Election Day 2011 is over, and the victories for Democrats – and more accurately, for liberal values – across the country largely shared a characteristic – they were successful defensive actions to stave off extremely draconian conservative objectives.
The most notable of these came in Ohio, where SB 5, the anti-union bill which stripped most collective bargaining rights from public employees, went down to an emphatic defeat. Organized labor absolutely laid out for this victory, but as it turned out, the margin was pretty much the same as when the anti-union bill was initially polled this winter.
Ohio Governor John Kasich clearly overreached on a variety of levels, making Scott Walker look like a tactical genius, by including police and firefighters in his restrictions, and pushing the unpopular, unilateral, no-holds-barred measure in a state that has a referendum process available to the opposition. Ultimately, however, this was a rear-guard action to block union-busting, maintaining current protections rather than expanding them. When Ohio AFL-CIO chief Tim Burga says in his statement after the win that “Today’s vote showed that Ohioans are desperate for political leadership and cooperation to get people back on the job and in the middle class,” he says it without expecting that such leadership and cooperation will actually show up in Columbus. John Kasich still has three years to go.
Other victories for liberal values were defensive in nature. Voters in Mississippi, in a mild surprise, defeated the so-called “Personhood” amendment that would have defined life as beginning at conception, with 57% of the vote. In Maine, voters restored a four decade-old law that allows for same-day voter registration, repealing a Republican-passed bill changing that law. In Arizona, Russell Pearce, the architect of SB 1070, fell victim to a recall in favor of a moderate Republican, in an election pushed hard by Latino activists in the state as punishment for the anti-immigration law. In Iowa, former television broadcaster Liz Mathis won election to the state Senate, stopping Governor Terry Branstad’s gambit to flip the chamber to Republicans and protecting, among other things, the state’s marriage equality law.
These were significant victories, especially the personhood vote in Mississippi (sure to discourage those pushing similar measures in six states, and the defeat of SB 5 in Ohio. They featured a lot of hard work to protect the gains over many decades, and to punish those who tried to roll back those gains or punish the weak. In Pearce’s case, it was merely a glancing blow after the damage had been done; he reportedly said, “If being recalled is the price for keeping one’s promises, so be it.”
The Obama Administration is right to salute the work done in achieving these victories last night. The fact that they weren’t even that close is notable. But ultimately, as I said, they were rearguard actions. They won’t make material improvements in anyone’s life; they will ensure that things don’t get worse
Meanwhile, conservatives notched some lesser-known wins of their own on Election Night 2011. In Ohio, they scored a largely symbolic victory against the health care individual mandate. In Mississippi, they were victorious in imposing a measure enforcing a strict photo ID requirement for voting, one that is sure to disenfranchise some of the large African-American population in the state. In Virginia, it appears that Democrats lost the state Senate (in the final race, which will decide the matter, the Democrat trails by 86 votes out of 45,000 cast), giving Republicans full control of government, which bodes ill for what Bob McDonnell will try to accomplish. Democrats relinquished the state House in Mississippi as well.
You can maybe extrapolate from Election Day 2011 how Democrats may fare on Election Day 2012; to those who claim the two are unrelated, 2009 served as a pretty reliable early warning system for 2010. But you can also extrapolate that this era of politics features liberals trying to hold on to what they’ve achieved, with conservatives pounding away and making inroads where they can. It has the feel of a treadmill, where the success translates into continuing to run in place. At some point, people hunger to move forward. This is a good start, hopefully it can be built upon.




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In Virginia it is tie, 20-20. So technically the GOP didn’t gain control.
I don’t view Ohio’s ACA slapdown as necessarily conservative other than occupying the libertarian niche there. That niche also overlaps liberal and progressive interests from time to time.
Regardless, even a symbolic slap down of the mandate is welcome. The numbers were spectacular, too.
The Lt. Governor, President of the Senate, is a Republican.
This is really key. When was the last time Democrats in Congress (or anywhere) took the battle to the enemy? Standard operating procedure is to start by offering the Republicans 50-60% of what they want (and wind up giving away 95%). Every Republican victory moves them forward; every Dem “victory” leaves us with the status quo.
You can have as great a defense as you want, but eventually you have to put points on the board or you lose the football game.
There is never an even split there.
Bill Bolling, Lt Gov casts the deciding vote in a standoff. He’ll be busy.
The upside of this (if there is one), is that it’ll raise Bolling’s profile a bit for Republican primary voters. Otherwise Virginians will be looking at wingnut AG Ken Cuccinelli as their next governor. (Still the most likely outcome, I think.)
When star offensive players (Paul Wellstone, Alan Grayson, Russ Feingold, Anthony Weiner) get taken out because of illegal roughness, it makes it hard to put points on the board.
What happened in Iowa is not good news for Romney’s prospects in the upcoming caucus.
The social conservatives are going to be full of fire and fury. A wishy washy Mormon will not be their cup of tea.
With due respect – the Mississippi measure was even more draconian – it counted “personhood” from FERTILIZATION – thereby rendering all women who had eggs fertilized that did not implant into murderesses when they had their period.
But the committees themselves will be split. Hopefully the Dems will continue to kill the crazy crap in committee.
That would be good news for Rooster Santorum.
That’s a freaking scary thought.
I will admit though that McDonnell hasn’t been as nearly bad as I thought. The bar is set pretty low for the GOP. It should be interesting to see if a Democratic Congress tempered him or if he starts pushing BS now that the numbers are more favorable.
Of more significance, the people didn’t gain control.
AND THE KILLIN’ GOEZ ON AND ON AND…
Citizen David Dayen:
I am puzzled that your commentary would dismiss the victories in Ohio, Maine and Mississippi (yes, MISSISSIPPI for Christ’s sake!!) as “defensive”, “mild surprise” and “rear guard action(s)”. It seems to me that you lose sight of the fact that these victories were won as a result of powerful grassroots organizing both from established progressive or “democratic” institutions (read unions) that have been under attack and, in the case of Mississippi, effected classes (read women) who spontaneously organized against a measure and won a victory that was most certainly more than “a mild surprise” at least in its extent.
But more importantly, these victories were an extension of what began in Madison as a movement to blow up the established political party bases and empower people to redefine politics on their own terms. It is impossible to breakup established political machinery without first attacking those machines from the factory floor (as it were) and creating opportunites for people to challenge actions of the political monopoly. That’s exactly what the referrenda in Ohio and Maine and Mississippi were all about. You can’t change the structure of established political power unless you organize and the only way to break the false dialetic that defines the existing political machine is to organize the people who have been estranged from political power and overthrow actions of the political machine.
No, Brother Dayen, these victories last night were hardly “rear guard”, “defensive” actions, they were part of an on going movement growing within our political culture that is creating opportunities to bring people together against established power and grow popular coalitions from outside the established political parties. Please, Citizen, put these victories in the context of the larger movement that is now loosed on the political tyranny of the international corporate oligarchy. These victories last night are the result of mighty, grassroots efforts to create opportunites to challenge established power.
KEEP THE FAITH AND PASS THE AMMUNITION, THE PEOPLE ARE SPEAKING SO YOU MUST UNDERSTAND WHAT THEY ARE SAYING!!
That would suggest gridlock on important stuff both ways. It’s my understand that a committee standoff can get gaveled to the floor, if the floor wants to.
Dunno if that applies when there’s also a standoff on the floor, with Lt Gov as the tie breaker there.
Good bye Gov. Scott Walker in Wisconsin. The vote in Ohio will help move the needle on the recall of Walker and other Senators in Wisconsin now.
Move on Wisconsin!
So, you’re saying the “snap the ball and take a knee” approach has not been working.
I just LOVE sports analogies.
P.S. BTW I think you’re right. This passive-passive approach by the dems in congress and at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. is counter-productive.
Other victories for liberal values were defensive in nature. Voters in Mississippi, in a mild surprise, defeated the so-called “Personhood” amendment that would have defined life as beginning at conception, with 57% of the vote.
Mild Surprise we won on ABORTION in Mississippi! I would think Obama would have had a better chance wining now with the bad economy than we would have had winning on abortion.
Obama’s poll numbers suck smart polls grab on to popular issues and run on them If Obama had supported Abortion in Mississippi then he would be taking the Cred right now.
If Obama had supported Unions in Ohio he would be taking the Cred right now
If Obama had supported same day voting in Maine he would be taking the Cred right now.
Do you realize what Obama gave up? If Obama had supported had campaigned in these states the TV talking heads would all be saying Obama has a chance to win Ohio, Mississippi, and Maine. With Ohio his odds of winning election go up and huge and that means GOP donors who want government contracts would stop giving to the GOP.
Every Republican victory moves them forward; every Dem “victory”
leaves us with the status quomoves the Republicans forward.Fixed it for you.
Yes-it was an utterly insane piece of legislation, but I was very worried that it would go through in Mississippi anyway. I’m very pleasantly surprised, and that doesn’t happen very often anymore.
You have to read between the lines a bit to get to “single payer”.
The mandate is the main rung in ACA, I think. I’m opposed to the mandate (hence ACA) for libertarian reasons, but also for more practical reasons.
As long as the mandate is allowed to persist it guarantees a forced market for the insurance companies which suck money out of the system. It also creates an insurmountable obstacle to single payer down the road.
SCOTUS is the best way to geld the mandate. If they do so, and honor the lack of severability, all of ACA is gone. If it’s just the mandate gone, so be it.