Over the past few days, members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors have begun to prepare the ground for another round of monetary easing. The arguments for this are simply that unemployment is coming in above target, and inflation below target, so in order to get back on track, the Fed must act. That’s basically what San Francisco Fed chair John Williams says here:
We are falling short on both our employment and price stability mandates, and I expect that we will make only very limited progress toward these goals over the next year. Moreover, strains in global financial markets raise the prospect that economic growth and progress on employment will be even slower than I anticipate. In these circumstances, it is essential that we provide sufficient monetary accommodation to keep our economy moving towards our employment and price stability mandates [...]
If further action is called for, the most effective tool would be additional purchases of longer-maturity securities, including agency mortgage-backed securities. These purchases have proven effective in lowering borrowing costs and improving financial conditions.
That means another round of quantitative easing, with the goal of increasing econmic activity and job growth. But it’s not entirely clear that previous QE approaches have accomplished this. Unconventional monetary policy, like setting a higher inflation target or using the communications channel to announce a different measure of targeting (targeting nominal GDP, for example), appears off the table. Only Chicago Fed President Charles Evans even contemplates a higher inflation target.
The reasons that Fed policymakers give for not acting usually fall along the lines of not wanting to risk their hard-earned credibility on price stability. But as Justin Wolfers and Betsy Stevenson argue in Bloomberg, Fed credibility means nothing when they constantly miss their own targets:
Right now, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation — the deflator on personal consumption expenditures — is less than 2 percent, with the most recent estimate showing an annual increase of 1.5 percent. And unemployment remains at 8.2 percent. If monetary policy had been used more aggressively to combat the recession, then unemployment would be lower and inflation would be closer to its target. Even if you believe monetary policy is largely ineffective at lowering unemployment, a more expansionary policy would still have pushed inflation closer to its target.
Worse, these projections are based on an expectation of “appropriate monetary policy.” That is, the Fed thinks it’s appropriate to run policy in a way that it expects to fail to meet its stated goals for the next few years for no discernible reason. Beyond the macroeconomic failings, the Fed has also botched its goal of being transparent in explaining what is driving its policy decisions [...]
The point is that the Fed’s usual excuse — that it’s hard to nail two goals with just one instrument — doesn’t apply. In normal times, the debate over monetary policy is between “hawks” who want the Fed to emphasize its inflation target, and “doves” who want it to focus on lowering unemployment. But there’s no debate here — more accommodative monetary policy would help achieve the goals for both inflation and unemployment.
You can only come to the conclusion that for the Fed, inflation is not a target but a ceiling, and anything below that target is acceptable. Only by assuming that the Fed believes it is accomplishing its price stability goals can you conclude that they’re something other than sadists.




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The FRB can’t ease when interest rates are zero and economy is in a liquidity trap.
Free Market for Kleptocrats.
We are being gloriously screwed by the dueling Keynesians and Austrians.
The “TINA” Crisis of Two Capitalists: Paul Krugman v. Pedro Schwartz – wretched stuff, even within the context of capitalism itself…: — http://wp.me/p1hyep-2nb
The Big Banks are Amateurs When It Comes to Manipulating Interest Rates –
http://wp.me/p1hyep-2nx
That guy just looks too smug.
It bothers me.
The trillions it would take to restore a bustling economy now reside in the accounts of the few. Their looting is almost complete.
The old economy is not coming back. Unlike previous downturns, this one marks the end of an era. Bernanke knows this.
Reminds me of the old joke:
Greenspan was lauded as a genius by the PTB and he said he was probably correct 70% of the time, so I guess this guy thinks a “C” is the new “A”.
Bernanke is a f*cking puppet of the big banks and monied interests. I wouldn’t expect much from him.
This EXPLAINS the true reason we keep easing….
From Seeking Alpha feb 2011:
Ben Bernanke is a stooge and a fraud, but he is at least partially honest in his explanations of why he wants to keep printing money. The reason is to try to keep interest rates low. Granted, he’s failing miserably at this, but at least he understands the goal.
Of course, Bernanke tells the public and Congress that the reason we need low interest rates is to support housing prices. He doesn’t mention that $188 TRILLION of the $223 TRILLION in notional value of derivatives sitting on the Big Banks’ balance sheets is related to interest rates.
Yes, $188 TRILLION. That’s thirteen times the US’ entire GDP, and nearly four times WORLD GDP.
Now, of course, not ALL of this money is “at risk,” since the same derivatives can be traded/spread out dozens of ways by different banks as a means of dispersing risk.
However, given the amount of money at stake, if even 4% of this money is “at risk” and 10% of that 4% goes wrong, you’ve wiped out ALL of the equity at the top five banks.
Put another way, Bank of America (BAC), JP Morgan (JPM), Goldman (GS), and Citibank (C) would CEASE to exist.
If you think that I’m making this up or that Bernanke doesn’t know about this, consider that his predecessor, Alan Greenspan, knew as early as 1999 that the derivative market, if forced into the open and through a public clearing house, would “implode” the market. This is DOCUMENTED. And you better believe Greenspan told Bernanke this.
In this light, all of Bernanke’s monetary policies and efforts are focused on doing one thing and one thing only: trying to shore up the overleveraged, derivative-riddled balance sheets of the Too Big to Fails, or Too Bloated to Exist, as I like to call them.
The fact that the bank executives taking this money and using it to pay themselves and their employees record bonuses only confirms that these folks have NO interest in taking care of shareholders or their businesses. They’re just going to take the money and run for as long as this scheme works.
I don’t know when this will come unraveled. But it WILL. At some point the $600+ TRILLION behemoth that is the derivatives market will implode again. When it does, no amount of money printing will save the Too Bloated To Exist banks’ balance sheets.
At that point, it’s game over for Wall Street and the Fed