I’ve been saying this since last night, and now Brian Beutler has picked it up, but the media has decided to run with the “health care reform is doomed” message, when the fact of the matter is that, in the two races where people will vote on health care is concerned, the supporters of reform [...]

So, you might have noticed that I took an interest in the elections last night. The scoreboard was that Democrats lost the Governor’s races in New Jersey and Virginia, won a nice pickup in NY-23 where they hdn’t been in office since 1871 and took a seat in CA-10 with an ideological shift toward a [...]

Sorry, I’m on the radio right now. More updates at the top of the hour. But Bill Owens looks pretty good to win that seat in NY-23, making him potentially the first Democrat representing that area since Reconstruction. …The Mayor of Watertown, who endorsed Hoffman, says, “it’s over.” Surprises all over the map tonight. Meanwhile, [...]

The only call we have is in VA-Gov; Bob McDonnell (R) has won. NJ-Gov (29% reporting): Christie 50% Corzine 43% Daggett 5% Very low numbers for Daggett. He didn’t hold his voters. Maine Question 1 (5% reporting): No 54.48% Yes 45.52% NY-23: no returns yet, but the polls have closed. CA-10: polls close at 11PM [...]

Polls close at this hour in New Jersey and Maine. Leaked exit polls show New Jersey to be basically a tie, FWIW. There are no exit polls out of Maine. Virginia remains too early to call, which shocks me. The networks are being ultra-cautious. The latest numbers: 26.19% reporting McDonnell (R) 62.86% Deeds (D) 37.03% [...]

The polls close in Virginia at 7:00 ET. The reports show light turnout, seen as a boost for Bob McDonnell, who doesn’t really need a boost. I’d expect a call on this race within minutes of the polls closing. Actual results can be found here. NBC News has released some exit poll information: Obama’s approval [...]

The AP’s Liz “Donuts” Sidoti has a conventional wisdom article out today about the 2009 Election, and not until paragraph six, as an afterthought, is one of the bigger races mentioned: Elsewhere, California Lt. Gov. John Garamendi is expected to maintain the Democratic Party’s hold on the open 10th Congressional District seat near San Francisco, [...]

For those of you scoring at home, I thought I’d lay out exactly what the major races are next Tuesday, November 3. From Maine to California, New Jersey to Washington state, there are several significant races on the ballot, all of which will be spun by Democrats and Republicans as indicative of the national mood. [...]