What’s amazing about this debt limit debate, and the headlong rush to austerity, is that we have empirical evidence of what can result, in this kind of economy, when you massively roll back spending. We even know what happens when you do that amid the threat of a debt downgrade rather than the fundamentals of the financial markets. All you have to do is look to Britain, which has never been the same since their austerity package was unveiled by the Tories.
Britain’s economic recovery remains lackluster as official figures Tuesday showed growth of only 0.2 percent in the second quarter of the year from the previous three month period, in part because of the disruption caused by the wedding of Prince William and Kate Middleton.
The statistics office also said the economy during the period was heavily influenced by the aftermath of the Japanese earthquake and tsunami, record high temperatures in April and the start of ticket sales for the 2012 Olympic Games in London.
The preliminary growth figure, which is subject to revision, was in line with market. But it may put new pressure on the government and the Bank of England to take steps to quicken up the pace of recovery.
The weak second quarter followed six months of essentially no growth, with a drop of 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter of last year followed by a gain of 0.5 percent in the first quarter.
The excuses in this article are ridiculous: did the economy slow down because a lot of people missed the Tube stop at Notting Hill, too? Anyway, didn’t the William and Kate wedding produce a lot of economic activity?
The point is that Britain rolled back demand during a time when the economy was already weak, and they are suffering through the consequences. Instead of looking at this as a problem to be avoided, US policymakers are on the verge of emulating it. And not even in a good way: the British plan was at least somewhat balanced, with tax increases along with the spending cuts. This shows that the idea of a “balanced approach” is still flawed, because either way, you’re reducing demand during a time with a demand shortfall.
In a couple years, if we’re scratching our heads about zero growth, we can simply look to Britain. They are opening a window into our dim future.
UPDATE: Just to clarify, we’re talking about quarterly growth here, not annualized growth. This chart from the Financial Times tells the story. Still, even with that caveat, it’s correct to say that, over the past 9 months, the British economy has increased GDP by a paltry 0.2%. That’s practically a flatline.




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hear, hear !
excellent
Zero percent growth? If Cantor’s destruction of the economy is adopted, we’ll have a massive downturn in real GDP.
and decades of imf imposed austerity plans.
All the evidence was there long before Britian took the jump. Apparently, we were wrong and you are entitled to your own facts, if you are wealthy enough, not just your own opinion.
I’d argue that the wealthy all over the world have managed to transend national and religious boundries and come together with one great goal of destroying anything that might be called a working or middle class. They don’t care if the economy grows or shrinks, they just care if they get more money and power, and that any opposition class or group is destroyed.
Mindbogglingly that Obama is going to do this to us.
I know he doesn’t care about the country, but it is going to destroy any hope of a second term.
Just like global warming, the Nigerian birth, evolution, and so many other rightwing memes this will never prove that austerity is a wrongheaded approach and a vicious failure.
Conservatives never, ever, ever admit being wrong or being defeated. Liberals in government (at least in the US) will eventually concede this point just like they’ve already conceded that the deficit matters, that SS, Medicare, and Medicaid must be cut, that taxes must remain at a historic low, etc.
We have crossed the Rubicon, gone through the looking glass, and now live in a 24/7 Bizarro World of backwardness. Unless and until conservative “thought” is eradicated as being serious and worthy of equal consideration we are doomed to fail as an empire and a country.
It makes me sick to stomach to think and say these things but I can no longer deny that America is dying. Love live America!