxes
A new definition of “Down the Rabbit Hole”
Plouffe and Axelrod will go down as the most inept political team in U.S. history.
I think what is going on is to allow the Fderal govt, State/Local to get to a point where they will need to sell off their assests..the Wall st ghouls will come in with a scheme and allow “investors” to buy up these assets..aka the people’s asests…greed knows no bounds…this is a global issue and the rich have declared war on all of us
“The idea of a black man cutting SS, Medicare, Medicaid ended Obama Presidency.”
Also ended the Democratic Party. Which isn’t necessarily a bad thing given the Democratic Party no longer exists. We have a one party system.
Phone lines at the WH are still busy. I think they just took it off the hook rather than listen to the vitriol directed at the Narcissist in Chief.
Businesses just can’t find people with the skills that are needed. /s
Wait till they take the SS/Medicare/Medicaid $$$ out of the economy. Straight into Depression.Everybody knows it too.
I really, really think they are trying to create a slave labor pool here. I really do.
In Wisconsin, Prison Labor Replaces Unions
Gotta go…later, if there is a later…….
My, my, after 8 years of trickle-down laissez-faire economics and the country being run on a corporate ethic, by a republican president and congress, the same thing by a bogus “progressive” country-club gop’r gets the same results.
Who’d-a-thunk-it?
Correct. Employees with the ability to make a living on $8 per day, what incompetents.
What. oldhippiejan. Said.
My 2c, you wouldn’t believe how ready I am to see the political rug pulled out from under this political hack. He NEEDS to be in some “centrist” think-tank, and if that means that next time, the repubs get stuck with the results of his and their political fuckery, then I’ll just say that Obama should have laid that on them the first three months he was in office, instead of doing such wondrous rehab on them.
Protecting the status quo was always going to be a prescription for political disaster. At this point, I think the debate about whether he came in thinking to sell us out intentionally, or whether he did it from a discovered depthless reservoir of cowardice and stupidity: the result is going to be the same. He’ll go down as the poster-boy for a failed preznint.
Couldn’t happen to a nicer bi-partisan.
Austan Goolsbee is leaving the White House, so before too long he’ll regain his freedom of speech.
“Where are all the Obamabots today…?”
They’re looking forward to the great poohbah progressive removing 47,000 american troops from Iraq in the next 6 months…as he fulfills the signature promise on which he was elected.
And I’m selling some oceanfront property in the vicinity of Topeka.
Short of it:
We were right to think that the savage idiocy of the republicans had made things shitty enough that a candidate; a black man; saying a lot of the right progressive things could get elected in a landslide.
We were wrong to believe that he meant what he said, but the alternatives of warbot Hillary, and then, warbot McCain, were obviously more of the same. That Obama proved out to be of the same ilk, has been a shock.
Now, it looks like we’ll need a full-on collapse to make for some real change, and for electing people to implement it.
Might as well get to it.
While we’re talking about the economic “returns” coming in, here’s a little augury for the future, in Iraq:
http://news.antiwar.com/2011/07/07/maliki-vows-bloodshed-if-sunnis-try-to-secede/
The subset that ADP surveys rarely reports what the DOL reports- not even close, but it is the “best” indicator we have before that Friday 8:30 am DOL report in released. “Best” just means ADP has the trend more often that it trends in the wrong direction.
Personally I find the weekly UE Claims report more on point.
Just reading through the tables in the DOL report – very depressing. I do not see how Obama can continue on his current deficit reduction path if he cares about the US – but then I see him as a GOPer trying to get a fire sale of US assets going for the rich – the rich and corporate approach to Greece.
The removal from Irag was agreed to by Bush – just what did Obama add?
I understand he is demanding the “zero troops remain” in the Bush agreement be changed to “10,000″ troops remain with Irag providing force security around the base where they are located.
UPDATE II: Jared Bernstein: “Almost everything in today’s jobs report suggests recession-like conditions in the labor market.”
No, useless,
depression-like.
way to go Obama, great news for your shot at a second term. More broken promises, but hell its not your fault, its that dam congress, you just keep doing what you have been doing, nothing, and come Nov 2012 everything will work out fine, I am sure we will all trot out and vote for you.
You’re as wrong as two left feet.
George Bush never agreed to get our military out of Iraq by the end of this year.
Obama said that, precisely and unequivocally.
It’s such a given that it’s not even worth debating.
pass the pending free trade agreements
Yeah, that’ll get things heating up again in the labor market.
Worldwide the results of neo-liberal economic policy are more disastrous by the day and yet leaders and economists have only neo-liberal solutions for those disasters.
It seems that this white house HAD to know these numbers for the last few days. It isn’t outside of the range of possibility to think that yesterday’s shotwad proposal to put SS et al on the table was a way of herding boner and cantor into a corner of intransigence.
I gave up on the 11 dimensional chess when the Pharma memos came out, but boner and cantor came out and reacted to the numbers with the no new taxes mantra.
I don’t think the deal is real, if boner were smart he would have jumped on the deal and watch the dems implode. I’m guessing by Sunday, the deal will be off.
These jobs losses are totally a republican manifestation, as the complete absence of a single jobs bill since January.
Hopefully the dems will retain their SS/Medicare club and the republicans can teabag this country further into depression.
The best graph of the unemployment picture:
http://rortybomb.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/e_p_ratio_6_11.jpg
Then what? He’ll make unemployment data illegal and send anyone found talking about it to a navy vessel in international waters for “interrogation”.
Right to the point sir-thank you for that.