The Bureau of Labor Statistics brings bad news for the Obama Administration, as the spring slowdown we’ve seen for the last two years appears to be the same mode for 2012 as well. The economy added only 69,000 jobs in May, and worse, the totals for March and April were revised downward a total of 49,000. So on net, that’s just +20,000 jobs, which is barely positive and not nearly enough to keep up with population. The topline unemployment rate, which briefly was at 8.1% in April, ticked back up to 8.2%. And with April’s revised number coming in at 77,000, this marks two straight months with a job gain of less than 100,000. These are bad numbers.
One of the only positives in the report is that the employment-population ratio and the labor force participation rate both came back a bit. The EPOP now stands at 58.6%, and the LFPR at 63.8%. As that labor force participation rate rises, it will require more jobs to lower the unemployment rate, as you’re basically increasing the denominator. There are about 700,000 more people in the civilian labor force this month as compared to last month.
Long-term unemployment (over 27 weeks) took a big jump up in May to 5.4 million. That’s roughly 42.8% of the unemployed. This is particularly acute, because many long-term jobless are losing unemployment benefits at between 59 and 79 weeks, depending on the state, as per the last extension agreement from the payroll tax cut deal.
The private employment statistics were slightly better, with a gain of +82,000. But that means the public sector has come back to drag down job growth, after a few months of reports where the public sector was fairly neutral. State, local and federal jobs accounted for -13,000.
Health care employment accounted for almost half of the job gains, at +33,000, and “transportation and warehousing” added most of the other half at +36,000. Construction fell big, by 28,000, a bad sign for those anticipating a bounce-back for housing. Manufacturing was up 12,000.
The average work week also fell 0.1 hours, while hourly earnings increased slightly, by 2 cents.
These numbers, if replicated, would cause continued increases in the topline unemployment rate, about the last thing the Obama campaign wants to see. But they are a reminder that, while maybe we don’t have a European crisis on our hands, the economy is still not in good shape. It can barely be said to be in recovery. And we have the ability to borrow money at what amount to negative real long-term interest rates. The sane move would be to do so, and get our economy working again. But sanity is on short supply in Washington.
UPDATE: Let me echo Atrios’ intemperate remarks. This jobs report, and the last three years, represents a total failure by economic policymakers, up to and especially including the Federal Reserve, which has a flawless track record for failure on its key missions, price stability and maximum employment, for years now. They should do something about it, but their ideology tells them no.




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WOW! Hoover ideas don’t work who knew?
Obama the GOP Trojan Horse economic policies are a disaster.
Yes! Paul Krugman and other intelligent progressive economist were right!
People in the White House have seen a Fat Lady or a Fat Man walking around the White House, it is only a matter of time before both start singing.
In other GOP TROJAN HORSE news the GOP Trojan Horse name Clinton thinks Mitt Romney work at Bain was GREAT! the Clinton GOP Trojan Horse gave us NAFTA
We can hope that real Dems rid the Democratic party of this Clinton and Obama cancer ASAP!
Hi David,
The top line 8.2% number is manipulated. remember it came down from around 9% by BLS saying a whole bunch of people no longer active in the job market. Please do not go all MSM on us and forget this. This info needs to stay front and center. As for this report, how convenient it now gives Benny the excuse to do more QE. Yes not good for O but without QE it would be even worse for O, so I guess he agreed to take some short term pain and allow some really shitty numbers to be reported. Fear not by late summer all will be smiling again
The good (?) news is that Republicans only care about the deficit when Democrats are in charge. Massive tax cuts for the rich is not very effective as stimulus goes, but it’s still stimulus.
Always look on the bri-ight si-i-i-de of life …
Wow! You mean we can’t hold up a dying economy forever just by pumping enormous amounts of fake money into it? Quel surprise!!!!! Now I’m wondering if some of the things I’ve heard about Santa Claus might be equally dubious.
How about you can’t hold up a dying economy when half your stimulus is in the form of tax cuts and kick backs to the MOTU who don’t need any more money. They have no reason to build in the US unless we want to work for the same wages in China or India. Ross Perot was right and until we address that, we are screwed. Unfortunately, politicians are so beholden to corporate interests, that will never happen.
I wish Obama was 1/3rd as progressive as the right made him out to be. He is a loser, plain and simple. It is a shame we have now had 12 years of Bush policies and will have 4 more courtesy of Romney.
I am not supporting Obama.
I would like to report that the entire political class is doing a very poor job.
And, if they don’t tank the economy immediately, declare a bank holiday and provide trillions of dollars to banksters for bonuses, declare war on Iran, do away with Social Security as well as the rest of the Social Contract, and shred the Constitution into teeny pieces of confetti … then they should be sent to bed without their supper and lose their allowances, perks, privileges and bribes.
The very idea that new jobs are being created is proof of their mendacity and inattention to what matters … President Obama and his entire administration, and all of Congress had better get their noses where they belong.
Make the rich richer or … get out!!!
(Sweet snark in the morning … it harmonizes so well with the whining of the elite.)
On a rational note: Is anyone surprised, bowled-over, or dumbfounded?
Vote for the dolts, they’ll do better next time … just you wait and see.
Oh dear, it appears that I’ve been out-snarked, jediimsnbcko 19 has made mention of “the real Dems ridding the Democratic Party of this Clinton and Obama cancer ASAP!”
Let’s see, in ALL seriousness, who can name ONE “real Dem”?
Two would be better … roll ‘em, if ya got ‘em.
And three? Our run cupeth over.
Names?
As a test, let’s see whose name pops up.
Anyone willing to take up this wee challenge?
Just one?
Anyhow, thank you, DDay, for the written record … otherwise it will all be forgotten in five, four, three, two, one!!!!
Yippee! We one!!!
DW
Morning, rat. Always good to see your fonts. We’re both right, of course, as to both the economics and our voting intentions. ;-)
Morning, DW. You can’t have two real Dems—they might breed!!! I’m just sayin’ . . . ;-)
Zero short term interest rates for more than 3 years. Record low long term interest rates. $ trillions printed by Fed. $5 trillion added to debt in 4 years. Banksters bailed out.
A sane person would look at this and question the policies. But the assholes in DC will just do more of the same.
Good morning, rc.
I’m very dejected, no one will play “Name a Real Dem”.
How are you doing, of late, you young pup?
;~DW
Well done DD for seeing the comical revision noise they keep firing month/week after week/month! The problem they boxed themselves into, was trying to use birth death data, and trumpeting how good things were getting, which causes people to actually go out and try to find a job again, or think seriously about getting a “more desired” job. Unfortunately lies are quickly catching up to reality, and once again neither candidate has any willingness to actually talk about this, and try to plan a recovery, or true recession to start over.
Oh, they are not all quick on the draw, rc.
Perhaps the Dems are like the Shakers?
They just don’t build anything … however, they do have a shaky table, they go on about, more than a little.
;~DW
John Edwards (sigh)
Name A Real Dem?
FDR he has passED away
JFK he has passED away
LBJ he has passED away
Ted Kennedy he has passED away
like good music! all the real Dems have pass away
what we now have are court jesters that entertain the top 1% and call themselves GOPers and DEMs (YES obama = Mitt)
where is Luke Skywalker? we are all waiting for “RETURN OF THE LIBERAL”
At least we can say FDR gave the USA another 50 plus years,
clearly if there was no FDR the USA would have been dead a long, long, time ago
You realize, of course, that you now must explain why you think that John Edwards is a good dem, realizing that he is. likely, effectively “finished” …?
Frankly, I consider that we must dig deeper than “two Americas …”, but I thank you for playing the first hand.
DW
The Dems ARE Shakers, DW–they shake in their boots at the thought of displeasing their corporate masters. Me, I’m frustrated with the slow pace of my recovery (no surprise there, I’m impatient that way lol), but I am recovering nonetheless. Thanks for asking, amigo. Today, I’m feeling more pain from predicting two Fridays ago that the recent rally would end at 1335-1337 on the S&P futures, and not jumping on them when they in fact peaked at 1334.30 in the overnight market Tuesday-Wednesday this week. I’m reminded of the old joke about the wife who remarked that making love with her husband was almost like Paradise, “just inches away” lol. ;-)
Ah, jedi, what do you imagine that those whom you mention would have to say were they alive today?
Neither of the “legacy parties” has a thing to offer to life or toward the future of a decent, civil society.
That offers the rest of us an incredible opportunity, if we’ve the wit, the wisdom, and the courage to recognize it for what it is. However, “conditioning” appears to have befuddled the minds and timidity unnerved the hearts of too many … such that few dare even consider worthwhile and necessary alternatives.
DW
Ah, someday, my friend we must speak of intuition.
You must trust yours more, for you are meticulous in your research AND understanding.
You have more of a gift than you realize, and more power than you imagine.
Consult your intuition, and you will know the truth of what I have just said.
That is the only advice I shall ever offer you regarding your clear mastery of a field most would-be “players” are simply “lost” in …
;~DW
==he is. likely, effectively “finished”==
That’s why I added the (sigh)!
He met my minimum qualifications in 2008, at least making the two Americas the focus of a serious presidential campaign. And I try to hope that, maybe after the complete collapse of the present party that is in the works, another candidate without his personal baggage can follow and deepen his footsteps.
“But sanity is on short supply in Washington…”
If there was much, backbone to apply it is desperately lacking.
Still, we have this feely-goody, from Bubba:
http://news.yahoo.com/bill-clinton-predicts-strong-obama-victory-035310296.html
Of course, considering how badly his and Hillary’s campaign “strategy” was when they snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, I’m not sure how much cred we should give this particular Ouija-board reading.
“I wish Obama was 1/3rd as progressive as the right made him out to be.”
Boy, do I ever.
The black-humor hilarity of having to watch Obama do miraculous and ongoing rehab on the republican party, and sustain so much of George Bush’s miserable policies, while they pillory him for being a “socialist”, would be a great endorphin rush, if it weren’t for the mayhem and damage he’s doing to a progressive agenda.
Woops! Almost forgot: me neither.
It is always darkest before light!
We are all witnessing the end of the Dem Party and Rep Party as we know them.
History tell us all that change is coming one way or another?
A Govt. that serves 1% will not last that long.
This is nothing new, Kings, Queens, Empires, all come to an end this way.
DW I see the USA having a very, very, very, hot summer, I forecast massive social unrest coming to the USA this summer.
Get your pop corn ready the RNC and DNC are going to both entertain us greatly.
The elites made a huge mistake putting OBAMA in the White House!
Obama creates rage and anger from the Left and the Right!
Like Paul Krugman, I see it all coming a part!
Wusses, all of ‘em.
Hey, is now the time to start asking whether employers are cynically destroying the economy and people’s lives to make Obama look bad so they can install the “it’s our turn” king in waiting?
It is more than the collapse of a party, caleb36, for what is happening is a “change” to the very concept of “leadership”.
The notion of “the one”, the special “leader” who will arise and lead us into the future is not consistent with individual human responsibility, nor the needs and realities of our time.
Real leadership is not about power, it is about discovering possibility and then sharing that potential with others. It is about finding new pathways, not about playing king of the mountain.
When the national conversation recognizes that civil society MUST protect itself from concentrations of wealth and power, within, quite a much or more than outside “attack”, then it will be apparent that a sane future, a just and sustainable future, will require an entirely new relationship, of people to the environment, to each other, and to the exercise of power and the sharing of the resources of life.
Imagine that.
;~DW
Ah, jedi, you anticipate well, indeed … tell me, what do you “see” even further into the future? Might it be a bit of what I describe @24?
DW
90% analysis, 10% intuition, I would say. Faith is the hardest part. In truth, though, there is no power to this knowledge without having the capital to utilize it. I share these calls here in hopes some lefties might profit from them. Nowadays, I have no client, and am only directing trades for a buddy–very small-time. It’s frustrating.
Thanks for that very excellent comment, DW. Agree completely.
http://www.jillstein.org/
The only way to answer that is to look at how quickly the unemployment number drops by this time next year. The new Congress should barely be seated and not have passed one grain of legislation if, in fact, your proposition becomes true.
The rest of world events will not change significantly for the positive – Europe is not going to miraculously become solvent in the next 12 months.
You have the fulcrum, rc, all you need is the leverage …
;~DW
Yes! I agree with you on 24
Are Humans moving to Mars anytime soon? No
Nature always wins!
Future societies will be force to govern from a Earth point of view.
The idea of 1% of Human Population on the Planet having over 70% of the wealth is not going to work much longer.
the only societies that will survive the future will be ones that govern from the point of view I am my brothers keeper.
man is a crazy animal
we can’t ignore the negative impact technology is going to have on human society.
daily we create gadgets and ideas that eliminate the need for human capital.
DW? it is not wise to create a society that only needs a million people to maintain it and run it, what are the other 4 billion people suppose to do?
Me, too. There aren’t any left, except maybe the Dem from my district I went to high school with lo these 55 years. He’s just an ordinary pol who names all the buildings in our town after himself, but at least he is still an old school democrat. Not a blue dog, just a dog.
Or just before everything goes completely black. Be careful what you wish for.
Archimedes smiles. ;-)
No, they aren’t. They make more money when business is doing well. What is killing the economy is the Republicrat (includes both parties) single-minded pursuit of dismantling what is left of our government apart from the military. What they don’t seem to appreciate is that at some point the United States economy will not be able even to support its vast military establishment (of course, that is why they want to raid SS. It gives them a few more years before the final collapse).
As to the economics, as Krugman points out in his book, getting the economy back on track with respect to employment is technically child’s play. It’s not lack of will; it is lack of desire by the people who fund our politics to do anything about it.
Well, if we can come to understand the nature of true leadership, jedi, then it is possible that we might all may come to value and cherish life.
Life is a rather special thing …
And when we consider that we are not too close and not too far from our most important star, who knows, perhaps the planet might be recognized as being paradise, for all sane and rational human purposes?
There is still a chance of those two realities reaching human consciousness (and conscience).
DW
I used to believe that government could solve economic problems, but more and more I’ve seen the abject failure of overt government policies designed to manipulate the economy.
Government only ever directs an economy to benefit the well connected elites, whether “austerity” or “stimulus” is implemented. No matter what happens regular people will get screwed. This is why Krugman et al. are doing nothing more than engaging in a debate over how many angels can dance on the head of a pin–it’s completely absurd and meaningless.
Krugman is also an idiot who doesn’t even know that banks can create credit without regard to Federal Reserve actions. Quoting an economic illiterate like Krugam puts you in the same camp he’s in–not a very good one.
I can testify to that. I got a 2 cent raise. But,this month, my share of our company sponsored group health insurance increased 3 cents so I’m 1 cent “in the hole”.
So Bubba is saying that Romney done good at Bain?
Huh!
In about the same breath, he’s saying that Obama’s going to win comfortably in November.
Curiouser.
‘Guy; quiet! :o)
And, is that furthest-over you can bend? :o)
Please follow this story
Bush starts to wars? Yes
Wars increase GOVT. Expenses? Yes
Bush cut Taxes? Yes
Taxes decrease Govt. Revenue? Yes
Bush and the GOP shout from the hill tops we have a deficit? Yes
Obama maintain Bush wars? Yes
Obama maintain Bush Tax Cuts ie Obama Tax Cuts? Yes
Obama shouts from the hill tops we have a deficit? Yes
FDR saves the USA? Yes
Paul Krugman follows FDR? Yes
You do know the Federal Reserve Gave the Banks 16 trillion dollars?Yes
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2825696/posts
Do you mean Obama’s half assed measures aren’t working? His Hooveresque, GOP lite economic policies suck, and that the professional leftists were right all along?
But I thought we were all a bunch of f$$$in’ retards, at least Rahm said so, and Obama agreed.
You can rearrange the letters in “Santa” to spell “Satan”, and he does go about garbed in red. Just sayin’.
“Democrats” in Congress during Bush years vote again and again to fund wars off the books – Yes.
Is Obama more like Reagan or FDR? correct answer Reagan
Obama makes Reagan look progressive
My point is simple don’t increase expenses, cut revenues and scream we have a deficit problem
Reagan ran as a Democrat before switching to the Republican party. Obama masqueraded as a Democrat without revealing that he was a corporate puppet.
Damn, where are Nancy’s magic lips to make O’Dahmer reveal HIS true colors?
(According to gossip, Nancy Davis [later Reagan] was the most skilled fellatrix in 1940s/1950s Hollywood. It’s not impossible that she won Ronnie’s political loyalty with something other than Dr. Loyal Davis [her ultra-right-wing dad]‘s talking points.
And yes, I realize that I have just conjured the image of “Mommy” Reagan giving O a blowjob. Which somehow puts a smile on my face and makes me want to hack off my junk, all at the same time.)
On a more boring topic, so apparently the “115,000 jobs” added in April was only 77,000 jobs? They were off by 38,000? A margin of error of 33.0%??
Gee, maybe the government might want to hire some people who could actually calculate labor statistics correctly. I mean, I’m sure this doesn’t have anything to with the Administration lying about the job numbers to get a favorable buzz and trying to sneak in a “correction” later…
And if the BLS is now routinely lying about the “jobs added” at ODahmer’s insistence, how small do you think that “69,000 jobs” figure for May really is? 35,000 jobs? 25,000 jobs? Rahm Emanuel hired a new pool boy? How low can they go? (Both wrt to the numbers and the ethics, of course.)