Here’s another opportunity to lay out the real economic costs of climate change. Farmers had already prepared for extreme weather events by purchasing more and more crop insurance in recent years. So when a historic drought hit this summer, many crop producers had the ability to handle it, although livestock producers seeing a spike in their feed costs still face major challenges.
But for everyone who benefits from that relief from their crop failures, there’s the other side of the ledger. The insurance industry will take a massive hit from crop insurance payouts, and that could rebound back to the economy. The federal government will reinsure some of these losses from the industry. But others will come out of these companies directly, and rather than take reduced profits, the corporations could raise premiums or find other ways to pass the costs on.
Agricultural economists at the University of Illinois estimate the drought will trigger this year gross indemnities of roughly $30bn, with an underwriting loss of $18bn. Of that, the US government would shoulder around $14bn, while private sector insurers are likely to face a loss of $4bn, they said. Standard & Poor’s, the rating agency, put the losses of the private sector a notch higher at $5bn.
“The US drought is indeed a ‘catastrophic’ event,” Gregory W Locraft, insurance analyst at Morgan Stanley in New York, wrote in a recent note to clients, adding that it “is likely the largest [insurance] crop loss in history.”
Gary Schnitkey and Bruce Sherrick, at the University of Illinois, warned some of the US crop insurers are owned by publicly listed companies, “who may not have realised the scope of losses that their crop insurance subsidiaries could generate”.
Some of these companies are booking smaller profits. But the potential pass-through damage represents a cost from climate change that may not otherwise get calculated. Those costs are very real, in terms of economic activity.
And this doesn’t take into account all the other economic losses from a historic drought like this. In a smaller state like Arkansas alone, the cost is expected to be in the billions, when you take into account higher commodity costs, food production slowdowns, livestock issues, depletion of reservoirs, and so on. We simply don’t talk enough about the cost of inaction, relative to the massive amount of talk about the costs from actions to arrest the increase in overall temperature on the planet.




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Another bailout? Who played the “short” on this one and won?
Just like the wasted economic value out a tailpipe???
This is an extermination event America!
18 billion $ in 18 days going to work, wasted. Protect servitude and fuck liberty!
The hallowed private sector free market driven is cosily nestled into the teat of public sector and sucking it dry.
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/03/speculation-food-prices/
Bailout money flooding into the commodities bubble. Wall Street & The City are poised to make another killing.
Yes, but that slurping sound they’re making is the the only metric ($!) anti-climate changers might understand.
Baby steps.
Even in an era of climate change it might be reasonable to expect a year here and there as outliers. If that’s not the case, then we are banking on a rapid, inexorable onset which at this late date is already unavoidable. It would have been so for some time.
The premise I recall from Copenhagen in 2009 presented attacking climate change as a seemingly incongruous, last chance “switch” to be thrown (or not) at that point. Yet three years isn’t very long, and here we are, probably regardless of what wasn’t done then.
The public message about what’s going on hasn’t been presented well or in terms as stark as needed. Perhaps we’ve been dealing with a generations long battle which can only be attacked at the margins at first. Suppose it requires even onerous controls over global population levels which we haven’t uncovered (or divulged?) yet? Nobody will want to hear that.
In the meantime awful warming will still occur based on decades of past neglect, and climate progress may be hard to measure going forward in any meaningful way for the public. That is, too soon we’ll expect to hear about glaciers advancing back to normal levels, polar bears thriving again, etc. It will be hard to put off that news until our grandchildren’s time or even later.
Giant Agribiz (Monsanto, ADM, Cargill, for example) is backstopped by Insurance and Re-insurance provided by the Federal Government. On the front end, it is subsidized by the Federal Government. Then there’s the Commodities Market. What could go wrong?
Global Warming “problems” will be addressed by moving America’s Breadbasket – aka Dustbowl – to Canada.
“Weather Problems” and “Pest Problems” are being addressed by GMO crops. Round-up resistance built into the DNA. Cold weather resistance built in to the plant DNA.
Western Canada is already loaded up with GMO Canola as far as the eye can see.
The moneymakers, the looters, will continue to do what they do until they can do it no longer.
Dr. Tim Ball, who is an expert in historical climatology, said in this interview that Egyptian pharoahs took pride in being prepared for droughts. Imagine that – a society that stores up grain, in the good years, as insurance for lean years. Damn, but those ancient Egyptians were clever!
http://www.larouchepub.com/pr_lar/2011/lar_pac/110607demand_food-price_controls.html
“The moneymakers, the looters, will continue to do what they do until they can do it no longer.” Good pt.
Yup wasting trillions of dollars transporting crops/food to then waste 40% of the food, is suicidal. Yet profit at the expense of life seems to be a “pervasive mindset” in America, these days…….