The conspiracy theory about the Obama Administration forcing the Bureau of Labor Statistics into deliberately fixing the September jobs report has found its purchase in the most likely of places: the House Republican caucus. Darrell Issa, the chair of the House Oversight Committee, told Fox Business Network this morning that he would open an investigation into the derivation of the numbers in the jobs report.
“The way it’s being done with the constant revisions — significant revisions — tells us that it’s not as exact a science as it needs to be,” Issa told Fox. “We very much intend to work every day through the November and December time to get these kinds of things done … this is an issue where I think our committee has important jurisdiction to make sure we get it right.”
Issa is the latest prominent conservative to question the official jobs numbers [...]
Jack Welch, a columnist and former chairman and CEO of General Electric, suggested in a Friday tweet that the Obama administration had manipulated the jobs data for political reasons. Rep. Allen West (R-Fla.) and a number of conservative journalists agreed with Welch.
Maybe Issa threw this out as a way to get FBN, which has been the most rabid about the BLS conspiracy theory, off his back. Indeed, a spokesman for Issa followed up and said that he has “not decided to hold hearings” just yet.
But if Issa does go forward, keep in mind that this would represent the conservative world catching up to Darrell Issa, not vice-versa. He started investigating Department of Labor jobs reporting in JUNE. They even brought the acting commissioner of the BLS before the panel.
The Committee examined proposed changes to the Department’s current policy giving certain media organizations early access to those reports, allowing them to house their own computer systems inside the Labor Department for distributing the reports.
Members also asked about how the Department comes up with statistics for so-called green jobs [...]
The House Oversight and Government Reform Committee questioned Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Acting Commissioner John Galvin and others about a series of changes planned by his agency around its release of the government’s jobs report and other key data.
Lawmakers explored the possible political tone of data-release practices at the Labor of Department (DOL). BLS’s technological updates and other innovations led the department to change its procedures.
So this started with Issa and the GOP questioning the derivation of “green jobs” numbers, as well as how the data gets reported. That provided the opening to question the politicization of the BLS. And a few months later, Jack Welch pushes the envelope a bit further.
I should note that the substance of Issa’s critique – that the jobs reports lead to significant revisions – is baloney. First of all, the problem lies with the political class and analysts paying so much attention to the first series of reports. They have always had substantial revisions. Plus, as Larry Mishel points out, the household surveys and the payroll surveys eventually dovetail, showing comparable statistics (BLS truthers have a problem with the household survey, which showed large growth in September; the payroll survey wasn’t all that great). In fact, the household survey shows less job growth than the payroll survey since the worst of the job loss ended in June 2009. The data are very robust, and once more comes in, it always smooths out into something that plausible tracks the labor market situation.
Maybe Issa can add first-time unemployment claims into his hearing: they fell last week to the lowest level in four years.




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That’s pretty much how the compilation and presentation of large bodies of data works. You don’t normally get Holy Writ on the first pass.
Issa is an unimaginable hack.
The numbers were completely inconsistent. We need about 100K new jobs each month to keep up with population growth. We reported 114K new jobs from the hiring companies which is essentially flat.
The unemployment rate reported from a household survey dropped 0.3% in one month. 0.3% of the entire work force is more than 500K new employees.
One number is stagnation, the other a roaring recovery. Which is it?
All things considered, I am not at all surprised that some would suspect the administration was playing with the numbers.
David, from I’ve heard today, the initial claims numbers run contra to the idea that the data is good. The WSJ and other financial outlets are saying that the numbers went down because California did not report their claims. Evidently BLS has acknowledged that one “large” state did not report, and the financial outlets think it’s California. Seems odd considering the BLS release has some California figures included. Anyway, today’s major fall is likely to be corrected significantly next week.
My understanding is the numbers are revised especially the household data. But that data is not part of the 114k jobs. There were some upward revisions this month as well but that is normal. I don’t see fraud here. But what the hell everything else this admin does is fucked up, right? Issa has gotta be right!
I loathe destest & despise known-CROOK, Daryll Issa (who is sadly my putative “rep” in Congress). What a slime he is. All about the money just for him, alone.
That said, maybe the figures are right, and then again: maybe they’re not. All I know is that FOUR people I know personally got laid off within the last 2 weeks, and their likelihood of final gainful full-time employment anytime soon is about bupkiss.
I don’t see cause to celebrate those employment stats, myself, but Issa is wasting precious time bloviating about b.s. while consciously and deliberately doing EFF all to actually, you know, do *something* about the horrible lack of jobs in this country.
Screw Issa. Waste of MY valuable tax dollars. ptoui!
Wish I had a nickle for every time someone on this site said the unemployment numbers were wrong.
Of course, they could all be BLS Truther’s too.
Issa ia a despicable, self-serving asswipe. He givea hacks a bad name.
I feel sure that Obama, or his people, did cook the numbers….which would make them guilty of exactly the same thing that every preznint since who-knows-when, was guilty of doing.
Update from my previous post courtesy of Yahoo:
So, some state screwed up in its reporting, and the BLS was less than forthcoming about it in its press release. Stir in an upcoming presidential election, and you get a crazy cocktail.
Face it, BLS has been under the gun since Dick Nixon sent Fred Malek over there to “count Jews” who were out to get him by reporting jobs data wrongly, or at least in ways that reflected badly on Tricky Dick. The idea that they’d curry favor with a presidential administration is just as laughable as the idea that that they’d massage data to embarrass one.
Laughable. But with Issa, who’s laughing? You never can tell which one of these absurd investigations will catch fire; ask Monica.
I do believe Darryl Issa hates Barack Obama. Is it because he believes Obama is not one of us? Yes. Issa will never rise above Barack Obama, no matter how hard he tries. Obama will always be above the likes of people like Darryl Issa. Issa is rich, he is also a birther, a conspiracy theorist. What a nut.
Who cares?
Unemployment numbers have been manipulated to one degree or another since WWII, including by changing the way in which the number is arrived at.
The real issue is that too many people are out of work and way too few people seem to have a clue about how to get more of them working.
I agree, conspiracy theorists are nuts.