Six central banks took coordinated action to ensure liquidity for the global banking system. During the European crisis, banks in Europe in particular have had trouble securing lending, which could lead to an event not unlike the fall of Lehman Brothers. The European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the central banks of Canada, Japan and Switzerland made an announcement that would help prevent that from happening. How are they doing this? By giving out more free money via lending in US dollars:
The statement said the central banks have agreed to reduce the cost of temporary dollar loans to banks – called liquidity swaps – by a half percentage point. The new, lower rate will be applied to all central bank operations starting on Monday.
They are also taking steps to ensure banks can get ready money in any currency if market conditions warrant by establishing a temporary network of reciprocal swap lines.
So European banks can now borrow dollars to fund their day-to-day operations through a network of central banks, and they can get those dollars cheap. This should address part of the liquidity crisis.
Now, if the world were only worried about a liquidity crisis in Europe, we’d be all set. The problem is, As Karl Smith points out, much more widespread than that:
I haven’t completely sorted this out yet but for a number of reasons I believe that the ECB has lost control of monetary policy in the Eurozone.
By that I mean the ECB is no longer controlling the marginal cost of funding and that indeed the cost of such funding is rising much higher than the official 1.25% rate, at least up to 2.25% and perhaps as high as 6 – 7% [...]
This malfunctioning appears to be down right mechanical with trades regularly not settling on time, collateral not being delivered, awkward interventions by local regulatory agencies and a host of other deep, deep problems.
I don’t have it all sorted out but its not clear that there is a fully functioning money market in Europe right now. Well informed opinion suggests that there is literally a shortage of know-how on the ground. That is to say, some large banks or brokers cannot trade in certain types of paper because they don’t have anyone on staff who knows all of the relevant institutional details.
The opening of temporary swap lines could mean that other central banks can step in with expertise, but from this is sounds like they would have to replace the staff of practically every European bank to fix things.
And then there’s that whole insolvency crisis. Eurozone ministers are still talking in vain about their precious bailout fund, the EFSF, now trying to get the IMF to invest in it. It’s a bit like someone rolling into town and asking you to invest in their magic bean factory. Unfortunately for the Eurozone, none of the entities they are courting are that stupid. The plan is still to leverage the EFSF as a kind of CDO, which is almost criminally insane. And they still won’t reach their goal number needed to cover potential bailouts of Spain and Italy.
The finance ministers approved the next bailout tranche for Greece, but with bond yields rising almost throughout the zone, that’s almost an afterthought at this point.
It could be that Germany is playing an elaborate staring match with the more troubled countries of the Eurozone, getting the maximum amount of mandated fiscal discipline before allowing the ECB to step in.
One way of looking at the sequence of events is to say that the ECB was willing to permit contagion in order to wring out inflation. I think a better way of looking at it is to say that the ECB was willing to threaten Italy with insolvency in order to give Germany more formal control over Italy’s finances.
That’s incredibly hard-ball politics, but if you are not accountable to anybody (which the ECB, basically, is not) then you can play really, really hard-ball politics.
But if this massive relinquishing of national sovereignty was expected to work, then you wouldn’t see companies actually preparing for the breakup of the euro, a previously unthinkable event. Will this be painful? Probably. It also may be unavoidable. And there’s no way the US can avoid the pain.
Indeed, it’s worth checking back on the OECD’s 2010 forecasts: the think tank greatly overestimated U.S. growth (it expected 2.6 percent; we got 1.7 percent) and underestimated euro zone growth (predicted 1.4 percent versus actual growth of 1.6 percent). In other words, the United States was expected to grow at twice the rate of Europe last year and the two economies ended up growing at about the same pace. That could be a sign that forecasting is just really tricky, or it could be a sign that the euro zone and U.S. economies have a tendency to converge.
Yikes. Convergence is scary in this case. That staring contest can end any time now…




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You can inject as much liquidity into the system and it’s not going to help the banks insolvency problem one bit. Tomorrow the banks will still be broke.
Awwwwwww c’mon not tomorrow, we’re probably looking at a week reprieve.
Does anyone have any idea which European big bank we’re helping bail out?
A notary public who signed tens of thousands of false documents in a massive foreclosure scam before blowing the whistle on the scandal has been found dead in her Las Vegas home.
It could not immediately be determined whether Lawrence, who faced up to one year in jail and a fine of up to $2,000, died of susicide or of natural causes, KSNV reported. Detectives said they had ruled out homicide.
Lawrence came forward earlier this month and blew the whistle on the operation, in which title officers Gary Trafford, 49, of Irvine, Calif., and Geraldine Sheppard, 62, of Santa Ana, Calif. — who worked for a Florida processing company used by most major banks to process repossessions — allegedly forged signatures on tens of thousands of default notices from 2005 to 2008.
Let that be a warning to whistleblowers do not piss off TPB
Suicide by bank.
Warren Mosler’s take on this:
The problem per Mr Mosler is also due to the unsecured nature of this action. More loans to the MOTU who really should not need any, right?
You say “broke”, banks say “temporary negative cash flow”.
US Markets are UP on this news.
Lemme get my “program” and the “flow chart”.
Bill Mitchell would beg to differ. He took some pains the other day to dispute Mr Baker’s notion of loaning to the euro zone. Imagine the silly man thinks we have the power to protect ourselves but like the debt crisis we prolly wont.
The stock market loves the intervention, but in the morning, maybe not. Putting out unsecured dollars is a sure way to spark inflation, maybe severe inflation. But what the hell, we need to protect the banksters again,this time in Europe as well.
Gotta get back to work.
It’s been up the last couple of days on the tip the fix was in (Not on the news that Barney Frank is retiring).
I believe in collusion among the insiders as much as anyone, more than most, but I had no inside info and I predicted this rally Sunday afternoon before the trading started for the week, just based on the fact that we held a key support level last week. Just sayin’ . . .
I really shouldn’t call it a tip, it’s really confidence in the inevitability of this measure.
So who is going to invade the Eurobanks, The Germans or the Allies?
Sweet Jesus.
Methinks this war correspondence has been embedded.
Kick, kick, kick the can, merrily down the road….
Solving short term liquidity issues isn’t going to do a damn thing to solve the real problem, which is insolvency, not illiquidity.
Europe, Japan, and the USA have expanded credit far faster than their productive capacity for decades now. As Keynes pointed out long ago, in these situations, the only real issue is who is going to pay: the creditors (via debt writeoffs/repudiations, taxpayers (via bailouts), or everybody (via austerity)?
It ain’t gonna be pretty, folks.
A prisoners dilemma. To lose less you must trust and fund.
The solution? Break out of prison.
Some of these folks need to call the gambling hotline that they have on the back of lottery scratchers.
Keynes was the problem. He kicked the can as far down the road as he could.
Far enough for him.
I guess the Fed figures he’ll go out with a bang.
He’s making his own noose at this point.
There is no way the American consumer can afford for him to keep this up and for THEM to be backstopping his printing fetish.
I think it likely the overestimate had something to due with misrepresentation on our side. Should one bet against the Euro or for the con? No need to anwser.
Keynes knew production had to increase in order to pay off the credit. The politicians and the capitalists ignored and are ignoring that part.
Keynes argued that social security for capitalists was worth the premium of inflation. Another concern of some more far-sighted businessmen was the increased goverment control. They were right, in the long run, because monopolization (particularly among war-mongerers) still occurred.
There’s no ignoring going on. They do not see fiscal expansion as in their interest, for different reasons than those in the Great Depression. They know perfectly well that the last 30 years has been an experiment in privatized Keynesianism. They don’t think the government can do it any better.
I know Keynes was certainly no Marxist, but a modicum of social security for the workers was a byproduct without very much pain, if the debt were to be paid off by expanded production. And a balance of governmental control wouldn’t be a bad thing, not that the capitalist like Prescott Bush would agree with that. Nowadays not domestic expansion certainly, with the rest of the world laid open for their predation under that grotesque chimera, private Keynesianism.
One concern I do have is that on our present course, the answer to Keynsian “priming” will once again be weapons mobilization.