John Boehner got his wish. After a day of tweaking following a bad CBO score, a day of browbeating his members to little effect, and a day of adding back in a balanced budget amendment tied to the increase in the debt limit, his bill finally passed by the close margin of 218-210. As expected, not one Democrat voted for the bill, which is pretty remarkable. Twenty-two Republicans, even after getting the BBA in the bill at the last minute, voted against it. Five Democrats missed the vote, so this was even closer. Here’s the roll call. The 22 No votes:
Amash, Bachmann, Broun, Chaffetz, Cravaack, DesJarlais, Duncan (SC), Gowdy, Graves, Huelskamp, Johnson (IL), Jordan, King (IA), Latham, Mack, McClintock, Mulvaney, Paul, Scott (SC), Southerland, Walsh (IL), Wilson (SC)
The fact that most all of the South Carolina Republican delegation voted against the bill is a testament to the power of Jim DeMint.
So that bill now moves to the Senate, where it will die. What we don’t know is how Harry Reid will kill it. He may take up the bill and amend it. Or he may table the bill and offer new legislation. The former is faster, but if all goes well both of them would put the Reid bill – probably modified to get some Republican support – back in the House before the Tuesday deadline. But plenty can go wrong between now and then, so we could easily go into August 3 without an agreement.
So which plan will prevail? The austerity plan, or the other austerity plan?
Stay tuned!




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Whatever happens at this point, say buh-bye to Rep. Orange (R) Insanity. I think BONER‘s toast at this point. He’ll almost certainly be primaried now and in the district that elected him to begin with, that won’t end well for the tan man.
And Cantor and DeMint will fight over his bones.
You making odds on how long before Sleazebag Cantor crashes the Speaker’s office and throws the Boner out on his orange, spray-tanned ass?
I actually expect the Senate side to go pretty smoothly. Reid probably guts and amends the Bohner bill which, as I understand it, avoids one cloture vote and puts 30 hours back on the clock. OTOH, they may specifically be trying to run out the clock.
Back to the House, here’s the bill, Senate goes into pro-forma sessions until after the deadline. No amendments, no new bill, because the Senate is on August recess.
Pelosi delivers her votes. Then it’s all up to Captain Orange, who has to scrounge up 40 or so Republicans to vote for Reid’s version.
I won’t lay odds on when or who but I’ll bet BONER‘s out no later than mid January, 2013.
Nucking phutz . . . incredible.
David, where does this leave the Super Committee status at now?
I’d be surprised if he lasts that long…
Really, I think the only question now is how much more garbage did Reid need to add to get through a cloture vote. I’m sure they’ve been negotiating for days, not playing Tetris and waiting for Bohner to finish. Will the Congressional Black Caucus hold firm and not vote for anything other than a clean bill? If so, Captain Orange needs another 30 votes.
All this drama carefully timed for the weekend when the markets are closed. Lots of happy talk Monday morning, but signing ceremony not until Tuesday. Happy talk is probably good for 25 points on the S&P.
Me too but as I said, I wouldn’t bet on the date.
Off topic but this is what happens when you make deals with the Devil. Morans…
Do any of these asshats realize how long it takes to get an amendment to the constitution ratified by the states? I’m sure the teabaggers out in the hinterland don’t have a fucking clue that the kabuki of passing a balanced budget amendment doesn’t mean it gets done tomorrow. And some of the ones out there who can read should read some mainstream economists on just how useless, and dangerous, a balanced budget is at times like this.
What a sham of a fraud of a mockery, of a joke, of a swindle, of a artifice, by an asshole of orange hue.
How is Boehner gonna get a vote passed on the Reid bill in the House, though? If he loses half his caucus (120) off the top, he needs 100 Democrats (or so) to pass the bill. 80 Democrats signed a sternly worded letter they’d never vote for a bill that cut Social Security, Medicare, or Medicaid.
What’s that you say? The Reid bill ‘strengthens and protects’ Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid? Oh, well, that’s a horse of a sternly worded, but quite different, color.
We have a winger at work who, when told that we might default on our debts, says, “So what? What are they, (the nations/institutions we owe money to), gonna do?”. There’s no arguing rationally with people like that. None.
To say that this is a standoff would be a huge understatement. I don’t honestly see any way out except the 14th.
Not David here, but I think the SuperCongress is in the Reid bill, too. It’s just a matter of whether how hard the ram into Congress is by the Six SuperCongress members: do they use the lube of a vote that’s optional, or do they take it raw with a mandatory up-or-down, no-amendments bareback?
Yep -SuperCatfoodII is in Reid.
Spot on Teddy. What a phreak show.
That wouldn’t be “bipartisan”.
Sen. Conrad is telling Lawrence that BoxTurtle McConnell is refusing to negotiate with Reid…! Wtf…? *gah*
If I just may offer something here…
The only thing that is kabuki is about the Austerity Commission. (That’s me re-naming it, because in this round I want the Media to call it that. Catfood can stay our nickname, but you get my drift…)
Anyhow, that’s the one feature that will emerge from this pretty much guaranteed.
As for the rest of it being kabuki or some grand plan, I saw HAH! and BULLSHIT!
You can’t plan a screwjob this well. There are too many actors covering to many of their butts and trying to screw too many other people over to call this “kabuki” or planned.
A)When they want to do something, it gets done; hence Austerity Commission.
B)When it’s more important to fuck over someone else and get Village Points, they do that.
They’re stuck in B cycle.
Never underestimate the Democrats’ will to cave. Indeed, this may have been stipulated in one of Obama’s secret meetings.
More bonus points… The Repugnants are now filibustering Reid’s proposal…!
Not so fast. Conrad just said mcconnell told reid he’s going to filibuster.
Yep. The obvious weakness of all these grand conspiracies is how very successful they’ve been keeping anybody from spilling the beans about the “truth”. You can’t keep that many people that quiet. There wouldn’t be so much “leaks” as gushers.
So the new battle is against Super Catfood II. We have to figure out how to say NO, HELL NO, and GO TO HELL NO! How can we get the message across?
How about crashing Obama’s Birthday Party! Aug. 3, you are all invited, free fries and burgers.
You owe me a beer…! ;-)
Boehner’s bill tabled, 59-41.
Next: the magical, mystical, Harry Reid Saves the United States bill.
Jane is upstairs, folks.
DW
They will need Dem votes to pass anything thru the house. Pelosi should demand that Social Security be off the table and revenue on the table for the Super Congress Committee.
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