In an unexpected development, Benjamin Netanyahu has canceled early elections in Israel, instead forming a unity government with Kadima, the center-right rival recently taken over by Shaul Mofaz. The elections, which would have taken place in September, will now get delayed a year.
Under the agreement, Kadima will join Netanyahu’s government and commit to supporting its policies through the end of its term in late 2013. Mofaz is expected to be appointed deputy prime minister, as well as minister without portfolio.
Mofaz will also serve as a member of the security cabinet, and Kadima members will serve as chairmen of the Knesset foreign affairs and defense committees, the economics committee, and any others that are agreed upon by both sides.
In a way, this represents Kadima getting absorbed back into the Likud Party. Kadima is a relatively new invention of Ariel Sharon’s, and really only had one election as the main opposition. They were not expected to do well in the September elections, falling out of the second position and possibly as low as fourth or fifth. This gets Mofaz a measure of power, and they delay that reckoning for a year. This comes just months after Mofaz said publicly, “The current government represents all that is wrong with Israel.”
In addition to the agreement, the deal will bring changes to the electoral process. And Mofaz’ role in the cabinet will include being “in charge of the process with the Palestinians.”
Netanyahu’s current coalition was formed with the scraps of far-right parties, so the new government will have a much larger membership, and perhaps those far-right parties will have less of a voice. Certainly Netanyahu will be less dependent on them for his majority. Dahlia Scheindlein argues that this is a good thing to eventually rid the country of the government:
The main towering advantage of postponing the elections until late 2013 is that it ensures only another year and a half of one of the worst governments Israel has ever had – a government that drove hundreds of thousands to the streets in economic desperation, pushed the Israeli-Palestinian conflict past the point of no return, and explicitly set out to mutilate Israel’s democratic process and what remained of its democratic character. If elections were held in four months, all polls bar none showed a resounding Likud victory, the same majority for the right-wing bloc, and ergo – probably a very similar government for another four years. Whatever terrible damage a super-sized coalition majority can do – it’s better to have this for 18 months, than for up to four more years.
Scheindlein adds that Labor has a chance now to be a real opposition without Kadima in the way, and that last year’s social protests have a chance to flourish without being overshadowed by the elections.
The other part of this that has people wondering is Iran policy. Some have suggested that a large unity coalition ensures that no one party gets the blame in the event of an attack. But Mofaz has publicly shown caution about an Iran military strike, and the pull from the far right on Netanyahu is less severe in a unity government. But if Netanyahu wanted to strike Iran before, he had the ability to do so, and he still does today. Fortunately this has been postponed thus far, and the tension has subsided somewhat. One hopes that will last.




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I’m sure that this represents a real breakthrough in I/P relations. There will now be a settlement somewhere that didn’t exist before.
Interesting move. I don’t see how it makes sense to Netanyahu or the Likud party to do this. The Kadima were not a threat in the elections, so there is no real reason to neutralize them. The Likud had a clear advantage if elections were moved up, so no reason to give up that victory.
I’m confused.
Whatever happened to Sharon? Is he still a vegetable or did he die.
My speculation:
Bibi expects things to worsen between now and October (Iran?). This will enable him to delay any election beyond that period as this new government restarts the clock. Kadma is to Likud like the Tea Party is to the GOP. Kinda like an offshoot, kinda separate. Bibi has borught them back into the Likud. The GOPers would really love to do that with the Tea Party, but the tea party is still too crazy.
So it buys him time (and I’ll bet that’s what he really wants) and the return of the wayward son.
It may reduce the influence for the FAR right on the current Government, so that’s good.
Boxturtle (It might also reduce the odds of a strike on Iran)
From Wiki:
In October 2011, Sharon’s son Gilad said that he was responsive, though still incapable of significant movement. “When he is awake, he looks at me and moves fingers when I ask him to.” “He lies in bed, looking like the lord of the manor, sleeping tranquilly. Large, strong, self assured. His cheeks are a healthy shade of red. When he’s awake, he looks out with a penetrating stare. He hasn’t lost a single pound; on the contrary, he’s gained some
Boxturtle (Sometimes man judges, sometimes God judges)
I actually remember reading the Gilad rendition (the other kind of rendition) at the time and I certainly could have googled it. :-) It’s just that I couldn’t resist writing the comment in a particular way.
Makes sense, sorta.
Anything that lessens the chances of an Israeli strike on Iran is good for everybody. Of course, if Iranian nucleur scientists keep having trouble with their cars ignitions, had no idea they had so many Ford Explorers over there, maybe all will be OK. Up ’til December 21 at least. After that, let’s hope the Mayans were just pulling our chain.
I only went to Wiki because your question made me curious. I hadn’t heard anything, but then the local newspaper tends more toward PopTarts than hard news.
Boxturtle (Not that I have a problem with girls in hot clothing)
Also Sharon could have died since 10/11. It would probably have made the news in the U.S. but there would be no certainty that I’d have seen it since I try to avoid the news.
Israeli politics has devolved into farse.
It seems to be designed much like a game of musical chairs, with all the same players taking turns at different positions in government.
If they don’t like the way an election is shaping up—cancel the election.
If things look bad for some coalition, have a vote of no confidence.
The chaos is built into the system. It’s a feature, not a bug.
Netanyahu’s very ancient (and famous) father very recently passed away. I think that’s significant.
Israel’s claim to being “the only democracy in the middle east” is true for Jewish-Israelis and a cruel joke for the 25% of Israeli citizens who are who are Palestinian-Israeli, Druze-Israeli, Bedouin-Israeli and all Palestinians living under the yoke of military and settler occupation in the West Bank and Gaza. The only good news is the decline of Palestinian armed struggle (which although morally and legally legitimate) that is doomed to fail is being matched by a growing social movement against the apartheid Wall in the West Bank and a vibrant Boycott, Divest, Sanction (BDS) movement. BDS is the only way out of the impasse of Israeli apartheid. For a single, secular, democratic, multiethnic state in all of historical British Mandate Palestine. This is the real meaning of “from the river to the sea…..”
As long as the crypto fascist Likud holds power there is no chance for peace.Israel is a great example of the old saying that elections have consequences.David Ben-Gurion must be turning over in his grave.