Paul Ryan’s budget was released this morning. He kicked it off with another pretentious video preview and a somewhat less pretentious and more standard op-ed in the Wall Street Journal. Ryan’s budget resolution is similar to last year’s version, which passed the House and went nowhere in the Senate.
The charges are similar, too. He claims that Democratic-led Senate hasn’t passed a budget in three years, though the Budget Control Act sets out spending targets for the next ten and, in the mind of Senate Democrats, obviates the need for an annual resolution. He produces a chart that creates a “current path” for the budget and deficits by merely drawing a sharply rising line with no basis in actual numbers. And he asserts that the GOP budget “strengthens the safety net by returning power to the states, which are in the best position to tailor assistance to their specific populations.”
This means block grants for Medicaid, which just caps funding for a program that’s growing along with health care costs. “Returning power to the states” means that they have to fend for themselves on any additional funding for the program. It’s a massive cut-off of state funds to the most vulnerable population in the country.
But the three big aspects of the GOP budget are this: First, Ryan ends the Medicare guarantee by instituting his “premium support” plan with Ron Wyden. This will fragment the large population in traditional Medicare today and raise costs significantly throughout the system. It also shifts those costs onto seniors by providing inufficient vouchers for adequate health coverage,while expecting the beneficiaries to make up the difference.
It also doesn’t save the government any money, as the GDP +1 growth rate of Medicare, which is how fast the vouchers will increase under Ryan’s plan, is also the target rate under the Affordable Care Act to which the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB) will seek to hold costs. House Republicans will try to repeal the IPAB this week.
Second, the Ryan budget drives non-defense discretionary spending well under the cap set by the Budget Control Act in the debt limit deal, about $20 billion to $1.028 trillion, the same amount it was for FY2013 in his budget last year. It also cancels out the first year of the trigger on defense cuts with more non-defense discretionary cuts, this time with cuts to the federal workforce. Senior Senate Democrats Dan Inouye (chair of Appropriations) and Kent Conrad (chair of the Budget Committee) made their position known on this yesterday in a letter to John Boehner and Eric Cantor.
“We believe that ignoring the BCA represents a breach of faith that will make it more difficult to negotiate future agreements,” they wrote in the letter addressed to House Speaker John A. Boehner and House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.).
“Rather than trying to tear down the BCA, we should be holding it up as an example of what can be accomplished if we are willing to set aside our differences and work hard to find bipartisan solutions to our nation’s challenges,” they continue.
Boehner responded by whining that Democrats should write a budget instead of a letter. Democrats say the Budget Control Act is their budget resolution. And on and on.
Finally, the big surprise in the new Ryan budget is the introduction of a compressed tax code with only two tax brackets, at 10% and 25%.
The proposal would replace the current tax structure’s six brackets with just two tax levels, a 10-percent marginal tax rate for lower income earners and 25-percent for upper income earners.
That would be a reduction from a top marginal rate of 35 percent under the current structure. The plan would also lower the top corporate income tax rate to 25 percent and virtually eliminate taxes on corporate profits brought back from overseas. And it would do away with the Alternative Minimum Tax, which was designed to hit the wealthiest taxpayers but increasingly also affects upper-middle-income earners.
The only way to do all this – while keeping the military relatively whole – and somehow move the budget on a path to balance is to virtually eliminate all spending on the safety net. When we see the numbers, we will realize that much of the budget is smoke and mirrors, where “dynamic scoring” assumes economic growth will increase tax revenue when you cut it to almost nothing. But understand one thing – the GOP House voted for a balanced budget amendment last year. This budget from Ryan doesn’t meet that test. In fact, you can say of it exactly what was said of President Obama’s budget by the CBO – it lards on trillions of dollars of debt over the 10-year budget window.
Democrats aren’t planning on helping Republicans pass their budget, and they may need the help. For all the radicalism of the Ryan budget, hardline conservatives will probably vote against it, because it doesn’t cut spending deep enough. The Medicare piece served Democrats well last year in the spin war, and they plan to use that to full effect again.
But I’m glad that Ryan released this budget. Unlike some Republicans of prior years (and some Democrats, to be honest), he has not hidden the true face of his policies. We know exactly where Republicans want to take the country.




28 Comments

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The joke that is the USA corporate news media will treat Ryan like he is intelligent, ignoring the obvious that he is a moron.
Intelligent USA citizens must now consider the idea of creating TWO Americas, one where Intelligent citizens can live, and the other one for the MORONS
I am willing to let ALABAMA, TEXAS, MISSISSIPPI, GEORGIA, SOUTH CAROLINA, all become waste lands for people who follow RYAN, PALIN, and other MORONS.
Palin should divorce Todd, and marry this bigger fool call Ryan.
After the movie Game Change, one would think the USA corporate media would ignore these MORONS!
As to the budget, you could apply 100% of the revenues taken in in FY2012 (just under $2.5 trillion) to purely debt repayment, and just wiping out the publicly-held portion would take over 5 years. At 100%…which of course will never happen.
At this point, all we can hope for is some kind of trajectory, and even with the Ryan budget in place the publicly-held portion of the debt wouldn’t be zeroed out for another 35 years. Wait what?
If there is some magic bullet to make things easier, I’d like to hear it, otherwise this is all just a matter of deciding which tune to play while the Titanic sinks.
Rafe? maybe President Bush AKA MORON in the White House should have not cut taxes and started 2 wars!
Rafe yes WAR is not FREE!
Rafe, the USA has a large class of MORONS, who seem to think sending Jobs off shore makes the USA stronger
The current group of Dems and Republicans are a disgrace to the FOUNDERS of the USA.
Bush = Obama = Romney = MORONS
the USA needs another FDR!
FDR gave a damn about the USA! FDR loved the USA!
Rafe would you be open to starting a colony of MORONS in ALABAMA?
As Mitch Daniels said in his State of the Union response. “We are coming after Medicare and Social Security.
I think pressure should be strong and persistent on Obama to pledge resisting any cuts or radical changes in funding of Medicare and Social Security.
Uhhh…no…I’m not open to the whole colony thing you have going; for some reason the words “Arbeit Macht Frei” keep popping into my head when you mention it and my skin starts crawling.
Prediction: if Obama is re-elected, he’ll push Social Security and Medicare “reform” that splits the difference between the status quo and the Republicans’ “blow up the New Deal and Great Society” proposal. Obama still thinks he can do business with the pack of rabid jackals headed by the likes of Paul Ryan.
And (apparently) completely insane.
Obama is highly compensated to “think” that way. It’s a feature, not a bug.
By my estimate after another two election cycles the GOP will have moved the Overton Window far enough to accommodate the idea of a Final Solution for poor people.
From Paul Ryan’s Wikipedia entry: “Ryan graduated from Miami University in Ohio and reportedly worked as a marketing consultant to Ryan Incorporated Central, which is run by a branch of his family.”
Moral of the story: it pays to choose the right relatives.
That is my fear. I would hope if the progressives and liberals can mount a strong demand for a pledge to preserve them intact, with hopefully some threat of losing our vote or money, what he may do could be minimized, I know. faint hope.
Ryan would be cute if he wasn’t a Republican tool to usher in a Neo-Victorian Monarchy.
That’s some heavy street cred. I’m surprised he was assistant night manager at the bowling alley, too.
I don’t see Paul Ryan coming back to Congress in 2013. Not a good time to be a Republican in Wisconsin especially after 2 crazy budget proposals.
Obama doesn’t care about US.
Agreed. I’d just LOVE to see HIM out of a job. Despicable bastard.
Personally I’m looking forward to the next debt ceiling crisis just before the election. Let’s see what the country can do living on it’s income for a change.
Talking Stick–I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but if you Google the following WaPo Article and video: Obama Pledges Entitlement Reform, it becomes clear that President Obama is the One Percenter’s “ticket” to destroying the social safety net.
Couldn’t agree more. But we can be loud and try.
This is a honest budget from the GOP point of view, it slowly brings the budget into balance (35 years) while cutting tax Rates, not tax Revenue. What we need now is a honest budget from the Dems in the Senate or from President Obama that brings the budget into balance.
Then the congress can hammer out a middle path to a balanced budget.
We have to stop growing the debt!
The interest we pay on that debt is going to bankrupt this country!
We all know that Obamacare is already going to cut medicare by 500 billion over 10 years, and that only the oldest and sickest people will be left on medicare, so it’s actual cost will rise out of control, causing a big problem in the near future.
We need a single payer system that allows for flexiblity in healthcare plans!
Magic bullet = let the Bush tax cuts go away.
tammanytiger–
I agree, except that I don’t believe that he’s necessarily interested in splitting the difference. It’s already been leaked that Dems on the Super Committee supported the most devastating cut to social security–Progressive Price Indexing, or “Means Testing,” or as Alan Simpson prefers to call it, “Affluence Testing.”
It will be particularly outrageous if the Washington Elite get away with “framing progressive price indexing” as affluence testing considering the fact that the Bowles-Simpson report actually establishes “bend points” which will cut the monthly benefits of seniors who are bringing in “just over” the poverty line. My question is: When did $10,000 annual income qualify someone as “affluent.”
Read the Bowles-Simpson Chairmen’s Mark (PDF) and weep.
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/03/how-obama-tried-to-sell-out-liberalism-in-2011.html
I consider this a must-read (even though it is months and months behind, it’s finally in the mainstream media). It shows what a weak willy Obama is and what he’s really for (the 1%).
We should not even attempt to stop growing the debt until the current economic crisis is resolved. It’s insane to think otherwise – and proves out in history.
I just finished the article, and sent it to several friends. Some months ago I decided that I would vote for a third party in November, and this article adds to the reasons to do so.
Excellent article–thanks for the post.
I’ve researched Rocky Anderson and so far I like him. I plan to vote for him.
What in LBJ’s memory is Ron Wyden thinking?
Seriously? What is up with him?