I’m sure this will be given as evidence that Obama “lost” Iran:
International nuclear inspectors reported on Friday that Iran is moving rapidly to produce nuclear fuel at a deep underground site that Israel and the United States have said is virtually invulnerable to attack.
The report by the International Atomic Energy Agency indicated that for the first time Iran has begun producing fuel inside the new facility in a mountain near the holy city of Qum. The agency’s inspectors found in their most recent visits that over the past three months Iran has tripled its production capacity for a type of fuel that is far closer to what is needed to make the core of a nuclear weapon. The report about progress at the new facility is likely to inflame the debate over whether Iran is getting closer to what Israel’s defense minister, Ehud Barak, calls a entering “zone of immunity.” The phrase refers to a vaguely-defined point beyond which Iran could potentially produce weapons fuel without fear of an air attack that could wipe out its facilities.
The emphasis is mine, because it’s important to explain how the goalposts have shifted, even in the media. In this report, the danger comes not from Iran having a nuclear weapon, or even having the desire to make one (it’s “far closer” to having the capability, but isn’t even there yet). The danger is now that they’re making fuel in a facility that’s more invulnerable to attack. So just having the potential to make a weapon in a secure facility, whether they have decided to make one or not, has become the new boogeyman. “We don’t want the smoking gun to become a mushroom cloud” and all that.
Incidentally, in the very next paragraph, the NYTimes writes that the IAEA has also found that Iran “is still having trouble deploying significant number of next-generation equipment to make fuel.” But this seems inserted in the story only to allow for the argument that there’s still time for an attack, rather than to undermine the entire case for attack. And because of a lot of reader pushback, the article acknowledges that “American intelligence officials say they do not believe Iranian leaders have made that decision” to make a bomb, and that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, “explicitly ruled out producing a weapon in a recent speech.” But the story is quick to add that Israeli and British intelligence disagree with the US assessment. The IAEA, for its part, says in the report that it found “strong indicators of possible weapon development.” And this hedged response is among the most aggressive statements they’ve ever made!
The full report from the IAEA can be found here. Just this week, IAEA inspectors were reportedly blocked from access to an underground testing site. There are no inspectors currently in Iran.
Surely the neocons will use this report to demand an attack “before it’s too late.”



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This report is a draft written by God-knows-who. IAEA reports that turned out to be fake or unofficial are a dime a dozen.
What credibility does the IAEA have since El Baradei departed. Rhetorical question since the Neocons, AIPAC and Bibi want a war of some sort and the report is a needed boost.
Exactly, Arbusto…! Since El Baradei left, Yukiya Amano, has lived up to his Wikileaks reputation…
…In a later cable in October, the US mission in Vienna goes as far as describing Amano as “DG of all states, but in agreement with us”.
As the NYT reported…
…In the statement Tuesday, the nuclear agency said its team had “requested access to the military site at Parchin,” where there was evidence of a facility that could be used in weapons-related testing. “Iran did not grant permission for this visit to take place,” the statement said. In the past, Iran had said the team of inspectors could visit any nuclear-related location, but it has recently maintained that Parchin was a military base and off limits.
Gareth Porter completely obliterated that false meme… Tempest over an Iran Military Site…
Enough with the warmongering already…!
Not until they’ve milked it for every last cent and every last advantage that they can…
… and then they’ll come back in a year or two and do it all over again.
No prob, no worries. The mission has been accomplished:
Oil surges after Iran uranium warning
LINK.
There you go. The real neo-con agenda. Why go for colonial wars when you can manipulate the market with the threat of one.
Judith Miller is back at the NYT. Didn’t know that.
The Porter article is recommended.
The GOP is chasing away voters with its warmongering.
Combine that with a Dukakis – Kerry candidate, and we could be looking at some serious carnage for the GOP (sub 40% presidential candidate).
Rationally, they should say narry a peep about Iran, Israel, or any other country that starts with I.
But they aren’t rational, thus dangerous.
Oh, that makes me feel better — with Iran and all.
I’d quibble with some points of the Guardian’s Simon Tisdall’s recent post, but, en toto I’d agree with him…
Iran: drumbeat of war has a familiar sound
Impetus towards war with Iran can only be explained in terms of a western desire for Iraq-style regime change
Maybe Barry can put a missile up I’m-a-dinner-jacket’s arse.
I think you are underestimating the destruction a war with Iran would wreak. If we go to war with Iran, it will be our last war, at least in the current configuration of our system.
Was it Einstein who said that World War 4 would be fought with rocks and sticks – meaning that nothing else would be left?
AIPAC war whores are twisting Obama’s arm. They want another war, bad.
That quote of Einstein’s about the “war” after WWIII … ought to be put up on billboards across the country, just so folks have something to ponder, Margaret.
DW
If you haven’t read it yet, you really must…! Noam Chomsky in an Al Jazeera op-ed…
The imperial way: US decline in perspective
Imperialism is still with us, but power has become more broadly distributed in a diversifying world…
…Let us turn finally to the third of the leading issues addressed in the establishment journals cited earlier, the “threat of Iran”. Among elites and the political class this is generally taken to be the primary threat to world order – though not among populations. In Europe, polls show that Israel is regarded as the leading threat to peace. In the MENA countries, that status is shared with the US, to the extent that, in Egypt, on the eve of the Tahrir Square uprising, 80 per cent felt that the region would be more secure if Iran had nuclear weapons. The same polls found that only ten per cent regard Iran as a threat – unlike the ruling dictators, who have their own concerns.
In the United States, before the massive propaganda campaigns of the past few years, a majority of the population agreed with most of the world that, as a signatory of the Non-Proliferation Treaty, Iran has a right to carry out uranium enrichment. And even today, a large majority favours peaceful means for dealing with Iran. There is even strong opposition to military engagement if Iran and Israel are at war. Only a quarter regard Iran as an important concern for the US altogether. But it is not unusual for there to be a gap, often a chasm, dividing public opinion and policy.
Why exactly is Iran regarded as such a colossal threat? The question is rarely discussed, but it is not hard to find a serious answer – though not, as usual, in the fevered pronouncements. The most authoritative answer is provided by the Pentagon and the intelligence services in their regular reports to Congress on global security. They report that Iran does not pose a military threat. Its military spending is very low, even by the standards of the region – minuscule, of course, in comparison with the US
Hmmm,
Looks like I owes ya a bit of liquid refreshment, Twain.
What will ye be havin’?
DW
No doubt, DW…! 8-(
Nobody’s getting to the right of Barry on this one.
A glass of good Merlot would be perfect, DW, thanks. How are you? Always so glad when you are here.
Don’t forget the drones:
“In this sense, think of us as moving from the citizen’s army to a roboticized, and finally robot, military — to a military that is a foreign legion in the most basic sense. In other words, we are moving toward an ever greater outsourcing of war to things that cannot protest, cannot vote with their feet (or wings), and for whom there is no “home front” or even a home at all. In a sense, we are, as we have been since 1973, heading for a form of war without anyone, citizen or otherwise, in the picture — except those on the ground, enemy and civilian alike, who will die as usual.
“Of course, it may never happen this way, in part because drones are anything but perfect or wonder weapons, and in part because corporate war fought by a thoroughly professional military turns out to be staggeringly expensive to the demobilized citizen, profligate in its waste, and — by the evidence of recent history — remarkably unsuccessful. It also couldn’t be more remote from the idea of a democracy or a republic.
“In a sense, the modern imperial age began hundreds of years ago with corporate war, when Dutch, British and other East India companies set sail, armed to the teeth, to subdue the world at a profit. Perhaps corporate war will also prove the end point for that age, the perfect formula for the last global empire on its way down.”
LINK.
The threat to US national security if US going to war over Iran wanting or getting nuclear weapons, not Iran’s nuclear weapons. There is nothing Iran could do with nuclear weapons that the al-Qaeda regime in Pakistan cannot do with nuclear weapons now.
US should have a plan for going in and destroying all Pakistan’s nuclear weapons, a regime that supports al-Qaeda, that employed Bin Laden for terrorist attacks, that sheltered Bin Laden for years after 911 attack. That would be justified.
NO! No more killing. Pakistan hasn’t done anything to us. Good grief – will we never learn.
x2
This was the most disturbing, to me, of that awesome TomDispatch post…
…who will be surprised to discover that, in 2011, the U.S. Air Force was already training more drone “pilots” than actual fighter and bomber pilots combined?
Coming to an airfield near you, once the FAA ‘approves’ ‘em…! 8-(
Would that be before or after Iran or during.
We needed to open pandora’s box to save American lives.
How did that work out after all ?
When the big swagger boys bring out the nuclear matchsticks, it’s game over forever.
Ah, Twain, a class of Merlot is on the way.
First class choice, BTW, which is typical of you and your sensibilities, always first class.
I be doing well.
How are you these fraught and increasingly strange days of American insanity and indifference?
I am most grateful that we have such a meeting place as this.
An oasis of sanity, sweet reason (mostly) and caring humanity, unashamedly enjoying each others company, wit, and wisdom.
(Gonna ask you to consider some thoughts about a diary concerning the things and people, the insights and the understandings you’ve encountered in life, for, as you know, I hold that the shared stories of those who meet here, will lay the foundational principles for a better world, your experience and perspective I feel, being most especially important. Now, this request is just between you and I, of course.)
;~DW
Before, after, during … picky, picky, picky.
I agree that Pakistan’s loose Nukes are the gravest concern, but, we need to ‘buy’ them, and/or secure them in some peaceful fashion, not ‘destroy’ them as you seem to be implying…!
Thanks for the wine and the thoughts. I’ll ponder that idea of yours. :)
Cabinetmaker? Nice.
*heh* No room for me, DW…? ;-)
Funny how Iran has been 2 years from the BOMB since 1984
So who will we bomb first? Iran or Syria?
haha… SO true…
Drones suffer from the the CB radio problem. Great in empty airspace. But difficult to manage in more trafficked airspace. I guess you could also call it the Jetson jet-car problem. Imagine Southern California traffic in 3-D.
Iran is asymptotic to the bomb. LOL
Yeah, I remember years ago stacked over Lake Michigan with 2 dozen other planes waiting for a runway at O’Hare airport.
Drinking heavily.
All the neo-cons are back in the news pushing the same old, same old, which really begs the question, did they ever really leave?
I don’t think so.
well what is the quote? maybe somebody don’t know… I don’t know, I appreciate you would put it up there, and for the benefit of others, who don’t know…. too, thanks.
Most Indubitably, jhill…! I’ve written about that very same Iranian timeline, once or twice before…! ;-)
Anyone notice that Panetta, Clapper, and the Chairman of the Joint Chief of Staff, Gen. Martin Dempsey have not exactly been giving the neo-cons, and their troika, McCain, Lieberman, and Graham, all they could hope for?
“On Feb. 21, former DIA Middle East analyst and retired colonel Pat Lang posted a call to action on his blog in defense of Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Martin Dempsey. ‘I anticipate a continuing attack on General Dempsey, the CJCS by AIPAC/Likud and their Zombie media clients,’ Lang wrote. ‘He will have a great deal of trouble defending himself in what is essentially a political arena. We do not have such a problem. To paraphrase Sheridan again, “If you love your country, come up to the front…”‘”
http://larouchepac.com/node/21730
That’s a blush :)
Whatever happened to all that unsecured nuclear stuff just laying around in places in the old Soviet Union that a-Q, et al., might grab and use to develop dirty bombs and such? Did they secure that stuff? How?
So, does anyone know how the Persian folks are taking all this? Some of them remember they didn’t like their election results last time, when Twitter still had its baby teeth.
I wouldn’t put it past the outside agitators to be trying to scare the Iranian populace enough so they’ll spring into regime change action. Any day now.
In one sense, it’s difficult to believe that the public can be fooled again into a “WMD war” with Iran, as we were bamboozled with Irag. Those of us who shook our heads, mouthing “bullshit” as Colin Powell spoke at the U.N., remembering Stevenson doing the real thing in 1961, may yet be joined by others as the justification for war ramps up.
The 99% has never approved any war the U.S. has been in. (WW II might be the exception, though even that is debatable.) The 1% has always manufactured falsified or skewed evidence to initiate wars and then used patriotism and suppressive wartime laws to ensure compliance. So in that sense, it’s not difficult to believe that the public can be fooled again.
What is for sure is that the corporate-government partnership WILL pursue war as a means for continued U.S. imperialism. Blatant lying and manipulation will be employed and politicians will contradict themselves in order to make it happen. Where one day they say countries should make their own decisions, the next day they will turn that upside-down if it serves their interests.
I don’t know the answer but it sure is frustrating. Perhaps forewarned is forearmed and perhaps the internet can be useful as an equalizer. But it will still require a concerted effort by people on the ground to stop the insanity.
And Col. Lang was dead right…! The clamor for Dempsey’s scalp from all the Neo/Ziocon think tanks, and, the MIC/Intel Apparatchik has been deafening of late…! 8-(
Funny story. I had a cabinetmaker who did all my (antique) restoration. One day, he said, “Buzz, I’m leaving the business. Going to Johns Hopkins to get a PhD in Econ.”
I said, “Can I talk you out of that?” LOL
They actually secured a whole lot of it, fatster, by ‘buying’ it and then entombing it in huge cement containers and shipping it back, surreptitiously here Stateside…! ;-)
This is not funny shit. The wingers want war. The sheeple nod. Barry never says no.
It’s pretty much over but the bombing. Everything is peaking.
As most have speculated, Dempsey — soon to retire — was the designated trial balloon.
Bibi says kill the messenger. So we shall.
Dempsey is significantly under-cutting their frantic bullshit. At some risk to himself, no doubt.
Netanyahu has said Dempsey serves the Iranians. Isn’t that code for he’s our enemy?
But of course, CTut, I have been advocating a collective, FDL compilation of life narratives, for a while, and been trying to get Twain “on-board” for several years …
Frankly, I’m curious about everyone’s life stories and hold that the wisdom therein contained would illuminate the very human desire, and frankly, desperate need for a better, more sane, and humane world …
This IS a case of the more the merrier, for certain.
;~DW
*heh* Netanyahoo didn’t just single out Dempsey, tho…! Clapper, Panetta, and Obama were clearly in his gunsights too…! ;-)
OK. Thanks. Was it Yucca Mountain bound and/or now in some “undisclosed location” along with “Dick” Dick?
I wouldn’t be surprised if no war was anticipated by our owners, at least not an Iraq-class invasion. They could well be once again just milking the threat of one for all they can in terms of profit and leverage.
On the other paw I also wouldn’t be surprised by a little “kinetic action” around the Iran periphery by the drone sitting in the Oval Office…
As far as I know it still ‘undisclosed’ per se, mostly, because Yucca Mtn. has been terminated and has never even seen a spent fuel rod…! ;-)
I’m extremely worried about a ‘false flag’ op by Mossad, especially with all those twitchy trigger fingers running amok…! 8-(
Obama has not made any noises that would get in the way of the neo-con plans, as far as I know, whereas, Panetta, Clapper, and Dempsey have actually contradicted their little narrative. Thair reluctance to participate in this little drama has not gone un-noticed.
In short, I have no doubt that Obama is a fully weaponized tool of the Empire. They like him to the tune of at least $1 billion, cause he gets the job done. He’ll get us into this if it’s up to him, but fortunately, there are sane adults in government who were not born to serve Obama, but as best they can, the interests of their nation.
You said it.
Dick Cheney had some helpful ideas about painting up boats in the Persian Gulf, so this goes well beyond just the imagination and know how of the Mossad.
Because we overwhelm in conventional and nuke capability, all opponents are deemed to be doing “asymmetric warfare”.
In the Pakistani case it is their support for the Taliban and supporting or looking the other way as the Taliban kill Americans in the area.
In the Iranian case its their support and actual control/funding of Hezbollah – we have never forgiven Iran for the killing of 300 marines in Lebanon – indeed that was part of Reagan’s reasons for supporting Iraq against Iran (it got worse when the 1987 Robert C. McFarlane cake and Bible with a handwritten verse from President Reagan for Iranian leaders visit did not get agreement to get Hez to release American hostages in return for 3 plane loads of weapons).
So which “asymmetric warfare” is more worrying to the US? Well, we seem to know that Pakistan will not allow the Taliban access to its nuke abilities, and we know that the Revolutionary Guard in Iran (not that it is controlled by anything other than the Supreme Leader Cleric) has discussed dirty bombs with Hez and is suspected of wanted a real bomb. It is complicated since we believe the actual Iranian military is full of responsible folks and would not push to do anything nasty.
Israel fears the influence of the Revolutionary Guard on the Supreme Leader (or is it the other way around) and Hez’s willingness to do anything to the Israeli civilian population.
Is the above enough for war? – well certainly not at this point – but folks are worried.
I think that the war fever is being used by the Iranian regime to make those dissatisfied with the 2009 election seem like traitors. There are legislative elections coming up, which should be interesting. There was a lot of Twitter and YouTube action in 2009. Should be more around the legislative elections (although little in English). If the legislative elections are operated fairly (Iran is capable of fair elections), that will take a lot of the energy out of the opposition movement and put the conflict in the Majlis.
Because of the upcoming elections, I don’t think that the US and Iran will go beyond chest-beating over IAEA procedural matters.
The GOP and neo-cons can yammer all they want to. The public is not likely to be stampeded into a war in an election year; it’s too easy to discount it as partisan politics–which in this case it is.
I don’t worry about Pakistan or Iran but Israel scares the heck out of me. I also fear the crazy actions of my own country.
“The 99% has never approved any war the U.S. has been in.”
Not actually true, although the 99% does take a bit of a push to go all in. The first expansionist war was the Spanish American, ostensibly to “free
Cuba from the Spanish yoke”. The result was U.S. hegemony in the Philippines, the Hawaiian Islands, and Puerto Rico. Hearst papers were a significant force in the drumbeat for war with the final catalyst being the (now known to be accidental) sinking of the Maine in Havana harbor. The sinking of the Lusitania and of course, the bombing of Pearl Harbor pushed the population over the edge for WWI and WWII. Anyway, the Spanish American war led directly to an 18 year battle against a Muslim insurgency in the PI. After numerous atrocities on both sides, and a policy that can only be described as “ethnic cleansing”, the U.S. was ostensibly the winner. In truth, that war is still going on, between the Catholic Filipinos and the Muslim rebels that still hold sway in the southern islands (labeled as “terrorists” by the U.S.). An excellent book for anyone interested in Phillipine history, with an emphasis on the U.S. role and the Muslim insurgency, is THE SWISH OF THE KRIS, The Story of the Moros, by Vic Hurley. I think it is out in a new printing and available on Amazon.
I increasingly think facts don’t matter. The narrative about what is happening will control the outcome. We have actors on both sides of it and they are not bashful. Let’s hope sanity prevails.
Totally transparent…
Obama The Fake and the Oilygarchs are setting us up. Whenever the Oilygarchs want Iran taken down to get their oil it will happen.
Obama/Romney will see that it happens. Both are scoundrels and both work for the same masters.
Only a neocon idiot would think that the U.S. could walk in and “take” Iran’s oil by military force. And while there are still all too many of those around even after the Iraq debacle… they aren’t the ones who are calling the shots.
The powers that be already have access to Iran’s oil, and damn cheap to boot.
Too cheap as a matter of fact. That’s why they’re jacking up the price with the war talk, along with sundry other gambits they’re up to.
TimWhite is the only one who has mentioned Syria. Check your maps. “Regime change” in Syria is needed to provide a direct “friendly skies” route from Israel to Iran. Fomenting revolution has been a covert tactic of the US for a long time – from Venezuela to Libya. The preparations for the war with Iran are still in progress. The war is not waiting for sanctions to work it is waiting for Syria to fall.
Dorothy, it’s really not that hard to see the see the man behind the curtain.
In response to empirical guy
Now I understand the push for “regime change” in Syria. But what is the role of the Russsians? Are we really willing to gamble that the Russians and Chinese will do nothing.