Though this proposal to use eminent domain to buy up underwater homes and refinance them has been getting a lot of publicity in intellectual circles, the unorthodox fix for the housing market is already happening. That would be the REO-to-rental revolution, where investment firms buy up foreclosed properties in mass quantities after repossession, and flip them into the rental market. Entire firms are being built with this business model. We know that over 40% of the city of Oakland’s foreclosed homes have been purchased by investors. This isn’t prospective, it’s already happening.
Setting aside for a moment the potential problems of creating a large swath of hedge fund slumlords, as well as the possibility of razing entire neighborhoods with new development, the theory for the investors is that they can generate a steady stream of rental payments that will eventually dwarf the fire-sale price they paid for the foreclosed property. But there are all kinds of pitfalls to that model, like extended vacancies or troublesome tenants who refuse to pay. I hadn’t figured out how the investors planned to work around that model, until I saw this story in the Wall Street Journal. And then the light bulb went on.
Four years after mortgage-linked deals played a starring role in the worst financial crisis in decades, banks and real-estate investors are at work on a new type of security tied to the housing market.
This time, financial firms are seeking to engineer deals backed by the rental payments of residents living in previously foreclosed homes.
In recent months, firms such as Colony American Homes and Waypoint Homes have snapped up houses in foreclosure and rented them. Backed by investment banks and credit-rating firms, these firms think they have spotted a new opportunity: Packaging thousands of those rental payments into securities and selling them to other investors, a process known as securitization.
Potential issuers, like Colony and Waypoint, are seeking to create and sell these securities to tap outside investors for capital they in turn can use to expand their businesses.
The private securitization market for homes has been broken since 2008, and virtually no deals have gone through. But I could see the same alchemy used to prove to investors that they couldn’t lose on a mortgage-backed security put to work to prove the same thing on a rental-revenue-backed-security. They could slice the pools of rental units up into tranches to cushion the blow of missed monthly payments or vacancies, with more risk for higher return. And who knows, maybe they’ll just securitize that junior tranche into a CDO, just like during the housing bubble, and magically turn a high-risk security into a AAA-rated lock.
In other words, this is just a rerun, and the first movie ended rather badly. It was already going to be a problem for the management companies of these REO-to-rental units to have no community involvement; if they can securitize the payments and get sure revenue no matter what happens at their properties, they have even more of a reason to abandon them and act as absentee slumlords. This could also lead to all sorts of strong-arm tactics to force tenants to pay their rent that we have previously never seen before, well beyond a simple eviction after a grace period. The potential for abuse is high, because now there will be massive amounts of money on the line. And who will service the rental units for the investors? Servicers for loans haven’t exactly covered themselves in glory of late.
I think the key will be if the rating agencies once again abandon their responsibility as neutral arbiters and rate these securities highly. There’s very little data to go on about lengths of vacancies and timely rental payments. And the fact that the same trustees and structured finance experts who created, packaged and sold mortgage-backed securities during the housing bubble are the ones pitching this should act as a big, flashing NO sign. Sadly, I’m not sure it will.




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As Yves says, “Quelle Surprise!” No accountability, no arrests, much less convictions and incarcerations leads to the same criminals spreading their filthy practices to rape investors and ordinary folks again. When is enough going to be enough?
It’s only news when they start securitizing the securitzations and then out of that make a derivative product that’s tied to LIBOR.
Which should be next week sometime.
I hope Yves is linking to this excellent piece.
Rachael Maddow ought to give it a look too.
Thanks, David. Clear, compelling and damning.
What could possibly go wrong.
Okay. So let me get this straight. Credit Default Swaps were based on people betting whether or not I’d pay my mortgage. And, now they want to bet on whether or not I’ll pay my rent? That sort of makes sense. I have a friend who grew up in Dorchester and Roxbury area of Boston where (according to him) everybody bet on everything. I’m sure it would make sense to him and Sheldon Adelson.
But the housing bubble was based on CDO (Collateralized Debt Obligations). So are they proposing to collateralize these securitized slices of shit sausage with the deeds to the repossessed homes?
Bonus: If this works out with the creation of CDO’s we will have a smooth transition from people living in homes that their payments were buying to people living in the same homes and not owning anything. And their payments can be increased each year at lease renewal. Brilliant.
Is Bain involved?
David: not that you or anyone else likely cares, but when I first started visiting FDL I criticized what I perceived as the MOR character of some of your posts. I just want to retract those comments, and to praise your daily, highly diligent work here and phenomenal command of the minutiae–and ultimate big meanings–of so many policy issues. I really appreciate it, and have come to consider your work the equal and more of almost anything that I find on the internets, always worthy of contemplation. You make this site worth visiting on a twice-daily basis. Thanks so much.
I agree that the rating agencies will be important here, but to me the key will be the pension/retirement plan managers. To what degree will they allow themselves to get led down the garden path?
Fucking casino gaming vulture capitalists create a new scheme based on the old method of bilking pension funds to create a bubble that bursts requiring public funds to bail out banks that the vultures use as a front business for their evil scheme.
There ought to be law. Oh, wait…it got repealed.
Can’t wait till cities try go after this comprador front slumlord and try to get their properties condemned.
Hey compradors: this is a business opportunity – kickbacks from the front to “revise” inspections/inspectors/officials. You can rise to top comprador (and maybe better).
Oof, it’s a looong way down.
The depth of depravity of the vultures is astounding. How many ways can they take from the working types to raise their piles of of money higher. Yeah, that invisible hand sure is working well to create the highest good for all./snark
Matthew, some of us are of the opinion that David Dayen deserves a Pulitzer Prize in Journalism for his brilliant work, which is coherent, cogent, and explained in language which may be readily understood and appreciated. He has been covering this ongoing criminal fraud from the very beginning. While he is always ready to praise and share the perspectives of others, notably Yves Smith, his own insights and contributions in exposing both what is occurring and the future implications are quite in a class by themselves.
Your thoughtful comments are always much appreciated, btw.
DW
Any thing you can think of.
BTW, will you be at the Prof. Wolff Book Salon tomorrow?
Thanks for the heads up. Barsamian should be great too. I’d look forward their read on Occupy’s leftism.
Wish we could have a regular virtual commune.
The vulgarization of the culture is astounding as well. Demonstrates how ruthlessly the “1%” are willing to mislead people and their utter contempt for humanity.
And here we have some engineering review for the “second run” bubble. Hard to avoid concluding compradorship has deep roots.
Agree that David Dayen is terrific!
I’m hoping to be able to “securitize” the hair coming out of my ears and nose. I get more of it as I get older, and it’s most likely worth more than much of the dark pools of debt that the banksters have created.
Or maybe I should re-hypothecate my bodily wastes, bundle it together in tranches, and sell it to unsuspecting pension funds. THAT too is worth more than most of the crap being pedaled by the banksters, and would create one mighty fine pile of $hit.
Back in 2008, people thought I was being crazy and over-the-top when I suggested that we should change our fucking name to “The United States of Slumlordia” and stop pretending anymore. Because that’s exactly what the banker-terrorists were gunning for: a rentier-nation utopia enabled and rewarded by purchased politicians too gutless and spineless to start slapping the cuffs on ‘em and frog-march ‘em all straight to the gallows.
Thanks!
If I didn’t trust David’s reporting, I would swear this was an Onion parody. What’s next Collateralized Food Obligations?
Also, Alexander Cockburn, RIP.
Book Salon up with David Karpf’s The MoveOn Effect: The Unexpected Transformation of American Political Advocacy hosted by Nicco Mele
Oh, but nothing as tangible as a deed to real property was ever necessarily involved in the relationship between the issuer of the CDO and the “investor” (and I’ll bet was never, in practice) in collateralizing mortgage CDOs.
Remember how leveraged all of these structured things were? Those proceeds were then used to buy stuff that went into trusts that served as collateral against the stream of payments thrown off by the mortgages, or in this case the rentals; more explanations and variations at the article linked above, the section on “Structures” and especially subsection “Funding—Cash vs. synthetic.”
Think of the whole scam as a way to generate some cash flow from a basically non-income-producing asset, that being the land whose previous trail of ownership has been made to disappear as part of the “securitization” process. Sprinkled among the endowment and pension fund marks and trusts for some of our dimmer heirs are those so positioned that anything at all they get from these new RBSs (“rental”) is gravy.
Thanks. Yet another instance of the greater-fool theory of investing: “If I make this investment, I can surely find a greater fool to sell it to at a profit.”
The American dream lives. A bubble dream on one end, and a pipe dream on the other.
Has St Liz got back to you yet on the Geithner meeting?
This article really is worrying. The idea that already, the same evil is about to repeat itself shows that the entire ‘elite’ is bankrupt of any ideas. There is no political way past them either and they know it.