Photobucket

Poll From Drudge Report

Is Speaker Boehner in trouble?

Conservative media mogul Matt Drudge, of the Drudge Report, has been running a poll since yesterday about whether John Boehner should remain speaker. Currently over 420,000 people have voted 84% against Boehner.

This as the House prepares to vote today for Speaker.

Conservative media outlet Breitbart.com is reporting that some conservatives in the House Republican caucus believe they have the votes to dump Boehner:

The Speaker of the House will be elected today and some conservatives believe they have the votes necessary to oust John Boehner. In an appearance on CNBC, American Majority Action spokesman Ron Meyer said there are more than 20 House Republicans willing to vote for someone other than Boehner on Thursday when the 113th Congress convenes to elect a Speaker. Another source from a different organization has similarly confirmed that more than 20 have planned to oppose Boehner….

Despite rumors that he might do so, Boehner did not resign at a Republican conference meeting Wednesday night.

The reason why some, including Landry, thought Boehner would resign Wednesday is because that group of members supposedly approached Boehner and offered him a way to avoid the public fight that will likely take place on Thursday. An emergency Republican conference meeting was called on Wednesday evening and Boehner’s decision not to resign sent a message to those who want to unseat him that he believes he will survive tomorrow’s vote.

Another issue is it is not enough to simply remove Boehner, there has to be a replacement. And Eric Cantor’s no vote on the fiscal cliff deal is indicating to some that he may want the job:

House speakers typically don’t even vote at all unless it is necessary to break a tie. So it may have been a clarifying moment when speaker of the House John Boehner and House majority leader Eric Cantor parted ways on the deal that ended the long national nightmare known as the fiscal cliff. Boehner voted for the bipartisan agreement negotiated between Vice-President Joe Biden and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell; Cantor breathed the final moments of life into the opposition.

In fact, the House Republican leadership team split right down the middle on the legislation. House majority whip Kevin McCarthy voted against; House Republican conference chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers sided with Boehner and voted in favor…

Cantor had tried to establish himself as the right flank of the debt ceiling negotiations in the summer of 2011, famously irritating the president. But many conservatives regarded this as ambition talking more than principle. When the majority leader said out loud what most Republicans were thinking about the fiscal cliff bill, however, there was admiration.

One thing is clear, even if Boehner can maintain his position he is going to have continual difficulty finding consensus on compromise legislation.