If we see military action in Iran in the next several months, you can trace part of the reason back to a redistricting quirk in the San Fernando Valley.
Rep. Howard Berman basically ran the state’s redistricting maps, through his brother, when they were drawn by the legislature. But California voters passed an initiative setting up an independent redistricting commission, which drew Berman and Rep. Brad Sherman into CA-30, the same district in the Valley, leaving the additional district in the area for a Latino candidate to take (City Councilman Tony Cardenas will in all likelihood represent the area). The district is mostly Sherman’s turf, but Berman has the money and endorsements from practically the entire Congressional delegation, including both Senators. But Sherman has seen leads in early polling.
This all came to a head last night at a debate, held at Temple Judea in Tarzana, between Berman, Sherman and Republican Mark Reed, Sherman’s 2010 opponent. California now has a “top-two” primary, where all candidates appear on the primary ballot and the two with the most votes, regardless of party, move to the general election. For this reason, Berman and Sherman could actually continue this campaign through to November.
The debate, sponsored by the Jewish Journal, spent the entire first half on Israel policy, particularly the possibility of military action with Iran. This is highly unusual for a Congressional debate until you consider that Berman is the ranking member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and his opponents spent the entire night getting to his right on Israel policy.
Sherman is clearly taking a populist line in this campaign, to contrast with Berman’s establishment credentials. Sherman emphasized his leadership opposing TARP, his opposition to free trade policies, and said that SOPA “was not well-designed,” even though he’s still listed as a co-sponsor of that anti-piracy bill. Both Democrats take major funding from Hollywood, and Berman, still in thrall to that cash, called SOPA a bill about “property rights” and chalked up the recent takedown of the legislation to a “disinformation campaign” from Silicon Valley. But in general terms, without the Israel issue, you would have a clear establishment Dem vs. populist Dem dynamic.
However, Israel dominated the debate. Sherman in his opening statement called for the release of Jonathan Pollard, a convicted Israeli spy, and demanded the moving of the US Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem. These would be comfortable positions in tonight’s GOP primary debate. For his part, Berman said that he authored the “toughest sanctions on Iran in history.” Mark Reed spent the night pointing to the two incumbents and saying their work on Iran had failed, summoning the most apocalyptic rhetoric imaginable to describe them (the “they want to wipe Israel off the map” variety), to cheers from the packed synagogue crowd.
When asked if Israel should attack Iran themselves, Sherman said that Israel “will not listen to cautions from the US.” He criticized the slow pace of sanctions and said that he had been calling on crackdowns on the central bank and petroleum sales “since 1998.” He added that “we in the pro-Israel community will have to explain to our friends,” if the price of oil surges after an Israeli attack on Iran, why that attack was necessary and vital for Israel’s security. Wow.
Berman chose to dodge speculation on an Israeli attack, charging that the sanctions he wrote on Iran are working, and that the international coalition built to carry them out made that happen (Sherman countered that “secondary sanctions” must be created with US business, to further strangle Iran). But, he said, “you have to leave the military option on the table as a threat” to get China and India, which have not agreed to the sanctions (and have been a safety valve for Iran to sell their products), to comply.
Reed, for his part, said that the US has to build a coalition for war, because if Israel goes alone, “it will create more problems for them.” He then added that he supports Israel going alone if they make that decision!
And if you think that Berman isn’t being pushed into a very dark corner on Israel policy by this primary, consider this. Last week, Joe Lieberman and some colleagues introduced an exceedingly dangerous bill in the Senate, a resolution essentially supporting military action if Iran has a nuclear “capability.” Lieberman couldn’t even define “capability” in this context. But Berman said that he would introduce a companion bill in the House with similar language, along with the chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen. “The test has to be if Iran has a weapons capability that cannot be destroyed,” Berman says. “When that happens, everything changes.”
Reality compels me to point out that the consensus view of the US intelligence community is that Iran has not decided to build a nuclear weapon. In fact, Sherman, who changed his position on the Iraq war after initially being a supporter, was asked whether this rush to war felt at all familiar. He said that the difference was that the weapons inspectors found nothing in Iraq, but “we know what they’re doing” in Iran, and that their nuclear program has “no other purpose but as a weapon.” Again, the consensus view of the US intelligence community declares that Iran has not decided to build a nuclear weapon.
This went on for 45 minutes, with each candidate trying to up the ante on belligerence against Iran and support for Israel. (This was actually a question from the moderators: “When was the last time you visited Israel?” Berman, with his dozen visits, won on that score.) The candidates blamed Mahmoud Abbas for stopping peace talks. They demanded that no US funds go to UNESCO, who allowed the Palestinian state in as a member (Berman acknowledged that it’s “sort of sad” because UNESCO does good work in the world; Reed called UNESCO “UNICEF”). Sherman tried to differentiate himself by criticizing the President on his statement about the 1967 borders as a starting point for negotiations, a perfectly reasonable statement made by prior Republican Presidents. Berman hyped his closeness to Israel by saying that Bibi Netanyahu “calls me” when he wants something done.
Sherman did make one important point, that he opposed the war in Libya because “the American Constitution is not a flimsy piece of legalism” and that the Administration did not use the War Powers Act to go to war. “By subverting the Constitution” and allowing an Administration to go to war without the consent of Congress, “we do more harm to us than we can possibly do good in Libya,” Sherman said. Of course, Sherman would be happy to see Israel strike Iran unilaterally, as long as Congress keeps their prerogatives.
The dynamic is really frightening here. A ranking member on Foreign Affairs in Congress is being pulled (and quite willingly) into increasingly aggressive positions, and this shows no sign of slowing down.




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As you said, David, “Wow.” These gentlemen seem to belong in the Knesset (sp?) rather than the US Congress. Who are their real constituents?
By way of comparison and contrast, I adhere to what the Chicano Veterans Organization has “endorsed” for itself. And such, I am biased, in that I helped create this political “position.” Thus, Reason and Sanity will prevail.
First, no Native American, African American and Chicano, wearing our nation’s uniform, will fight and die on Israeli soil for Israel having inflicted a Second-Rate Democracy onto itself.
Second, the United Nations General Assembly be asked to establish a Trans-Border Commission and charged with the responsibility for defining and ultimately determining the “border” between the Israelis and Palestinians. And done on a “street by street” and “neighborhood by neighborhood” basis.
Third, upon completion of this Commission’s Report, the UN General Assembly will require that “report” be put on on next ballot cycle by both the Palestians and Israelis, for their approval or rejection.
Fourth, should either the Palestinians or the Israelis refuse to adopt this next ballot cycle “process” then, economic sanctions will imposed,and comparable to what has been currently imposed on Iran.
And simultaneoulsy, the White House needs to “demand” that Israel provide a schedule for their “reduction of nuclear weapons in their inventory.”
For in doing the above, the Democratic candidates will be required to “give heed to the Democratic constituency” otherwise, the Democratic candidates have no “foresight” let alone, any Common Sense.
Jaango
I was at the debate last night and was amazed at how many times Brad Sherman veered away from fact. Two of the points you mention in this article were just two examples. The first one, “In fact, Sherman, who changed his position on the Iraq war after initially being a supporter, was asked whether this rush to war felt at all familiar. He said that the difference was that the weapons inspectors found nothing in Iraq, but “we know what they’re doing” in Iran, and that their nuclear program has “no other purpose but as a weapon.” Again, the consensus view of the US intelligence community declares that Iran has not decided to build a nuclear weapon.” I’m so happy you pointed that out because when he made that analogy of the sandwich, we all looked at each other and said, “What is this guy talking about?” So the entire consensus view of the US intelligence community is declaring Iran has not decided to build a nuclear weapon and Brad Sherman has concluded, based on his sandwich analogy, that he has.
And then on this SOPA bill he co-sponsored and then is now backing off of because of how great of a job Silicone Valley did on controlling that conversation. The bill was flawed, no doubt about it, but don’t all of a sudden back down because it’s unpopular. He seems to do that alot. I was next to a Hollywood studio exec during the debate and when Brad Sherman mentioned his new found position on SOPA, he leaned over to his companion and said, “That’s not what he told us and I can’t wait to tell everyone else how he pivoted in this debate.” My guess is Brad wasn’t expecting the entertainment community who he was courting to be at the debate last night. Oops…
People like SherBerman are why I am not a Democrat. These lost boys of 1980′s Republicanism now roost in the Democratic Party.
Thanks for the important and detailed summary of this debate. Here’s a story posted at emptywheel relating to the war mongerers doing their warmongering, along the lines of the Lieberman bill mentioned in this post:
http://www.emptywheel.net/2012/02/22/iran-parallel-to-2003-rhetoric-senate-war-lobby-objects-to-negotiations-iaea-visit-controversial/
Though the Times story notes the administration is not being as hawkish as the warmongering Israel Firsters, or as in the runup to the Iraq invasion, this does not seem to be an issue that elicits push back. Rather, this posturing by the warmongers does NOT elicit push back although the intelligence services and the public at large is against war with Iran. Can we say that opposing subservience to right wing Zionist warmongering is one of those “third rails” of American politics?
I think so.
General Dempsey’s statement last week [denouncing war with Iran] may be the extent of the pushback we can expect to see from the administration. Or it may just be a fig leaf, and he is the designated scapegoat.
My hypothesis is that Dempsey was a false flag op of O to lull antiwar crowd into thinking there’s some oppo within the administration.
“He said that the difference was that the weapons inspectors found nothing in Iraq, but “we know what they’re doing” in Iran, and that their nuclear program has “no other purpose but as a weapon.” Again, the consensus view of the US intelligence community declares that Iran has not decided to build a nuclear weapon.”
Both sentences are true.
What Iran is doing is pointless waste unless they are pushing a weapons program.
We have no indications that they intend to go beyond the ability to have a missile mountable bomb ready in 6 months at the end of this effort.
But intent is hard to determine, and being on a weapons path is easy to prove.
Afraid the decision for a point of view in a column here is not obvious – anti-war always makes it easier, but if one is “no war unless” one does not need knee jerk Bibi love to worry and wonder where to put the “unless” line.
Not an easy a topic to write about unless the point is just to dump on Bibi (always a good thing to do from my point of view). To claim those that worry about Iran are sucking up to Bibi however is not to argue anything that is obvious.
Not exactly sure what your point is, but if it is something like evidence that Iran is on a bomb building path is sufficient to justify “pre-emptive strike”, then the burden would be to answer the question “Why?”. The consequences of an attack on Iran are potentially multiple, serious, unpredictable, unlimited. The consequences of “containment”, even assuming Iran on a bomb-capable path, are potentially far more limited and manageable by just about any measure.
Why do so many ignore the virtual impossibility that Iran would try to use, say, a solitary nuke? Because 1) it’s an inconvenient fact and 2) non-military objectives are the primary concern, but military force is the apparently the favored mechanism.
Israeli hardliners, and their enablers, get to drag the US into another war. Shifting blame for that critical path to Iran is a no-brainer in the West. And after all, why would any one ever say a bad thing about Holy Joe and his “Patriotic” cohorts?
The club:
http://www.fas.org/programs/ssp/nukes/nuclearweapons/nukestatus.html
In 2006, Brad Sherman supported Joe Lieberman over Ned Lamont in the general election.
“This all came to a head last night at a debate, held at Temple Judea in Tarzana,…Both Democrats take major funding from Hollywood, and Berman, still in thrall to that cash, called SOPA a bill about “property rights” and chalked up the recent takedown of the legislation to a “disinformation campaign” from Silicon Valley…opponents spent the entire night getting to his right on Israel policy.”
It is called playing to the crowd, thus Israel was the main topic of debate. The real question is whether any of these clowns have any real clout among AIPAC, which obviously has become the ring that must be kissed in order to be the next puppet president. These sycophants are doing what their lizard brains are programmed to do.
Brad Sherman has been my rep since he first took office in 1997. He is willing to drive the US over an economic/moral cliff to support the misguided goals of conservatives in Israel. Of course, most of our fighting is done by gentiles of the lower classes.
I wonder how many young men from affluent Jewish families Brad Sherman would be willing to sacrifice in some other part of the world unrelated to Israel?
The dynamic is disturbing. This is yet another example of how the function of our “democracy” has little to do with the will of the people. The outsized importance of Israel and the will of those who identify with it-a tiny minority of the population-drives an entire debate? WTF?
Which is it? Is intention hard to judge or do you know what Iranian decision-makers’ is from our nebulous, 3rd-hand account of their activities? Choose and deal with the consequences of either position.
Frankly, as long as Israel has the bomb, I think it could be a relatively good outcome for Iran to get it anyway. It would probably bring relative stability to the region by toning down Israel’s aggression.
When Gen. Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, claimed that USA wanted no part of a military strike on Iran (which he did over the weekend—an act that sent Nut ‘n Yahoo into another rage) it indicates that even our professional warrior class thinks an attack is a seriously stupid idea.
In fact, those who want a war with Iran fall into one of only two categories—Morons, and Drooling Morons. Apparently that debate in California was a drool-bucket-only affair. Sounds like a couple Michelle Bachmann wannabes to me.