Greece has agreed to new bailout terms, with brutal austerity measures attached, but Eurozone finance ministers don’t believe the Greeks will follow through, so they’ve held up the provision of the funding.
With the clock ticking on a possible sovereign debt default by Athens within weeks, eurozone finance ministers postponed a decision on Greece’s rescue until next week, piling the pressure on the Papademos government.
Following weeks of brinkmanship that have poisoned relations between the bankrupt country and its eurozone creditors, the ministers and senior officials from the eurogroup, the European central bank, the European commission, and the International Monetary Fund voiced exasperation with Greek delaying tactics.
The meeting in Brussels declined to activate the bailout to prevent an outright Greek insolvency by the end of March when the country has to redeem more than €14bn in debt.
The Greek finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos, left the Brussels meeting reportedly stating that his country now needed to decide whether or not to remain in the single currency.
That’s a new statement from a Greek official.
This looks like a kind of dance, where Greeks agree to unworkable terms with unenforceable rules. The finance ministers are supposed to shut up and go along, and then get all surprised when nothing works out later, leading to another round of discussions and deals. That’s how it’s worked for the past couple years. I don’t know if this delay is more of the same, just positioning, or if the finance ministers have had enough with Greece, or if they are so dead-set on destroying the Greek population that they want total assurance of that fact. The claim is that there is still a funding gap of €325 million. Greek leaders objected to the supplemental pension cuts in the original deal, which could account for that. So the finance ministers want to see “results” before they sign on.
That could mean action in the Greek Parliament. And that means walking into this:
Clashes between police and protesters broke out in Athens on Friday, a day after Greek leaders agreed to deep austerity cuts in a last-ditch bid to keep their country from going bankrupt.
The nation’s leaders have said that they believe many of the measures will worsen an already harsh recession, but the country’s lenders have demanded cuts in exchange for an international bailout, the second in less than two years. And though Greeks wonder if they can tolerate more pain, some European leaders have said that the country needs to slash spending even more.
In Greece on Friday, the fallout from the deal shook the political establishment and society as a whole, although few expected a serious challenge to passage of the new measures. The head of a junior partner in Greece’s coalition government, George Karatzaferis, said Friday that his right-wing LAOS party would vote against the austerity measures on Sunday. On Thursday, the deputy labor minister, Yiannis Koutsoukos, a Socialist, resigned, saying that the cuts would do far too much to hurt Greek society.
We’ve heard grumbling like this before. But presumably there is some breaking point when the gap between the people and their government is this large. No?





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Greek police union wants to arrest EU/IMF officials
excellent summary.
Greece really needs the legal changes and the tax collection changes which would be a culture change. Indeed the minimum wage and pension changes are needed (we can’t afford police retirement at 50 and Greece can not afford police and hairdresser retirement at 50).
But the rest of the cuts in spending and the sell off of public assets are not needed and indeed kill any chance of growth in the economy.
So I hope the law is passed this weekend and real tax reform occurs – and then Greece gets out of the Euro and values the bonds at zero – including the bonds the EU governments and the ECB own.
Greece should employ the Argentina option and declare bankruptcy while instructing the IMF to FOAD.
Iceland is doing pretty well, and a lot better than Greece, Spain, or Ireland.
oecd site:
” Iceland has returned to economic growth in 2011, despite the euro area turmoil. Growth is led by large energy-intensive investment projects, residential construction and private consumption expenditure, which will be spurred by high recent collective wage agreements. The unemployment rate has started to fall from high levels by Icelandic standards and should continue to decline with the pick-up of economic activity. While Iceland has made considerable progress in putting its public finances on a sustainable path……”
Same for Argentina.
I am starting to believe the Germans et al are stalling to set up whatever measures they need to allow a default and Greek withdrawal from the Euro. They arent trying to save Greece. Its too expensive. They have to cover their own creditors, which they are doing with the escrow accounts, which means there is no longer a need for the Greek government. All the pressure is to force Greece to make the break and allow the creditors to avoid blame.
There is so much you can do by Kabuki. By now it is apparent to everyone that the ECM et al are putting it to the Greeks as a warning shot to Portugal, Spain and Italy. Get your house in order or this is what will happen to you. I recall about 20 years ago my an ex-student of mine who ran Moody’s sovereign debt unit (and may still for all I know) told me that this is what they were going do to Ecuador in order to prevent Argentina from defaulting. The problem with this model is that it is evident to everyone on earth that austerity will only make things worse and that the Greeks are not going to be able to pay their debt. It is also obvious that in the end they will not sell off their assets, and if they try, a new government will come in and nationalize them.
So the lenders now know this, and they want a stronger deal. But there is no stronger deal. This is the end of at least the first act of the Kabuki play in Europe.
Hi David,
Did you see this just now posted on zerohedge
t is only appropriate, and so ironic, that a politically motivated settlement whose purpose is to squash any claims of pervasive defective document fraud (and contract law but just ask GM bondholders about that – it’s hardly news) is itself found to be… defective. American Banker reports that the reason why the terms of the so-called historic (just ask the Teleprompter in Chief) foreclosure settlement deal are not public yet, is “because a fully authorized, legally binding deal has not been inked yet.” Wait, so America’s cohort of AGs just all, pardon the pun, robosigned a piece of paper that does not exist? What next: there is a different Linda Green signature on every page of this yet to be produced document making a complete mockery of the rule of law?
The Eurothugs are living in a dreamworld. They can extort whatever concessions they want out of current Greek govt, is there any doubt a future Greek govt will simply repudiate it as as an odious debt?
In international law, odious debt is a legal theory that holds that the national debt incurred by a regime for purposes that do not serve the best interests of the nation, should not be enforceable. Such debts are, thus, considered by this doctrine to be personal debts of the regime that incurred them and not debts of the state. In some respects, the concept is analogous to the invalidity of contracts signed under coercion.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odious_debt
The same thing has been going on here ever since Obama introduced his Catfood Commission and turned austerity all bipartisany by getting Democrats to cheer for it. Whatever austerity happens in Europe is a foreshadowing to what will happen here. Republicans basically openly follow the IMF model, while the Democrats go about doing it behind closed doors and wink and nod asking for a deal to cut the social safety net.
I begin to feel the same way, if only bc this has been on going for such a long time. The Greeks do seem to have problems with pensions but after all this time there is no plan in sight to bring it under control that anyone believes, so far as I know.
I would never listen to anything the imf has to say. But there are times I wonder about austerity. I know most of us despise that word and I do too. But what happens if our inflation outpaces Europe for some period of time?
I would second that.
Excellent assessment of the situation and the solutions.
The interesting thing will be to see what actually happens, on all fronts.
Sure makes you wonder why we don’t hear more about Iceland, doesn’t it?
no, definitely can’t talk about what Iceland did.
they put their version of a proposed payout of the european banks to a vote by the citizens.
I can’t help but wonder about the element of theater and indoctrination in all this. Grab the world’s attention, threaten crushing austerity and seizure of public assets (the Parthenon???), stamp out any local protests vigorously, ramp up fear and anxiety–soften ‘em up for the kill that’s coming.
SIckening.
And don’t dare let them know about Iceland, that there is an alternative (which involves bringing to heel the very entities hell-bent on grabbing the world’s wealth and plunging us back into something resembling Europe’s Dark Ages).
In Greece today.