The Narrative Is That There Is No Narrative

By: David Dayen Wednesday November 4, 2009 7:08 am

So, you might have noticed that I took an interest in the elections last night. The scoreboard was that Democrats lost the Governor’s races in New Jersey and Virginia, won a nice pickup in NY-23 where they hdn’t been in office since 1871 and took a seat in CA-10 with an ideological shift toward a [...]

Election Night Thread #4

By: David Dayen Tuesday November 3, 2009 7:46 pm

Sorry, I’m on the radio right now. More updates at the top of the hour. But Bill Owens looks pretty good to win that seat in NY-23, making him potentially the first Democrat representing that area since Reconstruction. …The Mayor of Watertown, who endorsed Hoffman, says, “it’s over.” Surprises all over the map tonight. Meanwhile, [...]

Election Night Thread #3

By: David Dayen Tuesday November 3, 2009 6:15 pm

The only call we have is in VA-Gov; Bob McDonnell (R) has won. NJ-Gov (29% reporting): Christie 50% Corzine 43% Daggett 5% Very low numbers for Daggett. He didn’t hold his voters. Maine Question 1 (5% reporting): No 54.48% Yes 45.52% NY-23: no returns yet, but the polls have closed. CA-10: polls close at 11PM [...]

Election Night Thread #2

By: David Dayen Tuesday November 3, 2009 5:00 pm

Polls close at this hour in New Jersey and Maine. Leaked exit polls show New Jersey to be basically a tie, FWIW. There are no exit polls out of Maine. Virginia remains too early to call, which shocks me. The networks are being ultra-cautious. The latest numbers: 26.19% reporting McDonnell (R) 62.86% Deeds (D) 37.03% [...]

Election Night Thread #1

By: David Dayen Tuesday November 3, 2009 3:51 pm

The polls close in Virginia at 7:00 ET. The reports show light turnout, seen as a boost for Bob McDonnell, who doesn’t really need a boost. I’d expect a call on this race within minutes of the polls closing. Actual results can be found here. NBC News has released some exit poll information: Obama’s approval [...]

NJ-Gov: Polls Extremely Tight

By: David Dayen Monday November 2, 2009 11:08 am

The new polls in the New Jersey Governor’s race have good news for Chris Christie and Jon Corzine, depending on which one you read. Quinnipiac: Christie 42, Corzine 40, Daggett 12 Survey USA: Christie 45, Corzine 42, Daggett 10 Monmouth: Corzine 43, Christie 41, Daggett 8 Democracy Corps: Corzine 41, Christie 37, Daggett 15 Every [...]

Late Public Policy Polling Outlooks Assume Very Conservative Electorate

By: David Dayen Monday November 2, 2009 6:38 am

Public Policy Polling released a spate of polls last night, all of which you can find on their blog. There’s absolutely no good news in them for Democrats and their supporters. They showed Bob McDonnell holding a comfortable 56-42 lead in VA-Gov, Chris Christie surging late to a 47-41 lead in NJ-Gov, Question 1 winning [...]

Election 2009: The (Quasi)-National Landscape

By: David Dayen Wednesday October 28, 2009 6:00 am

For those of you scoring at home, I thought I’d lay out exactly what the major races are next Tuesday, November 3. From Maine to California, New Jersey to Washington state, there are several significant races on the ballot, all of which will be spun by Democrats and Republicans as indicative of the national mood. [...]

Bifurcation Between NJ and VA Polls Show Difference In Playing To Base

By: David Dayen Tuesday October 27, 2009 9:53 am

There’s a week to go in the key gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia. A Democratic Governor’s Association conference call yesterday sought to manage expectations, saying that the party out of the White House has come back to win both governorships in five straight elections, and if Republicans lose one of these races they [...]

NJ-Gov: Corzine 42, Christie 33 In New Poll

By: David Dayen Monday October 26, 2009 8:44 am

The latest poll from Suffolk University shows Democrat Jon Corzine pulling away in the New Jersey Governor’s race, holding a 42-33 lead over Republican Chris Christie, with independent Chris Daggett receiving just 7% of the vote, far less than other polls show. Unlike other polls, the Suffolk poll reflected the actual number of candidates that [...]

NJ-Gov: Corzine Takes Slight Lead

By: David Dayen Thursday October 22, 2009 7:29 am

The latest poll from New Jersey has both major-party candidates under 40% with independent Chris Daggett rising to 20% for the first time. But the poll also shows Gov. Jon Corzine with a three-point lead, 39-36, over Chris Christie. Christie has been dogged this week by that New York Times report showing the US Attorney [...]

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