John Boehner has declared the China currency bill, which passed the Senate with rare bipartisan support and 63 votes, “dead on arrival” in the House. Apparently the interests of multinational corporations to keep their labor costs low trumps the interests of out-of-work Americans. This House Speaker knows where his bread is buttered.
Just to bring this back to actual facts instead of political posturing, Sen. Sherrod Brown, who authored the currency bill in the Senate, has an op-ed in the Cincinnati Enquirer – Boehner’s hometown paper – explaining the issue.
A report released last month estimates that our trade deficit with China, exacerbated by Chinese currency manipulation, has caused the loss of more than 2.8 million American jobs in the past 10 years – with two-thirds of the lost jobs in the manufacturing industry.
Currency manipulation provides an unfair subsidy to Chinese exports – of up to 40 percent by most economists, and the most protectionist policy of any major country since World War II, according to economist C. Fred Bergsten of the Peterson Institute. Additionally, American manufacturers seeking to sell their products to China – our nation’s fastest-growing export market – are hit with what amounts to an unfair tariff. The advantages enjoyed by Chinese manufacturers cost American jobs.
This doesn’t necessarily mean that Chinese manufacturing jobs automatically come back to the US if they stop the artificial deflation of their currency, although we are starting to see some insourcing already for various reasons. In addition, favorable trade rulings have helped US industries already, as we’ve seen in the WTO ruling against Chinese tire dumping and on steel tubing, as Brown mentions. Those have led to real manufacturing gains in the US.
But there are other ways that re-establishing a currency balance helps the economy. American goods become cheaper, and that includes agriculture, and we get more tourism here, so there’s a lot of potential to get a boost from the Chinese market. As Paul Krugman writes, even a shift of manufacturing jobs from China to Mexico will mean a better regional economy, which improves things in the US. In addition:
Most important, however, is that you really need to think of this as a global adding-up issue. If China and other currency manipulators run smaller trade surpluses, who will be the counterparties? Emerging economies that compete more directly with China than we do are by and large not in liquidity traps, and indeed are facing inflationary pressure. So any Chinese appreciation, while it directly tends to raise their net exports, will probably show up in matching appreciation in their currencies, setting in motion a series of domino effects that end up pushing the adjustment onto countries that are in liquidity traps, namely the US, Japan, and Europe.
It’s well-known that many Asian economies peg their currencies to China’s, so this is almost a continent-wide problem. And then there’s the point that China is violating international trade law through their actions, in case the rule of law still means anything. So those who look at it as “but those specific jobs won’t come right back to the US” are being extremely narrow-minded and literal, probably as a front to the interests who want to keep the cost of Chinese labor and goods very low.
It’s possible that Senate passage will be enough to send a message to the Chinese to stop, or at least limit, the artificial holding down of their exchange rate. But at some point, addressing our record trade imbalance becomes an urgent need. We cannot do that with messages alone. We have to address it through policy that over time reduces our trade deficit.




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these multinational corporations are a domestic threat. I guess that makes me a “protectionist” or something. Like, duh!
Just how does John expect to sell that to his Tea Baggers and still remain House Speaker?
Just how can any Tea Bagger be reelected supporting this?
It is all bull and if boehner got behind it, O would veto it. meanwhile David
Bank of America Corp. (BAC), hit by a credit downgrade last month, has moved derivatives from its Merrill Lynch unit to a subsidiary flush with insured deposits, according to people with direct knowledge of the situation.
The Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. disagree over the transfers, which are being requested by counterparties, said the people, who asked to remain anonymous because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly. The Fed has signaled that it favors moving the derivatives to give relief to the bank holding company, while the FDIC, which would have to pay off depositors in the event of a bank failure, is objecting, said the people. The bank doesn’t believe regulatory approval is needed, said people with knowledge of its position.
David this is huge. The FED has put depositors on the hook for all this toxic assets and ultimately the taxpayer. It is not just Bofa it is the other banks too. This is beyond criminal and people need to understand what has just happened before it is too late
I expect the house to pass it just so they are on record as passing it but they will add a poison pill the Senate won’t accept and the bill will fail in the Senate or just not get a vote the poison pill will be something Dems can’t vote for so Obama will get the blame and the Dems will let themselves take the blame as usual because they like being punching bags.
This is profoundly bad econ policy and pandering to D voters of the worst sort. A pox on Sherrod Brown & all its supporters.
Anyone care to explain how going into a trade war with Asian nations at a time when we are teetering on an economic depression and funding our huge deficits with borrowed money from those Asian nations is in our national (as opposed to some individuals’) interests?
Does what happened in 1930 and thereafter mean nothing?
When has a trade war not resulted in a shooting war?
The Chinese & U.S. are not getting into a shooting war, so don’t hyperventilate about this bill, which in any event, the U.S. will not enforce. The Chinese will yawn & go about their business.
As I said, this is all about pandering to D voters, and nothing more.
As a foreign policy matter, it also flunks the test, since it creates ill will with accomplishing nothing positive.
But on all matters except fooling voters it is just throwing crumbs and the voters & seeing if anything will stick,
Who are the main purchasers of China’s goods? Well, that would be the US and no one is using that leverage the way it should be used…We should have a marginal imbalance or none at all if this leverage was used in any way at all. If only we could have an Occupy Walmart…
Do you have a link?
As an aside, there are certain commenters who are best ignored when they get into certain types of comments, if you catch my drift.
In the race to the bottom, many U.S. consumers do not have the income to buy domestic. The Chinese trade imbalance, just as with every other econ prob the U.S. has, should not be settled on the backs of the poor.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-18/bofa-said-to-split-regulators-over-moving-merrill-derivatives-to-bank-unit.html
http://dailybail.com/home/holy-bailout-federal-reserve-now-backstopping-75-trillion-of.html
Two links.
Thanks for the heads up
Glad you understood the latter. *g*
Thanks for the links. Will check them out.
From your first link
So far Black has not disappointed.
It gets sooo tiring just keeping up with their tricks. Thanks to YOU for the heads up. Seems like the fix is in on BofA, so not sure what can be done.
Thank you eCAHN.
rumors are flying that the FED has given all the banks the green light to activate this fraud. Not sure either, but I think a story on it and getting the word out to OWS and others will help spur people to get their money out of the big banks while they can. Question is what do you do than as it is still paper?
Also think learning about this now, and not after the fact (when it implodes) will help wake up those that might be half asleep as to what is really going on. beyond that I have not sure what we can do.
how was your dinner party? huge success I am sure:-))
You’re right, ecahn.
How in the world can Agent Orange do this? Brown’s op-ed is powerful. Boehner is really playing with fire here.