I’m loath to dive into the numbers of the Administration’s FY 2013 budget, because it won’t be used as anyone’s baseline, and to the extent that it will, that was baked into the cake by the debt limit deal. If you want the hard numbers, the surprisingly best source I’ve found comes from the Guardian. Just as an example about how this is a document that won’t cause much interest in Congress, look at the transportation numbers:
• Proposes $556 billion over six years to upgrade roads, bridges and expand high-speed rail, 60% more than the last plan enacted by Congress.
• Boosts funding by $50 billion in the first year to create jobs in industries suffering from protracted unemployment.
• Provides $53 billion over six years for high-speed passenger rail
• Invests $30 billion in a National Infrastructure Bank to provide loans and grants for projects of regional and national significance, supporting economic competitiveness.
The House Republican transportation bill, which Ray LaHood called the worst transportation bill I’ve ever seen, only provides $260 billion, actually far less than half of what the Administration wants.
So why cover this at all? Aside from the fact that little else is going on, there is one new wrinkle, or at least new to me, that would represent as significant a change to income inequality as anything the Administration has yet proposed.
In his new budget blueprint, President Obama is proposing to tax dividends of the wealthiest taxpayers as ordinary income subject to their top income-tax rate, which was the practice until the Bush administration lowered the rates. The proposal, released on Monday morning with other parts of the budget, would raise about $206 billion over 10 years.
Assuming that the Bush-era tax cuts expire at the end of the year, as required by law, dividends for the top 2 percent of income-earners would be taxed at 39.6 percent. Before 2002, the richest taxpayers paid a 35 percent tax on dividends, like on all ordinary income.
Republicans are certain to try to block the change, as they have done to thwart Mr. Obama’s 2008 campaign promise to end the Bush-era tax cuts for those making more than $250,000 a year.
This is not a change on capital gains, the money earned through sale of stock at a profit; it’s on dividends, the money earned through corporate payouts of profits to shareholders. The capital gains tax rate would rise to 20% from 15% under the Obama proposal, consistent with prior years. However, in the past, Obama budgets have proposed a similar increase to dividends, up to 15%. No more: this increases dividend taxes all the way to 39.6%.
This only would hold for the wealthiest households. Taxpayers making under $250,000 a year would see the same dividend tax rate as before. So this is a specific effort to extract more in dividend taxes from the wealthy.
And that attacks a soft underbelly of the tax code – investment gains that the wealthy save or pass to descendants, rather than use in the real economy. While much of income inequality can be explained through before-tax income, at least some of it can be explained by how softly the US taxes dividends and capital gains, and how easily the rich can shift their earnings from ordinary income into these other income sets. I would argue that capital gains should follow the same structure, but targeting dividends in this way at least puts those income sources on the same footing as others. As an Administration official told the New York Times, “Part of the motivation for this is that there are currently too many ways for the wealthy and the well connected to avoid paying their fair share of taxes. Much of income escapes taxation even at the corporate level.”
Generally, I think this is a pretty good idea, consistent with the new shift in emphasis toward using taxation to get at the deficit over spending, but also attacking one of the sources of income inequality, which has disastrous social effects.
UPDATE: The entire budget document is here.





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This is great news. At last the Obama administration is proposing something that will address the inequalities structured into the tax code.
It might not result in actual legislation this year, but it is good for campaign rhetoric. We need to change the conversation from cutting benefits for deficit reduction to increasing revenue from superwealthy to fund investment in American infrastructure and people.
Point of information. A capital gain is the increase in the price of any asset between its purchase and its sale. Thus, it doesn’t just apply to stocks.
Yes, it won’t get passed, and Obama doesn’t WANT it passed. But it enables Black Romney to pretend he’s more “progressive” than White Romney, and keep the Kabuki show going.
On the other hand, I bet his corporate tax cut sails right through. Because Blackface Romney isn’t coupling the two proposals or anything like that. As for the “closing of loopholes”…woops, guess that got left out.
Prediction: lower corporate taxes, with no increased collections; no dividend tax increase, a further two-year extension of the Bushbama tax cuts for “everybody”. And of course, more “payroll tax holiday” to defund Social Security and move the conversation to “fixing” it.
S.O.S.—Same Obama Scumbaggery
All Obama has to do is precisely nothing for us to return to Clinton-era taxation, but I’m sure Obama will do something to screw that up….more than likely intentionally.
Remember this Budget is for display purposes only. In the event of re-election the real budget will be unveiled. But let us discuss in earnest what fair is because it is much more fun than twiddling our thumbs.
Gosh, I didn’t even know you could BUY the Brooklyn Bridge, how much are you asking?
I won’t be holding my breath.
How do you spell n-a-i-v-e?
Everyone at FDL seems to have little hope in not just the final outcome of O’s proposals but the sincerity of them as well. I find this both stunning and comforting at the same time. :)
“because it won’t be used as anyone’s baseline”
As everyone else has said: BULLSHITE!
The paper this was printed on has only one use – wiping excrement.
“In his new budget blueprint, President Obama is proposing to tax dividends of the wealthiest taxpayers as ordinary income subject to their top income-tax rate . . .”
I have complete faith that this will come to the same end as closing GITMO, reducing US war in the Middle East, improving health care and every other public policy promise Obama has made in the past. Not only will it not happen, but also its opposite will increase.
“As an Administration official told the New York Times, “Part of the motivation for this is that there are currently too many ways for the wealthy and the well connected to avoid paying their fair share of taxes. Much of income escapes taxation even at the corporate level.””
EVEN at the corporate level?! This word choice tells you about all you need to know about just how much of a tissue of horse shit this is. Indeed. The election rhetoric: “The rich need to pay their fair share! (And please send our fox to clean up the henhouse.)”
ROTFLMAO!!!!!
Yeah, right: Obama’s going to try really really really hard to, you know, raise the cap gains tax rate… NOT!
Anyone who believes such twaddle oughta keep clapping louder for Tinkerbell!
No offense intended, albeit poss sounds harsh. I appreciate the post, but I have NO expectation of anything remotely close to this ever happening with OBushma at the helm. Fahgeddaboudit.
Full disclosure: I am in favor of raising cap gains tax rates, and it will have an impact on me. Not everyone who has some amount of “money” is a greedy narcissistic sociopathic pig who refuses to share.
More than a third of my 83 year old mother’s income is from dividends. The rest is social security ($800/month) and a federal retirement annuity ($500/month). Last year, she made around $30K gross.
Taking dividends isn’t going to hit just the 1%, not by a long shot. It’s going to hit people solidly in the middle class, especially the retired and those near retirement age.
Smart investors don’t try and make a lot from the market on sale of individual stocks (profit from taxed at capital gains rates) as they near retirement. They do invest in stocks that have decent rates of return, typically small to regional sized banks, utilities companies, and REITs (real estate investment trusts).
Given that conventional savings accounts, money markets, and certificates of deposit are effectively paying 0 to 1% interest for years, there’s more than a few people who went the dividends route to get some return on their retirement savings. My mother isn’t one of those, she inherited her stock 20 years ago and has been holding it.
A surtax on dividends is going to hurt, and not the people making bank on the carried interest exemption.
It’s just so much pandering from Obama. He couldn’ get this through a Democratic Senate much less Grover’s Rovers in the house.
part of his re-election strategy. Yawn. Fakey populism from the master
Get in line for your flagon of hemlock. I’ve been off Obama since he groveled before AIPAC when he was finally able to drive the stake through Hillary’s blackheart back in summer of ’08
Oh, looks like this won’t effect Mom, since it’s only on people with incomes above $250K/year.
My general feelings, however, are that capital gains should be taxed at the same rate as interest and dividends. It’s all unearned income, or in the case of professional house flipper, income that should often be discouraged.
It has to effect Mom, otherwise they’re not fucking the middle class.
Anyone who believes that this will happen needs their head examined.
higher dividend taxes will affect our 83-yr old mothers more than it will affect the hedge fund owners who pay 15% on their capital gains and don’t give a crap about dividends
The amusing thing that is not discussed by anyone, including in this post, is the fact all those deficit reduction projections, budget projections, economic projections assume the Clinton Tax return as they are already current law.
But Obama’a budget proposes new rules in lieu of the Clinton rates – and he expects – and he gets – love from the left for the proposals. Those proposals amount to tax cuts for the rich from the Clinton rates but are presented as increased taxes on the rich. Go fiqure !! :-).
So the dance is for the GOP to pretend they are opposed, before they agree to more tax cuts for the rich – it’s a WIN-WIN
I wonder if the hate of Hillary, of the Clinton’s, will have the left cutting off its nose to spite its face, even amongst those that do not like Obama’s previous lies and betrayals. I suspect it will.
Obama raise taxes on the investor class? Bien sur.
If Obama was really intent on reducing waste then he would have had this politically motivated budget distributed in .pdf form rather than printed. How many trees were sacrificed for this straw man budget?
What on Earth do the Clintons have to do with this? They haven’t made any budget proposals, they’re not running against Obama. To the extent Obusha gets love from the “left”, it’s because he’s “fighting” the Scary, Scary Republicans™, nothing to do with Bill/Hill.
I hate the Clintons with the force of the ClintonCare health program crushing a welfare mother, but that hardly makes me an Obama supporter. Well, okay, once Edwards was doomed (little did I know that the ’08 RFK-esque Edwards was actually Elizabeth running the campaign as John’s penance for banging the ugly crazy woman), I allowed myself a tiny scintilla of hope that the unknown slickster would be better than the known EVIL that was Hillary (even though his conspicuous copying of her every policy stance [so as to reduce the race to, well, race] left me very cynical), but I’m long past that, I assure you.
Hillary AND Obama can both be gnawed to death by sewer rats, for all I care.