Negotiators say they have a deal on a $150 billion bill to extend the payroll tax cut, some unemployment insurance benefits and the “doc fix” to the end of the year, a bill that will sacrifice some health care prevention money, several weeks of unemployment eligibility, and at the very end, pension contributions for new federal employees:
A key roadblock was overcome when the lawmakers agreed to require new federal workers to contribute more to their pension plans, clearing the way around 12:30 a.m. for a majority of the House-Senate conference committee to begin signing onto the deal.
The pension provision represented a concession to key Maryland Democrats who, even after prodding from President Obama, did not grant their support until current federal workers were shielded from the new pension plan, aides in both parties said.
A vote could come as early as Friday, the last act in a five-month battle over Obama’s proposed jobs plan.
The deal was done through the conference committee, which means they will deliver a non-amendable report to each chamber of Congress for a vote. That vote could take place as early as Friday, with the expectation that the House and Senate could pass it and get out of town for the President’s Day recess. The deal may not get a vote until Saturday, however, because of the way in which the House must post bills publicly for a period of time, per their new rules.
As stated previously, the bill would reduce the maximum weeks of unemployment benefits gradually throughout the year, down to 63 weeks for most states, and 73 weeks for hardest-hit states with over a 9% unemployment rate.
There are $50 billion worth of offsets in the $150 billion bill, as the extension of the payroll tax cut is unfunded. The doc fix, around $20 billion is funded by health care cuts, including a $5 billion cut to the Health Care Prevention Fund, a fund intended to be dedicated to disease prevention. One of the alleged kickbacks in the health care law, a measure for Louisiana that would increase Medicaid coverage for victims of Hurricane Katrina in the state, has also been wiped out. There are also reduced payments to hospitals for some procedures in the bill.
The $30 billion for the unemployment benefits extension is funded by a $15 billion sale of wireless spectrum and the changes to pension benefits for new federal employees, which will raise $15 billion over ten years.
Some other parts of the bill from the New York Times:
Under the agreement, states will be allowed to conduct drug testing for anyone who lost a job because the person failed or refused to take an employer’s drug test, and they could test anyone seeking a job that generally requires such a test, a provision similar to existing law [...]
The agreement extends the nation’s main welfare program, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, through the current fiscal year. States will have to prevent welfare recipients from using electronic benefit cards at liquor stores, casinos and strip clubs.
I call that the “humiliate the poor” section of the bill.
This probably closes the book on the American Jobs Act, incidentally, which the President announced in September and which included a payroll tax cut and extending unemployment benefits as major features. All told, about $150-$160 billion of the $450 billion proposal will end up getting passed (the doc fix was not part of the AJA, but you have to add in a portion of the $30 billion two-month extension from December). That’s arguably more than many observers expected, and $100 billion of it was not even offset. So in macro terms, this avoids a bad circumstance for the economy. The details are a bit more unsettling.




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Granted, I know the politicians do not give a crap, but I have a bone to pick with the unemployment calculations. Deciding who needs help based upon statewide unemployment numbers is ridiculous, especially since those hardest hit professions dropped out of the unemployment rolls literally years ago. I looked up the rate in MN, and found that the state percentage dropped to 5.7 in December. (Christmas part time employment). But as an architect who lost her 25 person firm in 2009, I have been making about 10K a year since then. Do they really think professionals are employed when they take some kid’s job flipping coffee for minimum wage?
Here is a chart by county, which is arguably a more fair basis than state. (It is not as though these figures are not available, and people with an underwater mortgage can not move for a job.
http://www.positivelyminnesota.com/Data_Publications/Data/Current_Economic_Highlights/County_Unemployment_Rates.aspx
It makes things looks rosey, doesn’t it? However, it is not.
Politicians are just bored with the subject of unemployment.
It is more fun to think about controlling their wives and daughters.
AKA social security gutting. Thanks again o for absolutely nothing
First, O is not the problem!
Second, if there is drug testing for anyone getting benifis, then it is about time for us to stand up and ask ALL who get money from the taxpayer to be tested. That would include Politicians & their staff, corporation & their staff, oil companies, agribusiness, hospitals, churches & their staff and finally wall street banks & their employees!!!!!!!!!!
Try this for economic stimulus..
Cut SS tax to 3.5% and eliminate the cap.. working folks get a real break, SS gets stronger, and the wealthy can eat shit and howl at the moon.
And..instead of paying Unemployment, pay people for employment in public sector jobs..
Like FDR.. But Obie likes Lincoln.. and bailing out Banks & other job creators..
Time to crawl back under my rock..
This is just another methodolgy for screwing the general public without getting charged with rape, because the camoflauge is so good. This is pandering.
I like this idea;)
Side Effects of Public Policy
In addition, public policy designed to help workers who lose their jobs can lead to structural unemployment as an unintended side effect. Most economically advanced countries provide benefits to laid-off workers as a way to tide them over until they find a new job. In the United States, these benefits typically replace only a small fraction of a worker’s income and expire after 26 weeks. In other countries, particularly in Europe, benefits are more generous and last longer. The drawback to this generosity is that it reduces a worker’s incentive to quickly find a new job. Generous unemployment benefits in some European countries are widely believed to be one of the main causes of “Eurosclerosis,” the persistent high unemployment that afflicts a number of European economies.
all good ideas – now you need out from under that rock because we need to use that rock to get some folks attention! :-)
When calculated by the same method, the UE rate in the EU is not that different than the US – at least that was the case until 20 of the 27 governments went conservative and did the austerity thing as they cut taxes on the rich and corporate.
O is the problem –
his decision to pretend he was forced to extend the Bush tax cuts so as to get the UE – just because he wanted nothing to do with Clinton adminstration policy – including the Clinton tax rate – and because he favors the corporations and the rich much more than the Clintons or other Democrats do – gave up the only lever we had to get UE benefits – gave them up at a time when we controlled the House and Senate, and indeed needed to do nothing to get the Clinton tax rates back.
Has anyone noticed the huge spin over the last week of Obama wanting to end the rich’s tax cuts??? Oh, Mr Hey I’m Running for Office So I’m A Populist Again Obama – we’re not falling for it this time.
O is sort of a known quantity, and has been pretty much from the beginning of his term. (With clear signs of dishonesty – FISA, throwing the Palestinians under the bus the day after capturing the nomination – even before.)
Is it O’s fault that progressives have, collectively, done so little to educate the public, in general, about his duplicitous ways? Should we have expected the Veal Pen to lead the way?
The only progressive group that I know about, that ever made a decent stab at pressuring Obama to change his corporatist ways, by educating the public, is the PCCC, the so-called “bold progressives”. They’re not nearly bold enough to get the job done, and so are a)mis-labeling themselves and b) fulfilling a Veal-pen like function, by siphoning off the attention and resources of progressives who would be willing to be consistently and aggressively bold.
Which means they’re likely a net/net negative.
So, who remains? Progressive Radio Network is pretty good about going after Obama, but they’re not doing anything deliberate to accelerate their explosive growth, plus internet podcasts are a niche unto themselves. I don’t think they have a well-defined plan to bring their voice to the masses.
Can you think of any other groups that remain which might organize real pressure on Obama, from a left and/or populist (non-Republican) viewpoint?
I can’t, which leaves people like you and me to create such an organization, doesn’t it?