The fight over the automatic trigger cuts, which will take place at the end of the year without Congressional action, took an interesting turn this week. The Senate passed a bill that will force the Obama Administration to provide details on how they will implement the cuts. This bill has already passed the House with a broad majority, and the President has indicated that he will sign it. But politically, it puts him – and Congress – in some trouble.
“Everyone should understand that sequestration is a terrible way to cut spending, so I am hopeful that the more information my colleagues receive about its impact, the more they will be willing to move off their partisan positions and work with us toward a balanced and bipartisan replacement,” said Senator Patty Murray, Democrat of Washington, who drafted similar legislation with Senator John McCain, Republican of Arizona.
“The president owes it to our forces around the world and to their families to put a plan on the table for all to see now, rather than waiting until after the November elections pass,” Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the Republican leader, said last week.
As Dave Weigel notes, this will be spun as Obama’s job cuts, particularly when applied to the defense sector. Both parties voted for the Budget Control Act, which created the process that led to these cuts. But the name on the masthead of the plan for the cuts will be the Office of Management and Budget, and Republicans in particular will act like the directive comes entirely from them, rather than an agreed-to process voted on and passed by Congress.
Moreover, to comply with a separate Congressional law, layoff notices must be given 60 days prior to any federal employee personnel cuts. That means that four days before the election, a bunch of workers in the Pentagon and throughout government, including a large segment working in the swing state of Virginia, are likely to get a pink slip.
Tens of thousands of civilian employees in the Defense Department could receive warnings about potential layoffs four days before the November election if impending spending cuts aren’t averted, hitting presidential battleground states such as Virginia and Florida hard.
The alerts would come in addition to any that major defense contractors might send out at the same time to their workers under an often-overlooked law, a prospect that is unnerving the White House roughly three months before voters go to the polls.
Frederick Vollrath, a senior Pentagon official, outlined the timeline for notification of possibly 10 percent of the 800,000-strong civilian workforce in testimony Thursday before a House panel. He cautioned, however, that no decision has been made on job cuts as Washington grapples with the looming, $1.2 trillion automatic reductions in defense and domestic programs.
Florida is mentioned because of the high concentration of military bases, which is also true of North Carolina.
But now the decision will have to be laid out in paper by OMB. And Republicans will seize on the layoff notices, based on an OMB document, to show that the economy is in the toilet (even though this is based on deficit reduction demanded by their party). This isn’t an October surprise, but it will be treated that way.
Nancy Pelosi devised a fairly novel way out, by using the higher-end Bush tax cuts to pay to cancel the sequester. But there’s little chance of that happening before November 2, when the layoff notices would have to go out.




23 Comments

Support this site!
Subscribe to the newsletter
Advertise on Firedoglake
Send
us your tips
Make us your homepage
About FDL News Desk
“Defense Sector” ? It is more Offense than defense.
That would be assassins, torturers, the four million member secret army that spies on Americans, and the Beltway Bandits that rob us every day. We need more than thousands of jobs cut eliminated from the military industrial complex. These people can only create phony wars and False Flag Terrorism with secret armies. Good riddance!
Lots of us, have been penalized economically and otherwise supporting these warmongers and their Oil wars. So do not cry for me Argentina.
The best strategy for the administration would be to get that specific information out to the affected people before the conventions. And to estimate the impact on a worse case situation. So when the actual notices come out there can be fewer that were previously predicted. I can think of some states and districts that might be given the wake-up call to what their Senators and Reps have done.
The jobs in question are bureaucratic ones, not those you note with such florid and incorrect attribution, sad to say. If we on the left cannot discuss with intellect and certainly passion ,but not running away at the mouth with wrongheaded assumptions, then we cannot hope to make a dent in the opinions of the general public.
Certainly I would support an end to the practices you note, and yes I am thoroughly ashamed of our government for perpetrating them. Further I would be ecstatic to see our bloated defense budget cut and pared to reasonable levels…a buck eighty sounds about right…But the cuts in question do not touch the areas about which you postulate, sad really.
Damage control. I doubt it will help much. He brought this on himself. Time to pay the piper. This could well cost him the election.
I’d agree but Willard is over in U-rope shooting himself in the foot in almost every country. I though Perry was adept at self-inflicted wounds. a week doesn’t go by that at least one headsline staryts off weith “Romney Gaffe”.
I have never seen a guy run such a bad campaign. Makes Kerry and Dukakis look like “brilliant political strategerists”.
Layoffs in the “red” states only. Also,cut the Supreme Court budget (if
possible). Etc.
Somebody should tell him to go in hiding. He might win.
Lay them all off!
While you are at it Washington cut the pensions of all the generals and the admirals that are more per year then what 5 full time working people make gross.
Stop calling it the defense budget. Call it the war budget.
IMO, this is a cynical play to ensure that more, deeper austerity will happen after the election.
If the pink slips go out and O is reelected, then sacking government workers gets the green light from voters. There will be more like this.
If the pink slips go out and Romney is elected, then voters choose the R party platform which is about even deeper austerity.
The fucking game is rigged against working saps.
Working saps better wake up and soon.
Every single day I meet people who are sure that they are special and worth what they are paid and will never face unemployment like those other losers who get cut.
Until a critical mass is reached there won’t be any mass movement.
Yeah, kinda reminds me of Shrub (although Shrub was probably a little worse). Shrub never got elected to anything, did he?
If the Dems had tried to put Bush, for example in this kind of box, they would have filibustered and moved heaven and earth to prevent it. Sequestration was a bipartisan ploy, and they’re trying to hang it around Obama’s neck and his alone. Where the hell are the Ds?
Maybe instead of spending a billion dollars on campaign ads, both sides should wise up and just give cash to the 500 or so people in this country that can’t make up their minds which corporate whore to vote for.
Where would the fun be in that?
I think that both candidates are told by the criminal elite that they are their guy.
Don’t worry, no matter what you will win. You just have to play the campaign game so Americans think they have a choice. So they do it.
One of them find out they were lied to come election night
“Sequestration was a bipartisan ploy, …”
Exactly. And Obama has been on board for budget cuts and deficit reduction since the MSM pushed it to the top of the issue list. And lest we forget, every dollar of budget reduction will reduce the amount of work to be done for someone, somewhere public sector or private.
If the budget gets cut enough, the ripple effect will turn into a tidal wave.
And just so we don’t miss the duplicity of the Democrats, elsewhere on FDL:
http://news.firedoglake.com/2012/07/27/democrats-support-multiple-tax-cuts-for-the-wealthy/
Uniparty duopoly. That’s the answer to the question: What is the mask that the Corporatocracy wears to fool the 99%?
Don’t cut the jobs, cut the pay, starting at the highest level.
The DoD cuts are a no brainer; there are boondoggles aplenty in the research, development, and procurement area. On the non-defense side there are probably some areas that would make the US Chamber of Commerce scream in pain. Maybe a few that could touch Pete Petersen. Might be able to combine some federal offices in smaller states with larger states. Nebraska and Wymoming have to go to Denver for some dealings important to the the economic poobahs in those states, for example. Cut subsidies for commercial ag research at land grant universities, for example.
We are talking roughly $60-70 billion of cuts on defense and about the same on non-defense spending, in the fiscal year beginning October 1.
The press actually covered for Shrub, because he had Karen Hughes and Karl Rove manipulating the press lackeys.
They’re still covering for Romney, but it’s getting harder and harder.
I will never forget how the US media covered the September 1999 maiden issue of Talk magazine. That issue had two cover stories, but only one of them got major amounts of ink at the time. That was the interview with Hillary Clinton, where something she said about Bill was twisted around and blown way out of proportion by a press that, then as now, took its cues from its corporate owners — who by and large favor the GOP.
The other story was Tucker Carlson’s long and unflatteringly revealing piece on then-candidate George W. Bush, and — aside from George Will, who wrote about it a week after it came out (and, like Carlson, was alarmed that such a dingbat as Bush was running for president) — there was no real-time coverage of it and its revelations in any media likely to be seen or heard by the average American, even as the feeding frenzy over the Hillary interview was going full blast.
This is the piece where the true Bush, unfluffed and unairbrushed, is on full display. Never again would Karl Rove let anyone get away with such a frank depiction of his boss. It’s the one where, among other things, Bush mocked Karla Faye Tucker, a convicted murderer he had ordered put to death despite the pleas of evangelists who had said she was a changed woman.
And it, aside from a few folks like us, largely got dropped down the memory hole.
If this
Yup. Reclassify a few jobs into a lower classification — that’d do it. And yeah, to be cynical, do it in those states that are mortal locks either way.
Why not target mic employment in Republican states? I know a whole lot of weapons and defense contractors in South Carolina that could use some “cuts.”
Reducing a budget does not have to mean lay-offs. Layoffs are awful for morale and consumer confidence. You can reduce salaries, reduce working hours, reduce benefits, there are lots of options without throwing people into the street. Eventually if the job doesn’t pay well enough, people will look for better situations – but it’s a soft landing, rather than a harsh one.