Berlusconi’s Return Roils Italian Markets

By: Monday December 10, 2012 10:08 am

Markets in Italy are freaking out today, mainly because of the pronouncement of one man, Silvio Berlusconi. The former Prime Minister plans to run for office yet another time, and Mario Monti, the current caretaker leader, has resigned, setting up new elections probably in February.

The Housing Cliff

By: Monday December 10, 2012 7:45 am

Forgive me if I slip into some cliff metaphors for the next few posts, but the employment of the tool actually makes more sense in this context. The fact is that the expiration of the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act, as explained by Adam Levin of Credit.com, represents a real threat to a nascent housing [...]

Consumer Confidence Starts to Drop

By: Friday December 7, 2012 11:45 am

This chart, which plots consumer confidence against incidences of news stories about the fiscal slope, finally shows the consumer affected by the uncertainty and fear from Congressional action (or lack thereof) tanking the economy. Since the summer, the consumer has been buoyed by a number of factors, including a recovery in housing prices and incremental [...]

The Continuing Crisis of Long-Term Unemployment

By: Friday December 7, 2012 9:15 am

As we gaze at today’s payroll report, it’s worth pointing out how government policies have improved the numbers in relative terms. Not by putting more people back to work, but by putting more people into the uncounted shadows: During a press conference demanding unemployment insurance be part of a fiscal cliff deal, Chuck Schumer noted [...]

Unemployment Rate Drops as Economy Adds 146,000 Jobs in November

By: Friday December 7, 2012 6:18 am

The US economy proved surprisingly resilient in preliminary November job numbers, despite the effects of Hurricane Sandy, posting a gain of 146,000 jobs, and a drop in the topline unemployment rate to 7.7%. However, because of Sandy we should expect substantial revision to the numbers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics claims that their survey response [...]

Austerity Still Taking a Bite Out of Europe

By: Wednesday December 5, 2012 8:30 am

While debating how much austerity outside of the magic no-budgetary-impact spending on the Pentagonto enact, the United States could take a lesson from, well, from the rest of the developed world. The relative lack of austerity in the US compared to Britain and the rest of Europe led to better economic performance (and it’s important [...]

Poll: Public Will Blame Republicans If Country Starts Down the Fiscal Slope

By: Tuesday December 4, 2012 10:00 am

Republicans have enough problems dealing with their own internal insurgencies, but it should be explained that their biggest problem in the fiscal slope negotiations is that the public is poised to blame them if things go awry. Four-in-ten (40%) expect that the president and congressional Republicans will reach a deal by Jan. 1 to prevent [...]

The Best Antidote for the Deficit and the Economy: More Public Investment

By: Friday November 30, 2012 11:31 am

Zach Carter has a nice list of strategies that would save money for the government’s bottom line without having to either raise taxes or reduce social insurance benefits. They all have a degree of positive benefits to them, from prison reform to ending the drug war (those two are related) to cracking down on offshore [...]

Eurozone Unemployment Rises to New Highs

By: Friday November 30, 2012 9:15 am

Joblessness in the Eurozone reached new highs in October, with 11.7% of the population in the member states out of work. This compares to a 10.4% unemployment rate just a year ago. And inflation has slowed, suggesting that consumer spending activity has weakened even further. 23.9% of young people under 25 are unemployed. There’s considerable [...]

US GDP Rises to 2.7%

By: Thursday November 29, 2012 6:59 am

The Commerce Department revised its estimate of GDP in the third quarter up to 2.7%, a substantial gain from the initial estimate and an indication that the economy grew at a solid clip in the months leading up to the Presidential election, putting wind at the back of President Obama. This represents the fastest economic [...]

Contra the Deficit Scolds, We Can Keep Medicare and Medicaid Strong Simply By Keeping Them Intact

By: Wednesday November 28, 2012 1:10 pm

This diatribe bestowed upon Rep. Raul Grijalva on CNBC, which has become Fiscal Cliff TV, is really priceless, with the anchor accusing Grijalva of tanking the market because he refuses to cut benefits for poor people and seniors. The means testing angle is really a joke here, too. Medicare is already means-tested. To means-test it [...]

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