I think even the White House would admit that the changes to their refinancing initiative announced this week aren’t a game-changer for the housing market. I would look at them as more of a stimulus bill than a housing bill. If you’re a delinquent borrower, you get no help from the changes. If you want to reduce the principal on your mortgage, you get no help from the changes. This will not boost the housing market, though it may be worthwhile in adding some minor stimulus (maybe as low as just a few hundred dollars a year in the average case), in exchange for extinguishing rep and warranty claims on the affected loans.
House Democrats don’t find the changes sufficient, but what would help? What can be done now, without the aid of Congress, to cure a troubled housing market? Here are some thoughts:
1) An Actual Mass Refinance Program: Just as FHFA changed its eligibility rules on Fannie and Freddie-backed loans for underwater borrowers, they could extend them for every loan in their portfolio. They could theoretically mandate a reduction in the interest rate down to the market rate, without fees, for every single loan they have. Since they have millions of loans, that would cause a surge in refinancing, a lot of stimulus for the economy, and a hiring spike to deal with all the refinancing and appraisals and all the rest. There are downsides to this – it would be the end of the FHFA lawsuits against 17 banks, because all their loans would get new paper. But at least in this trade-off, there’s a significant benefit. Ed DeMarco has admitted that the recent changes do not constitute a mass refi program. We could actually have one of those.
2) Fannie and Freddie Could Participate in Principal Reduction: If you really want to save homes, you have to deal with negative equity, which is highly correlated to foreclosures. Principal write-downs have been proven the most effective step. There’s an existing Treasury Department program called the Principal Reduction Alternative. Because it’s voluntary, the take-up rate has been pathetic. And the main reason is that Fannie and Freddie have rejected participation. They could be compelled to do so. As Jared Bernstein notes, if it means that the government takes over FHFA and installs someone willing to undertake that, it’s what has to be done.
3) The $50 Billion Kitty. The White House has authorization through TARP of $50 billion for foreclosure mitigation. This was supposed to be used through the incentive payments in HAMP, but so far only $2.4 billion has been spent there. There are other programs that grew out of all this, like the Hardest Hit Fund for the most worse-off states. In all, maybe $13 billion has been spent. That other $37 billion must not be put toward deficit reduction when there’s a foreclosure crisis. It has to be put to use. The Hardest Hit Fund programs are not meeting capacity needs. But more money can be put toward that problem.
4) Mandatory Mediation. One of the most effective strategies for foreclosure mitigation has been mandatory mediation, a drum the Center for American Progress has been beating since 2009. Getting the borrower and the lender in a room together before any foreclosure action is taken actually works in reaching a settlement. Cities like Philadelphia and states like Connecticut have seen excellent results, saving people from foreclosure. If all the HAMP money were put toward mandatory mediation, borrowers would be in a much better place. But mandatory mediation is under attack, probably because it works too well. Florida wants to kill it. There are ways that the Administration can design grants that threaten other funds to the states if the mandatory mediation programs aren’t picked up.
5) The Rule of Law. One reason why many are skeptical of the state AG proposed settlement over foreclosure fraud is that no investigation has been done to determine the level of fraud. The second step of that is that it would force accountability, meaning a much bigger share of the cost would be taken up by the banks. Penalties should actually hurt. Eric Schneiderman appeared on Rachel Maddow’s show last night, and this was part of his message. We cannot have real accountability without an investigation into everything the banks did wrong in the housing market. Instead of pressuring AGs for a weak settlement, the Justice Department could join with Schneiderman and undertake a full investigation that would force the banks to do much more to make it up to homeowners.
There are other ideas, like creating a modern-day HOLC to buy up homes. I don’t expect these ideas to be taken up by the powers that be, but it’s important to show that another world is possible.



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We can’t write enough about the housing bubble and debt enslavement of millions. There has been 6 to 10 Trillion of equity vanished from the height of the bubble. Prices are below 2000 prices in some places.
The refinance, principal paydown, and mediation programs would help those on the edge of the barrel, but not those at the bottom.
The 50 Billion Tarp money compares against the what, 10 million homeowners
under water, that is only 5,000 an house.
But with the Republican Congress and their debt ceiling I wonder what will happen here, or when Fannie and Freddie ask for more money.
Has anyone seen this from the Guardian
Scott Olsen is in a “critical condition”, in Highland hospital, a spokesman for the hospital has just confirmed to me. ‘ve just spoken to Keith Shannon, roommate of Scott Olsen, the Iraq veteran who is in hospital after apparently having been hit in the head by a police projectile. I think it was at Ooakland
Shannon said doctors told him Olsen has a “skull fracture and swelling of the brain”.
Terrible and brutal. This kind of thing must be stopped when Americans are being harmed by the people who are supposed to protect them.
Well most of all Obama is not interested in designing anything worthwhile for ordinary Americans.
Look,for them to now target education,that’s where the next sleight of hand will occur.
Friends we will not get change unless we are prepared to suffer some hardships.The Dems have already shown us that they are not really interested in doing anything worthwhile for us.
Re-electing the same creeps is not going to bring change.
Why would anyone keep going back to the same creep who keeps putting his/her booth up your ass.
The American dream of owning your own home is very likely dead…
I suspect that, no matter what Obama or anyone else does, so many people (including me) are getting burned that, once they get out of the house they have, they are not going to want to get into another. It really chaps me to have to pay my mortgage each month — I am just putting money down a hole that I will never see again.
Have underwater homes at risk of foreclosure reappraised to current market value and refinance at 4%, 30 year fixed.
Since 2001, when I was steered into a subprime loan despite a 750 average, let me just say this. I have witnessed one fraudulent illegal tactic after another and listed them many times. What has always been most stunning to me has been the effectiveness of this criminal regime in preventing accountability. Since 2001, there have been numerous attempts at class action lawsuit. I sent my statements and materials to at least 3 different big law firms seeking damages against GMAC, for steering people into subprime loans, for paying kick backs to brokers, for inappropriate fees, accounting errors and TILA and RESPA violations. One class action lawsuit was won, but it was of limited scope and did not inclue the violations I listed above. The last suit ended because gmac filed bankruptcy and was bailed out by taxpayers. In each case the story has been kept quiet. I watched these criminals fight every solution that might expose these crimes. I know because I have been waiting to see some kind of accountability.
Every time I have thought that the story of fraud (the micro fraud) that in many cases caused people to foreclose never gets exposed. We could give bankruptcy lawyers the ability to alter these loans because then the country would know the extent of the fraud. Time and again, the one solution that would tell my story and the story of millions of other folks, is left untold. (in regard to the criminal behavior and accountability).
Today it dawns on me, that while we talk about the macro picture (which has it’s secrets yet to be told) there must be something spectacular about that “accountability” issue and fraud. These banks have literally spent millions over the last 10 years to keep it covered up. They’ve been working feverishly since about 2000, to keep this stuff under wraps and to prevent sunshine on the matter.
All I can imagine is that it must be a hell of a secret. I’d like to think that it was because literally millions of people have lost their homes to fraud. How can they possibly make this right if it becomes as clear as I know it will be from my own experience. It won’t be shaded gray, the fraud will be as obvious as taking money out of people’s checking accounts, as real as house robbery. But I don’t think this is the reason they keep it a secret. I don’t think they are worried about trials and court costs. (we know how the court system really works.) I don’t think it will be about bad publicity because all the banks are involved…almost every one of the big banks. It’s not just the money. They have admitted to bankruptcy and needed bailouts already.
Whatever it is, it has to be very, very big.
David,
We just (after more than a year and a half and many thousands in late fees) got approved for a permanent modification. Not sure if it’s HAMP or some internal Citi thing – I think it’s HAMP though.
I’d like to get in touch with you and send you the papers to look over.
MERS is very very much involved – the same ‘VP at Citi’ is the ‘fill-in-job-description’ at MERS. Official New York stamp while notarized IN-PERSON in Missouri.
How can I get a copy to you and see what you think?
Thanks!
Any reasonable discussion MUST begin with, where’s the money going to come from & who deserves to get it. The principal problem we now face is, fair resolution was made impossible the moment the very people who created this mess convinced Obama it wasn’t possible to resolve it on a house by house basis. So, what we’re left with are “deals” favoring one special interest group over another. Unfortunately, another world is NOT possible because in Obama’s world the corrupt get to define the argument. Obama’s corrupt, he’s the worst Democratic President ever, possibly the worst President ever.
Wavpeac,
Something big.. or the real reason.. one can believe it is the degree of government complicity and involvement in the crimes, whether personal or semi-official, conspiring that would prevent the exposure. Just start at the top with Obama who provided immunity for Geithner and Summers by hiring them. His (Our) Justice Department failed to act and do their jobs. That is the top.
And.. could US bad guys have created the European crash..maybe they all sponsored the looting?
As a Broker in California for 35 years, in 2006 I received 14 offers that I think were written by the agent/loan officers for the benefit of themselves that would have produced about $20,000 to them within several weeks with a quick close of escrow. The offers were almost identical leading me to think the agents had been to a seminar. I called people in the industry who assured me any offer was being funded even if, as I suspected, it was fraud. The difference is that I was licensed in California and worked under California law. These offers, I believe, were funded by Wall Street firms like Merrill Lynch who were creating the toxic mess they sold in tranches without the buyers being able to see what they were buying. Unlike me they were exempt from law. In the interest of personal safety, I got out of the business. That toxic mess sits like a sewer in the heart of our financial system. My son is about to leave his home of 13 years with probably Wells Fargo foreclosing and dumping it off to someone else. It is already 50% under value and the dump may be 70%. What my son wants is sanity, but the rental market in the school system where they live is flooded with renters like them. Ultimately the dump will be from the loan servicer to his best friend. My son’s family will not be in on the sweet deal. If Wells Fargo wanted, they could allow this family to remain in their home as they are probably a better prospect than the loan servicer’s friend. Wells Fargo could extend the term of the loan, lower the interest rate and bring the payment closer to a rental. But so far they have preferred foreclosure. What a nightmare.