This is a critical week for US-Iran policy. Talks begin in Geneva on Iran’s nuclear program, and the US laid out some preconditions that appeared similar to what President Bush would do as a precursor to negotiations. The preconditions essentially equal the entire negotiations themselves: if Iran stops all uranium enrichment and closes their nuclear facility buried into the mountain near Qom, then talks can progress. The Iranian Foreign Minister, Ali Akbar Salehi, did not agree to the preconditions today. However, Iran did float a counter-offer for the negotiations:
Iran’s nuclear chief signaled Tehran’s envoys may bring a compromise offer to the talks this week with world powers: promising to eventually stop producing its most highly enriched uranium, while not totally abandoning its ability to make nuclear fuel [...]
But the proposal described by Iran’s nuclear chief, Fereidoun Abbasi, may not go far enough to satisfy the West because it would leave the higher enriched uranium still in Tehran’s hands rather than transferred outside the country.
Abbasi said Tehran could stop its production of 20 percent enriched uranium needed for a research reactor, and continue enriching uranium to lower levels for power generation.
This could take place once Iran has stockpiled enough of the 20 percent enriched uranium, Abbasi told state TV. The 20 percent enriched material can be used for medical research and treatments.
This is actually a small step backwards. Iran had agreed to a uranium enrichment fuel swap in a deal brokered by Turkey and Brazil in 2009. But even though it mirrored the fuel swap alternative that Western leaders first offered, they rejected it. And now the first offers have diverged even more: Iran wants to keep control over its enriched uranium, while the US and the West want an end to production entirely and a shuttering of facilities.
Amidst this backdrop, the US has sent a second aircraft carrier to the Persian Gulf:
The U.S. Navy said Monday it has deployed a second aircraft carrier to the Persian Gulf region amid rising tensions with Iran over its disputed nuclear program.
The deployment of the nuclear-powered USS Enterprise along with the Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group marks one of the few times the Navy has had two aircraft carriers operating in waters near the Persian Gulf, said Cmdr. Amy Derrick-Frost of the Bahrain-based 5th Fleet.
The two carriers will support the American military operations in Afghanistan and anti-piracy efforts off Somalia’s coast and in the Gulf of Aden, she said.
I think she’s omitting something. Obviously the deployment of the second aircraft carrier signals some kind of gunboat diplomacy to go along with the new round of talks.
The war fever over Iran has simmered over the last month, but I could easily see it renewing again, given the set pieces in place for the next week.




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These talks are designed to fail because the real issue has nothing to do with nuclear, it is Middle East hegemony. Iran has it and the US & Israel want it.
Iran will never cease its legal, treaty-compliant, fully-surveilled peaceful nuclear program. Iran will not close down its new uranium enrichment facility which is below 90 meters of solid rock and thus impervious to US/Israeli aerial attacks. It will not give up its small quantity of medically-needed HEU, but apparently will limit the quantity. This is all under full IAEA surveillance.
The Arabs who actually live in the Middle East mostly fear the U.S. and Israel, which have nukes, and not Iran, which doesn’t. In the most recent recent (2011) and most comprehensive public opinion survey to date, which covered 12 Arab/Muslim countries and 16,731 face-to-face interviews, and which was conducted by the Arab Center for Research and Policy Studies (ACRPS), found that “by a 15-1 ratio, Israel and the US are seen as more threatening than Iran.”
There are not two US aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf region, there are three. The Lincoln and the Vinson carrier groups have been there for several months and apparently the Enterprise, which departed Norfolk on March 11, has now joined them.
These carrier groups are floating examples of the US policy of attempting to dominate the Middle East. Unfortunately one or more of them might not be floating if war breaks out, which it could easily do under the circumstances. One carrier alone carries over 5,000 people (the older Enterprise fewer).
These talks are designed to fail because the real issue has nothing to do with nuclear, it is Middle East hegemony. Iran has it and the US & Israel want it.
Sure looks right to me.
Another opportunity for Pres. Obama to be a significant diplomat, to do important things, to be a man of peace, being thrown in the trash heap.
Nicely put don, as usual.
I don’t hink anybody wants a war here. UNfortunately, and historically, that has traditionally not necessarily been an effective deterrent.
I sit here reading these great comments and can’t get this vision out of my head
http://youtu.be/L2Yr9jEf_8E
Then I laugh. Wringing hands is a waste of time
We hate when we could love, steal when we could give, kill when we could let live.
It is a great day in a great time and you and I can shine.
As mentioned these talks are meaningless. The Iranians have just as much right to nukes as Israel, the US or anyone else, as detestable as these weapons are.
This is really about having control and access to Iran by the US and Israel. With Iran having nukes this ups the complications in doing so.
Iran is not an aggressor country and everyone knows (including Iranians) that if they ever launch a nuke, the country of Iran will cease to exist.
There is no evidence that Iran has violated the NNPT to which it is a signatory. The bellicosity exhibited by the US and the other members of NATO, at the behest of Israel and Saudi Arabia, is unjustified to the point of absurdity. Now that the new head of the IAEA is a hand-picked tool of the US and the West, this will not end well.
Link.
It’s been shown that US/Israeli aerial attacks aren’t required so long as Iranian scientists continue to be disappeared.
Agreed. Moving a new carrier group into the region is counterproductive with the possibility of unintended consequences. Especially in such a crowded waterway.
As for Iran getting a nuke, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if they were feverishly trying to make one. That would be very bad for the region but the fear mongering about Iran transfering their weapon to some terrorist group is crap. They want one because they’re terrified that we will attack them if they don’t and we, of course, say we will attack them if they get close to getting one. ???????? Insanity
Madmen with nuclear matchsticks.
The United States: the only nation on the planet that has used nuclear weapons on civilian populations. Whom should the people of this planet fear?
http://www.stratfor.com/sites/default/files/main/images/Naval_Update_04-04-12.png
Don Bacon gets it pretty much right. This is not about nuclear weapons per se, but an attempt to *prove” that right makes right, and to get better privilege to oil in the ME. What makes it worse is that Wikileaks has exposed the extent to which the IAEA*s Amano is essentially a US lap dog, spending so such time trying to spin old data the way the US wishes that they have had no time to update their Fukushima site since June 2, 2011
As Yousaf Butt has recently written , Stop the Madness
If Iran’s medical needs are worth a 2 carrier response then North Korea’s test should garner at least a B-52 flyover:
The launch plans have been met with alarm in South Korea and the West. U.S. State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said last month it “would pose a threat to regional security.”
North Korea is expected to press forward despite the pressure.
“While the North is surely affected by the food aid being cut off, they will push on with their plans for the rocket launch,” said Yang Moo-jin, a professor at University of North Korean Studies in Seoul. “We can put on pressure to them by imposing sanctions, but they will use the missile and nuclear to pressure the U.S. back.” http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/world_now/2012/04/north-korea-gearing-up-for-nuclear-test-south-korean-report-says.html
But then again if that arrogant Trayvon Martin, I mean Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, wants to prowl around our best friends gated neighborhood wearing his hoodie, I mean taqiyah, flashing his gangsta grill, I mean scruffy beard, then we – US – must assume the worst and must pull a George Zimmerman COP arrest on his ass. If there’s any resistance or push back then Stand-Your-Ground bitches! Get them before they send nuclear tipped missiles to the heartland. Go all out BushDoctrine cruise, drone, bunker-buster on their punkasses. The cops, NATO, won’t mind, they’ll assume he’s carrying coke, I mean WMD’s, and give a free pass after the fake arrest, I mean tut-tutting. And it’ll all be forgotten if Brad and Angie adopt again.
This is the USS Enterprises last deployment. Then it is decommissioned and they have to go through all the extremely expensive processes of dealing with its nuclear reactors.
Or if it was just sunk off the coast of Iran in some extremely dramatic made for TV event they would have their war and save themselves the cost of having to decommission the carrier.
Just saying…
At least this will turn out to be the last atomic war before the sticks and stones wars.
The Navy never has more than one carrier in what the Navy calls the “Arabian Gulf” and sometimes has none, staying out in the open Arabian Sea.
It is a crowded waterway as shown on this map and from space.
If you want to track Navy CV’s go here (it needs updating). There are eleven carriers but most of them are usually in port for crew relief or maintenance.
As noted the Enterprise will be retired soon, replaced by the Ford. Navy Secretary Ray Mabus confirmed recently that the cost overrun for the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford is projected to reach $1 billion, bringing the ship’s total cost to some $12 billion — but said it’s on track to be delivered on schedule.
Of course carriers are obsolete except for beating up on defenseless countries (Iran is NOT one).
Dude, you must work for the CBO. That WOULD be the “economical” thing to do.
Just sayin’ .
BUt, OTOH, wouldn’t lots of cities like to have the CVN-65 on display as a tourist attraction????
don, if I had a carrier named the “USS Gerald Ford”. I’d want a backup available just in case it ran aground somewhere or bumped into something, like a destroyer or a Italian cruise ship.
It beats “Edsel Ford” but not by much. And then there’s Carl Vinson. Who?
Gotta admit the Navy has a sense of humor, though. They recently named a ship the USS Cesar Chavez, who had recounted that his time in the Navy was “the worst two years of my life.”
Are you still hiking? Or do I have the wrong carguy.
Anyhow, I just adopted 5 miles of the PCT — been working on it. The first through-hikers are coming through, even before the official kick-off. What a brave bunch. 2600+ miles, Mexico to Canada through the Sierras.