Fighting in the Syrian capital of Damascus raged for a third straight day, the most sustained challenge to the seat of power of President Bashar al-Assad. The Syrian government has escalated their response as a result:
Activists in the northern Damascus suburb of Qaboun said the Syrian forces were backed by helicopter gunships, an apparent hardening of the government’s response to urban fighting that has spread toward central Damascus and the seat of President Bashar al-Assad’s power.
Videos posted by antigovernment activists showed night scenes of gunfire and helicopter noise as well as daytime images of what was said to be helicopter gunships flying over the capital. There were indications on Tuesday that the rebel fighters, confident of support in some areas of Damascus, were moving into new neighborhoods to test the government’s response.
“The heaviest clashes are going on in Al-Midan and the neighboring areas,” said a spokesman for an activist group in Damascus. “Regime forces are threatening to bombard the whole area and telling civilians to evacuate their houses.”
This is what civil war looks like. And this was inevitable amid an impotent international response. The Syrian uprising began peacefully, with chants and marches after Friday prayers. The regime carried out excessive violence for months before the protesters decided to mobilize a rebel force and arm themselves. That space of time was ill-used by the international community, and we’re now seeing the fruits of that – a civil war which has killed at least 17,000 Syrians, with the prospect of many more dead in the coming weeks and months. The international deadlock continues, meanwhile, with Russia accusing Western powers of blackmail to get them on the side of economic sanctions for the Assad government.
A British draft resolution backed by the West and many Arab countries links the extension of the monitoring mission, first approved in April, to a 10-day deadline for Mr. Assad to implement the six-point plan he accepted in March. It includes an immediate cease-fire and steps toward a political transition.
Failing that, the resolution would invoke Chapter 7 of the United Nations Charter, which allows for punitive measures, like economic sanctions, and ultimately military action to enforce Security Council demands.
The Russians are adamantly opposed. They feel they were deceived into accepting a Western plot for leadership change in Libya when force was used there under Chapter 7 last year.
“To our great regret, there are elements of blackmail,” Mr. Lavrov said. “We are being told: if you do not agree to the resolution under Chapter 7 of the U.N. Charter, then we shall refuse to extend the mandate of the monitoring mission in this country.”
In fact, Russia continues to perform maintenance work on Syrian armaments and helicopters, under existing contracts.
Activists are hopefully describing the clashes in Damascus as the “beginning of the end,” and surely they are significant, as the capital has not experienced violence on this scale before. But this is the road that has been traveled now. I don’t see any alternative option but a long and bloody fight for control of Syria. Indeed, even some activists described the fighting as a test of the power of the regime. These tests will continue for a long time.




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Who are the activists, dday?
Here’s presstv’s take on it.
Here’s the oppo spokes people. A rogue’s gallery.
BTW Assad’s father fought a foreign-sponsored internal uprising in the late 1970s. Lasted 4 or 5 years. The is a rerun. Israel failed to destabilize back then but is taking advantage of instability in other Arab countries to give it another try.
Presstv’s on-site reporter a couple of minutes ago said Damascus had returned to stability, that insurgents had been rounded up.
I wonder how shooting up cities will help insurgents win hearts & minds.
Thanks for being such a good birddog.
Quite a mess.
This one of few times I agreed with Juan Cole. This is a big mistake on the bad guys side to come to Damascus. Yes, I know Assad bad also.
http://www.juancole.com/2012/07/fighting-spreads-to-damascus-but-is-it-a-turning-point.html
I’m glad I went back to try to finish reading the bio of Assad pere. He was the most star-crossed person being in the cross-hairs of Israel, victim of conspiracy of Kissinger, Meir, Sadat in 1973 war, etc etc. I still have 100 pages to go, but it gives me a lot of historic context for evaluating what’s going on there now.
Which is all I know about Syria. It ain’t much, but a lot better than nothing.
Why do you say Assad is bad? He may not be enlightened, he may be an autocrat (plenty of those around) but he held elections in the midst of the foreign incited uprising, turnout was reasonable, and vote was more fair than the one recently in Libya. He also just licensed another 4 newspapers. Reforms are underway, though prolly too little too late.
What measures do you suppose O would take if Qatar bought weapons for insurgents inside U.S. and Canada allowed them & AQ fighters from Libya to stream across the border.
You know that Cole ‘consults’ for the CIA.
I liked Phil Giraldi’s snark today… Operation on Syria Successful, but the Patient Died…
Looks like the CIA-armed rebels are well on their way to setting up an American puppet government in no time.
That’s not quite the plan as I understand it.
The plan I’ve read about is to fracture the country into as many pieces as possible and then let the war lords fight amongst each other.
But heck, there are prolly as many plans as there are guys & gals in 4 or 5 “friends of Syria” countries.
I’d say Assad is bad, because he is using military force against his own population to maintain power. Yes, the “rebels” are pretty dubious, too, I am quite sure.
Frankly, all I can say is “I am glad I don’t live there!”
You can bet that the US does not want an anarchy in Syria under the control of warlords. The model for that would be Somalia. The US does not want another Somalia, in the heart of the Middle East.
Patient died is what I understand is the desired outcome.
Wonder why Erdogan wanted this kind of instability on his border.
The first things I found that purport to explain it is that he thought, with NATO’s help he could become regional hegemon. I haven’t seen anything else, but I’m beginning to wonder if Erdogan didn’t get played, and once it’s over, he’ll be thrown on the trash heap of history. U.S. & Israel have long record of this kind of behavior.
He’s not using military against his own people. Most of the rebels are foreign infiltrators.
Assad has to be called bad b/c he’s a secular kind of guy, the last remaining anomaly in bifurcated Islam’s new empire.
And he’ll probably have his portrait on their $5-bill and stamped on their penny.
The U.S. has constantly destabilized Somalia thru CIA ops, proxy wars (Ethiopian invasion in 2006 (update here). CIA made sure only stable govt Somalia had in recent memory, Islamic Courts Union, got overthrown, then when the next guys were worse, tried to backpeddle.
Destabilize is what the U.S. does to other countries. It’s in U.S. DNA.
The most dangerous thing in human society is the unsupervised teenaged boy with too much time on his hands. Demographically, the mideast’s population has exploded with lots of young ones. Expect more of this as time goes by.
There’s also a Sunni-Shia hegemony thing going on. Since Iran won the U.S. war in Iraq, and Syrian rulers are minority Alawites, a Shia sect, it’s driving Saudis, Qataris nuts. On al Jaz (owned by govt of Qatar) a week or so ago, there was guest from Qatar, with two other elsewhere, on an interview program. At the end he was foaming at the mouth, or at least you could see the spittle, about how some one had to do something about Syria and if NATO wouldn’t, there were countries that would.
Agree that Assad is more secular, but that seems not to be the fear of the regional Sunni power states.
I expect Middle East Islam to become like Jordan and Egypt, providing factories for Hanes, Jockey, and countless other schmatta suppliers.
Saw a good discussion of that on book-tv a month or two ago.
Will point out that demographics isn’t destiny, though. Iran went thru a VAST population increase after the I-I war & didn’t experience the same kind of uprising.
Aside: Iran has the best family planning program of any country in the world. After the I-I war, ayatollah decided it needed people as national defense. #children/family went up to 7. Then mid-80s oil price crash, decided couldn’t afford its population, instated mandatory (before marriage) attendance at family planning classes and now the stat is under 4 children/HH. From Robin Wright’s book published around 2000.
Gotta hop.
BBL.
I do not understand why the fdl community allows its comments to be overwhelmed with preposterous conspiracy theories and apologism for obvious war criminals. This nonsense needs to be smacked down, though I realize most of the energy here is reserved for passive-aggressive Romney-hate and pretending we won’t all vote for the black guy anyway because the supreme court, duh.
Smack away.