Sadly, last night continued the string of national debates that basically featured little or no discussion of how to immediately move the country out of its jobs crisis, or at least nothing beyond the dispiriting “stay the course” of the current Administration, and the irrelevant “five-point plan” of the challengers, which offers nothing in a near-term context on jobs. Vice President Biden managed to defend the stimulus through an effective hit job on Paul Ryan’s behind-the-scenes support for it, and he painted a picture of the depths of the crisis that told that familiar “road we’ve traveled” story. But this is not a plan for how to lower the unemployment rate immediately over the next 12-18 months, even though the Administration has a policy that would at least begin to do that in the American Jobs Act. Even the long-term job-related policies don’t take into account large and important issues that will help determine our economic future, in particular the need for more immigration into the country as a policy for economic growth.
So what is there left to talk about when we’re not going to talk about jobs? Taxes, of course. Taxes can support a job strategy in the absence of more preferable policies, but that wasn’t the subject of the discussion, anyway. It was a values-based argument over whether progressive tax policy, a settled principle for 100 years in America, should be furthered, to increase the burden on those Americans who can most afford it and lighten that burden on those who cannot.
Paul Ryan and his Presidential running mate have a plan for tax policy with no details. They simply want a 20% across-the-board tax cut, which will of course mean a prodigious amount of savings for the rich. They don’t really want to offset it with loopholes – they don’t mention closing loopholes at all in the tax discussion on the official campaign website – and the principles they’ve laid out don’t add up. You cannot cut taxes across the board by 20%, reject increases to tax rates for capital gains and dividends, keep the tax system revenue neutral and take all of that from deductions for the wealthy, so that middle-income Americans see no tax increase and “the share of income that is borne by the high-income earners” remains constant. “Share of income” is important weasel language, because that’s a function of the share of income that flows to the top as much as the tax rates, and of course this share of income has increased markedly in recent years.
But the math equation here is just impossible, and Ryan had to evade answering any specifics to defend it. Any specific would have shown the math to be bogus, and Biden did a decent job trying to pin Ryan down and exposing that mathematical impossibility. Ryan’s alibi that he wants to give maximum flexibility to Congress on the details is pretty weak. Conservative Josh Barro sums this up pretty well.
They say they have six independent studies — six! — that “have confirmed the soundness of the Governor’s tax plan,” and so I should stop whining. Let’s take a tour of those studies and see how they measure up.
The Romney campaign sent over a list of the studies, but they are perhaps more accurately described as “analyses,” since four of them are blog posts or op-eds. I’m not hating — I blog for a living — but I don’t generally describe my posts as “studies.” [...]
There are only meaningful “alternatives” to discuss with Congress if Romney can pick and choose from a pool of tax preferences for the wealthy that far exceeds the $250 billion annual cost of his rate cuts for them. If the pool of available base broadeners is just large enough to finance his tax cuts, then Romney actually is dictating a plan to Congress: if they don’t eliminate exactly the set of preferences he proposes, his plan will either have to raise taxes on the middle class or grow the deficit.
TPC finds that Romney’s rate cuts, plus elimination of the estate tax and Alternative Minimum Tax, would cost the Treasury about $250 billion in revenue from high earners. If he could somehow find, say, $300 billion in base broadeners from the wealthy, $15 billion of which would have to go to a phaseout, that wouldn’t leave a lot of “alternatives” on the table. Yet there aren’t enough base broadeners for Romney to reach the $300 billion level, let alone exceed it.
Read the whole thing, Barro debunks all six “studies.”
There actually is a meaningful difference between the candidates here. But again we had a discussion ostensibly about jobs devolve into a tax argument. Jobs just aren’t sexy enough, I guess.
P.S. Biden kept referring to millionaires, and I had some concern that he moved the dividing line back from a $250,000 threshold for expiration of the Bush tax cuts back to $1 million. But the campaign claims that’s not true, and that the $250,000 dividing line holds.




11 Comments

Support this site!
Subscribe to the newsletter
Advertise on Firedoglake
Send
us your tips
Make us your homepage
About FDL News Desk
See what happens onstage when the debaters are too well prepped? In any pol’s case it should be no clothes allowed, either.
“After four years, the unemployment rate is back to where we found it…if you don’t count the people who exhausted their benefits, the ones we claim took early retirement when in fact they’re just getting grey-lined out of the labor market, and the kids who can’t get a first job. Stay the course! (Except for unemployment benefits, we’d rather let them die.)”
Was that the gist of it, Dave? I can’t afford TV service, so I didn’t watch.
It’s really remarkable how much I hate these guys.
“…in particular the need for more immigration into the country as a policy for economic growth…”
Yeah, cause we’re doing such a bang up job of creating high paying full time jobs for the people already here.
The American Spectator has really worked over the split screen video on the debate.
They have biden giggling when Ryan brings up bibi’s bomb, and it has ominous background music
http://spectator.org/blog/2012/10/11/devastating-rnc-ad-captures-bi
It’s really sad that we have to go over exactly what they say and in the Debates and look for escape clauses and loop holes, as if they were terms of service agreements or dirty liar loan contracts. It all comes down to who is a better liar.
We have a principle agent problem that wont be solved by them.
Maybe we can make politicians sign a contract forcing them to quit, under certain terms…like Grover Norquist did, but with some teeth.
I think that’s a policy to keep Social Security funded as baby boomers move into retirement. More immigration is more downward pressure on labor. If they’re illegal- they’re an underclass built for exploitation.
Globalisers have to open the borders for labor if they are going to do it for capital.. or just call us plantation amerika.
Thanks, DDay. Helpful and informative on two empty suits blabbing.
The only sound bite I heard was Ryan being very whiney, imo, about how raising taxes on the poor benighted higher income earners as having almost NO impact on the deficit, etc. What a liar.
Although Biden apparently was good at rebutting Ryan’s nonsense, it’s more than disheartening to learn, unsurprisingly, that these 2 entitled & heavily subsidized officials had little to say about how to solve our nations problems, esp in re to jobs.
Clearly Biden & Ryan aren’t hurting, so: too bad, so sad, get used to it.
Wasting time endlessly dancing on a pinhead about taxes is futile. So. Sick. of. the. Kabuki. Show.
For some reason that picture makes it look like they’re on Celebrity Jeopardy
http://www.funnyordie.com/videos/25633d24e1/snl-celebrity-jeopardy-5-9-98
It doesn’t matter. After that performance last night, B and O will not get a chance to say anything about taxes. They’re out.
Democrats got what they wanted: something to boost up their base. The GOP got what they wanted: undecided voters.
Talk about unchained, Biden was unhinged. Most talk today, out side of here, is not about issues or taxes, but about Biden being unhinged. His behavior was the talk, not Obama or his policies or Romney, etc. A huge distraction.
It’s not that jobs aren’t sexy enough, it’s just that neither side has any real idea what to do.
Wait, they do, but they won’t do it.
You actually were paying attention to what VP Biden said?
And you’re worried he’s changing policy?
Now that’s funny!
Nobody in the White House takes the VP seriously.
Romney’s plan is really simple.
Step 1: get together with congress and figure out which tax deduction can be eliminated.
Step 2: whatever the amount of taxes that are increased by doing step 1, you then lower tax rates across the board until you are back at revenue neutral. Romney has estimated that would be 20% cut in tax rates, but a zero tax cut. This might only end up being a 4% tax rate cut, I seen a few reports put it at 8% to 12% then it gets very hard to reduce it and keep the revenue neutral part in place.
You may ask what’s the point of doing this? and that’s a very good question.
The answer is to lower all the tax rates as low as you can, so that businesses will know exactly how much their tax burden will be, and so they can then start adding jobs, and growing the economy. Also the Government will be better able to estimate the tax revenue coming in each year. He also wants to bring the corporate tax rate closer to the new personal tax rate.
This is really just tax reform, not tax cuts.
Now some people will pay more, and some people will pay less. The reason is that some people will have their loophole closed, and their taxes will increase in one area, but decrease in the overall rate. This change will make the tax system much more simple and fair.
So you see, it can be explained, but I personally don’t know if it would work to increase the growth rate, and really that’s the only way out of this mess, We need to grow our way out.
Excellent insight, DD.
IMO, they focus on taxing rather than job creating because they know how to tax without doing anything that the 1% of the 1% would even notice.
They don’t know how to create jobs without political blowback from the right, which seems to be the only direction either major Party cares about anymore.
And that last bit is due in no small part to the docility of left.