The weekend ended without any dramatic announcement about a multi-trillion euro bailout for the banking sector. But the elements of the bailout are being prepped. European officials are working on bolstering their bailout fund, known as the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF).
After a weekend of being told by the United States, China and other countries that they must get more aggressive in their crisis response, European officials focused on ways to beef up their existing 440 billion-euro rescue fund.
Deep differences remained over whether the European Central Bank should commit more of its massive resources to shoring up Europe’s banks and help struggling euro zone member countries [...]
Markets fear that European banks could be dragged down by their exposure to Greece and other debt-strapped euro zone nations, and analysts say a bailout fund of around 2 trillion euros would be needed if the crisis spread to Italy and Spain.
A senior European official hinted that kind of firepower was being contemplated.
“We need to find a mechanism where we can turn one euro in the EFSF into five, but there is no decision on how we could do that yet,” the official said.
More anti-austerity protests raged in Greece, meanwhile, though the perspective of the people that have to suffer the consequences of protecting the banks doesn’t seem germane to European policymakers. Why Greece is bothering to knuckle under to such demands for another tranche of bailout money, when everyone believes they will go into default, doesn’t make a lot of sense to me.
With Greek government debt trading on the open market below 40 cents on the dollar, it is quickly approaching what debt experts call the recovery rate — the price investors would get for their bonds if the country officially defaulted.
In effect, that means investors have given up.
The Greek economy today is in depression, and the leadership there remains committed to acting as a pass-through for European bank funds. The German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, said the first bit of common sense I’ve seen from a European official in a long time, telling the Institute for International Finance that the financial industry contributed to the sovereign debt crisis by making the bad loans in the first place, and that they had to pay a share of the cleanup costs. “Without a substantial contribution from financial institutions, the legitimacy of our Westernized capitalized systems will suffer.”
As Paul Krugman writes, all of these bailout options are destined for failure if the economic policies are the reverse of what’s needed in a time of recession.
Think of it this way: private demand in the debtor countries has plunged with the end of the debt-financed boom. Meanwhile, public-sector spending is also being sharply reduced by austerity programs. So where are jobs and growth supposed to come from? The answer has to be exports, mainly to other European countries.
But exports can’t boom if creditor countries are also implementing austerity policies, quite possibly pushing Europe as a whole back into recession.
Also, the debtor nations need to cut prices and costs relative to creditor countries like Germany, which wouldn’t be too hard if Germany had 3 or 4 percent inflation, allowing the debtors to gain ground simply by having low or zero inflation. But the European Central Bank has a deflationary bias — it made a terrible mistake by raising interest rates in 2008 just as the financial crisis was gathering strength, and showed that it has learned nothing by repeating that mistake this year.
As a result, the market now expects very low inflation in Germany — around 1 percent over the next five years — which implies significant deflation in the debtor nations. This will both deepen their slumps and increase the real burden of their debts, more or less ensuring that all rescue efforts will fail.
So Europe can protect its banks as much as they want, but the loans they gave to Eurozone nations will not be paid back unless those countries return to some manner of recovery. And the policies of the currency union are preventing that.
UPDATE: Rachel Donadio dares to actually describe the consequences for the Greek people of the actions of the government to desperately cling to the eurozone. Sample quote: “The government is increasingly at war with the citizens.”





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Apparently, there is some kind of action going to be taken on this side of The Pond with the mortgage mess. Looks kind of tepid at this point, so we’ll have to wait and see.
“McGraw-Hill Cos Inc said U.S. regulators may charge its Standard & Poor’s ratings unit with violating federal securities laws with ratings on a repackaged mortgage bond in 2007.
. . .
“Regulators send Wells Notices to companies or people to give them a chance to argue why government should not file an enforcement action against them.
. . .
“The SEC’s investigation comes as McGraw-Hill prepares to split into two publicly-traded companies, one holding Standard & Poor’s and market information services and another holding its textbook publishing company.”
Interesting arguments here, such as this one:
“. . .saving private banks is of no use to solve the crisis and it is necessary that the markets (that is to say essentially the big Wall Street and City financial operators) fully assume their risks without any further guarantee from the state. Today, these two ideas are at the heart of the Euroland debate, both in public opinion and amongst the elite … and they gain ground every day. This is what causes fear on Wall Street, in the City, and amongst major private financial operators.”
There are two choices:
1. Just hand the governance of the country over to the banks, and impose financial servitude on 90% of the population (a feudal solution).
2. Renege on the debts (sovereign default), nationalize the banks, and re-start.
There is no middle way.
Or nationalize the essential banking functions, tightly regulate non-essential banking functions (like mortgage securitization and commodities speculation) and leave the losses in the private sector.
Of course there is a middle way and the banksters are pushing very hard for it. The banksters will get their money back by tapping the taxpayers of the wealthy countries. Then they will do to Germany and France what they just did to Greece. This way the banksters get to put all of Europe into servitude, just like they did to Greece and lets not forget the good old USA.
Pretty amazing the gall of the US, creator of the Credit Default Swap and all its fraudulent cousins.
That’s because there is no government that is distinguishable from the banks. This is the problem, and the ONLY problem.
Ummm, these Western capitalist systems are already ensnared in a legitimation deficit of their own making. The current crises have shown that contemporary capitalism is not especially rational and stable. What we in the United States know all-too-well — or can know if we want — is that these systems are forms of economic predation. They are, therefore, morally indefensible just as they exist.
Sure are a lot of protests the flippin’ “media” are ignoring.
VERY interesting on HuffPuff….they wouldn’t let me put one of my comments up there so I doubled down and called the cops macing women at eh Wall street protest the Gestapo, then they put the lighter one up.
Interesting place these days; HuffPuff
Check it out:
Trader Alessio Rastani To BBC: ‘Governments Don’t Rule The World, Goldman Sachs Rules The World’
Yes, just going to post that, it’s going viral:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/bbc-speechless-trader-tells-truth-collapse-comingand-goldman-rules-world
Don’t expect to see this fellow on CNBC anytime soon. (or any MSM for that matter.)
Political leadership has failed in Europe and the US. And it has failed at multiple levels. What we have is not an economic problem but a political crisis. Here in the states approval of congress and Obama are at historic lows. What does it take to make these bastards do the right thing. The only thing I know of is to throw the bums out, every fucking one of them.
Don’t you think that western civilization is in decline? Our leaders speak about “consolidation” and “creating space” for new policies. What they mean is more “austerity”, more unemployment, more transfer of financial wealth to the banks, “lower deficits”. None of this is needed. We need to vote out anyone who utters those words since they are obviously idiots. Shit we can’t even pass funds for disaster relief without offsetting cuts somwhere else. Dumb fucks. Here is the truth: we can eliminate all unemployment in about 60 days.
No kidding, I’m starting to feel like I live in a cypherpunk novel.
Well, maybe we need to reconsider voting for people that “don’t believe in government” for starters. When people ask why – just point out that a CEO of a corporation (seems people that vote like this love corporations) that got on national TV and said he didn’t believe in his company’s product probably wouldn’t be a CEO much longer.
i agree w those who say we’ve reached a fork in the road: the losses have been incurred and somebody has to pay the bill and now is the time
so it’s either going to be the global financial elite or its going to be the western world’s middle class and poor
it appears the moment of truth upon us
otoh, i just read an atricle saying the europeans had a new plan involving a highly-leveraged new entity, let’s call it euro-tarp, that would magically absorb all the toxic assets and transform them into delicious nutrients
the only question is whether the snake oil salesmen can win one for the gipper and let the global financial elite pick the corpse’s pockets before pitchforks arrive
Yeah, I’ll bring the torches.
Hey David…Sorry this is a little off topic but I was wondering if anyone here at FDL is onto this story…
“The leadership of the Broward Republican Executive Committee has hit a new low with its latest act of desperation, as it authorized BREC Treasurer Mark McCarthy to file a false police incident report in order to try to instigate a false wiretapping claim. On July 7, 2011, BREC Secretary Sheela Venero conducted one of her monthly ‘Coffee with your Secretary’ events at the popular Coral Springs diner Wings Plus. Prior to the event, Venero authorized videotaping and was slated to be interviewed shortly after the event concluded.
After the videotape of the event aired, DeNapoli instructed BREC Treasurer Mark McCarthy to file a incident report on behalf of the BREC with the Coral Springs Police Department which sought prosecution. McCarthy filed the report with the authorization of Richard DeNapoli, who also sits on the Florida Real Estate Commission(FREC), knowing full well that the breakfast event was not a ‘BREC Meeting’ as he stated in the report and was authorized to be videotaped by Sheela Venero.”
And so on…