John Boehner got his wish. After a day of tweaking following a bad CBO score, a day of browbeating his members to little effect, and a day of adding back in a balanced budget amendment tied to the increase in the debt limit, his bill finally passed by the close margin of 218-210. As expected, not one Democrat voted for the bill, which is pretty remarkable. Twenty-two Republicans, even after getting the BBA in the bill at the last minute, voted against it. Five Democrats missed the vote, so this was even closer. Here’s the roll call. The 22 No votes:
Amash, Bachmann, Broun, Chaffetz, Cravaack, DesJarlais, Duncan (SC), Gowdy, Graves, Huelskamp, Johnson (IL), Jordan, King (IA), Latham, Mack, McClintock, Mulvaney, Paul, Scott (SC), Southerland, Walsh (IL), Wilson (SC)
The fact that
most all of the South Carolina Republican delegation voted against the bill is a testament to the power of Jim DeMint.
So that bill now moves to the Senate, where it will die. What we don’t know is how Harry Reid will kill it. He may take up the bill and amend it. Or he may table the bill and offer new legislation. The former is faster, but if all goes well both of them would put the Reid bill – probably modified to get some Republican support – back in the House before the Tuesday deadline. But plenty can go wrong between now and then, so we could easily go into August 3 without an agreement.
So which plan will prevail? The austerity plan, or the other austerity plan?