As we gaze at today’s payroll report, it’s worth pointing out how government policies have improved the numbers in relative terms. Not by putting more people back to work, but by putting more people into the uncounted shadows:
During a press conference demanding unemployment insurance be part of a fiscal cliff deal, Chuck Schumer noted that last December, 5 million Americans relied on federal unemployment insurance, while only 2 million currently do so. “It’s working,” he said.
Sure, fewer people are on unemployment because more people have jobs, but another reason fewer people are on benefits is that Congress slashed the number of weeks available back in February.
When you lose your unemployment benefits, you don’t necessarily drop out of the labor force, but it certainly concentrates the mind. It leads to things like going back to school and living on loans, or other labor force-removing actions. So yes, this makes the numbers look a bit prettier, but it doesn’t really help the jobless so much as it actively harms them.
In reality, there’s much more at stake in the expiration in unemployment benefits than Schumer makes it out to be, particularly because of the persistent elevation in long-term unemployment. Long-term unemployment, new research shows, wears at individual skills and risks putting people into a hole in terms of their employment capabilities out of which they cannot pull themselves. This has a measurable effect on the long-run economic prospects of the country. If we have this permanent underclass that cannot get work, it keeps more and more people out of the economy, and reduces overall growth.
As Paul Krugman says today, we just cannot forget these people:
Yet there is a whole industry built around the promotion of deficit panic. Lavishly funded corporate groups keep hyping the danger of government debt and the urgency of deficit reduction now now now — except that these same groups are suddenly warning against too much deficit reduction. No wonder the public is confused [...]
When you see numbers like those, bear in mind that we’re looking at millions of human tragedies: at individuals and families whose lives are falling apart because they can’t find work, at savings consumed, homes lost and dreams destroyed. And the longer this goes on, the bigger the tragedy.
There are also huge dollars-and-cents costs to our unmet jobs crisis. When willing workers endure forced idleness society as a whole suffers from the waste of their efforts and talents. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that what we are actually producing falls short of what we could and should be producing by around 6 percent of G.D.P., or $900 billion a year.
We have the capacity to fix this. But so far the political elites have refused to take action.




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Fix the
DebtDemand GapThey are not going to forget us. Especially when they are being eaten by us. By then, it is too late for them to do anything but wish they hadn’t been such f$ckers.
Well said.
Have long thought that NO ONE should be on unemployment for more than 16 weeks (4 months). Sound very conservative doesn’t it? But its not because on the 17th week you have choice of working for the gov. (CCC WPA type projects in every federal district or finding your own way.) The kicker? The wages paid would be 150% of your unemployment check or $15 per hour which ever is better. People don’t get off unemployment because it only makes economic sense to stay on the dole so to speak at say $250 per week instead of taking that Walmart job at $8.25 an hour $330 per week before taxes. If you took Walmart job then net difference is only 330-250 or $80 ($2 per hour) and that is BEFORE the tax bite. No one in their right mind goes for that deal.
Start paying a real wage and our unemployment problem goes away and it has to start with government. Its not like $15 is so pie in sky as that scale only works out to $31,200 per year but propose it and watch REPUBS shit themselves.
Next apply same theory to welfare and we end up with only people on welfare with true mental or physical handicaps. If there are people who are physically able to work but refuse to (that hypothetical taker group) then they are left to fend for themselves.
The safety net is there to help those who have been displaced by our economic system not be the catch all, end all as stated by the right. We might make real moves in real wages if we place and promote ideas like above as a way to get rid of welfare. The right might run to it and unwittingly help increase real wages to something above subsistence pay.
bk
playing with numbers
comparing civilian labor force to population over time
thousands
01/02 144 07/02 287
01/07 153 07/07 301
11/12 155 07/12 314
increases in laborforce — population
2002-2012
7.6% — 9.4%
difference
so laborforce increased 19% less than population increased in ten years ’02-’12
civilian labor force
http://data.bls.gov/pdq/SurveyOutputServlet?request_action=wh&graph_name=LN_cpsbref1
US population
http://www.multpl.com/united-states-population/table
“The Continuing Crisis of Long-Term Unemployment” — after a while it’s no longer a crisis but a fact of life and you don’t “fix it” by throwing more money at it. The situation is a function of American capitalism and government policy, supported by both look-alike political parties. People should stop complaining about it and learn how to cope with it because it is what it is.
Huh?
You are saying that since it hasn’t improved yet, we should stop trying or is it just “we won already, just suck it”?
There is a solution – a step in the right direction – towards solving the long term unemployment. It is called the Platform 2 Employment. Below is the text of a short blog post I made yesterday.
Remember those ’23 million unemployed and under-employed’ Americans that candidates across the aisle campaigned on for months on end? Now that the election is over, it seems everyone has forgotten about them; there’s hardly a word about the unemployed anymore.
Workplace, Inc, a CT non profit runs a program called Platform 2 Employment (P2E).
P2E is an 8-week internship program that’s designed specifically to help 99ers (people who have exhausted all ’99 weeks’ of UI benefits) re-enter the workforce.
Like thousands of others across the state, I was laid off from my job as an operations analyst in July, 2008 and, for the most part, have been unemployed or significantly under-employed ever since. P2E has been highly successful in helping 99ers re-enter the workforce (most of whom, like myself, are in their 40s & 50s).
The P2E program has been featured on 60 Minutes, not once, but twice – and touts a huge level of success: it has placed more than 70% of program participants into work experience programs, with nearly 90% of these individuals moving on to full-time employment.
The program is a public/private partnership in which companies who are looking to hire can participate. The wages earned by the employee (intern) during the 8-week internship are subsidized by P2E – as long as the company commits to hiring the individual into a permanent role following the 8-week internship, assuming there are no problems and it is a ‘good fit’ between the employee and the employer.
The program just received grant money from the AARP Foundation, the Walmart Foundation and Citi Community Development to expand the program in 10 cities across the country. This grant money is targeted specifically at long term unemployed veterans and ‘older’ job seekers aged 50 and older.
The folks at P2E are working hard to expand the program to all long term unemployed, including those under age 50 – but need help raising awareness about the program, and, obviously, finding additional funding sources which are needed in order for the program to be expanded so that more people can participate. They are hoping to be up and running here in Colorado in late spring.
This is a win-win for all parties: job seekers and employers who are looking (and willing to commit) to hire a qualified, proven, and long term unemployed candidate.
It seems to me that this is a program, a public/private partnership, that lawmakers, policy wonks and advocates from both sides of the aisle can and should support. There’s no better economic boost than to help move the educated, highly experienced and motivated folks out of the unemployment, government assistance lines and the uninsured emergency room & other health care lines – and into the tax-paying employment lines.
Maybe it’s possible that some funding could come from the Colorado Department of Labor & Employment – or from the general revenue fund?
P2E offers a solution that all interested parties can benefit from; a solution that all political parties can and should support. Here’s a chance for lawmaker’s from both sides of the spectrum to take a step toward solving this crisis (it is a crisis).
It’s also an opportunity for those same candidates who campaigned on the ’23 million’ jobless Americans to actually do something to help fix the problem. That is what they all campaigned on, right?
Unemployment may be something people are tired of hearing about; maybe it’s time to do something about it.
Kelly Wiedemer
Denver Unemployment Examiner
Fellow, 2012 Center for Progressive Leadership
“Long term unemployment” doesn’t end at getting a job. Which is another problem that needs to be added to the conversation. We have lost everything we worked so hard for over a period of years, some 20 years or more of sweat and labor, building annuity and/ or equity in a home etc. all is lost and we are forced to start over and if you have children it’s ten times harder. Plus, he first few years of re employment those paychecks you’ve been longing for are not yours, they go to creditors who have been chasing us for the last 3 years. They are relentless. Lets not forget the PTSD that occurs as well. It’s an ongoing issue. The scars are permanent
Are you kidding me??
The answers are all obvious — and being ignored —
and the public has no leverage over our government because
votes don’t count in the long run, only corporate/wealth
power counts now.
True, corporate money still couldn’t quite buy the 2012
election, but it doesn’t matter because they own and control
our Congress and our president which guarantees that the
public will continue to be ignored.
If we had a people’s government working in the public
interest, we’d have universal health care and Social Security
where the COLA’s would truly reflect the inflationary damage
done to the dollar – and the FICA rates would be raised on wealthy.
What we are actually talking about in all of this is corrupt
government — government wich is actually organized crime — much
as capitalism is.
Unregulated capitalism is merely organized crime.