Liveblog: Wisconsin Recall

By: Tuesday June 5, 2012 5:22 pm

The turnout numbers in Wisconsin have been percolating all day, and this has continued as we near the close of the polls. Turnout all over the state is coming in extremely high, as voters register either their support or discontent with Scott Walker. There’s talk of turnout exceeding 100% in Dane County, home to Madison. [...]

High Turnout in Key Areas in Wisconsin

By: Tuesday June 5, 2012 12:14 pm

I’ve been saying for a while that turnout would be the X factor in the Wisconsin recall, particularly in the heavily Democratic areas of Madison and Milwaukee. The Government Accountability Board predicted near-Presidential level turnout of around 60-65% a few days ago. But even the preparations made for those numbers have been insufficient: Heavy turnout [...]

Turnout Key Factor in Scott Walker Recall in Wisconsin

By: Saturday June 2, 2012 8:23 am

The recall election in Wisconsin between Gov. Scott Walker and Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett finally reached the level of attention you would expect from the biggest campaign in the country in 2012, save the Presidential race. A high-profile debate on Thursday led to the powerful exchange above, with the signature line from Barrett, “I have [...]

WI-Gov: Signs of a Tightening Recall Race

By: Wednesday May 30, 2012 9:35 am

There has been a split between the public polling and the internal polling in the recall of Scott Walker. As you can naturally expect, internal polling on the Democratic side shows a closer race. And that continues today with a poll from Celinda Lake showing a dead heat between Walker and Milwaukee mayor Tom Barrett, [...]

GOTV Essential to Recall Efforts in Wisconsin

By: Tuesday August 9, 2011 8:15 am

WisPolitics has their final ratings out in the Wisconsin recall elections, and they see it this way: two going to the Democrats, two going to the Republicans, and two toss-ups. One of those Democratic races, the Randy Hopper-Jessica King race, was seen as basically a toss-up in polls yesterday, so it could be that there [...]

Waukesha County Clerk Finds Votes for Brookfield on Her PC, Adds Over 7,500 Votes to Prosser’s Total

By: Thursday April 7, 2011 5:30 pm

In a dramatic turnaround in a state Supreme Court election full of dramatic turnarounds in Wisconsin, Waukesha County’s clerk has announced that due to human error, vote totals for the city of Brookfield had not been included in the final totals for her county. The resultant addition added a net of 7,583 votes to David [...]

The Youth Vote: Still Pro-Democratic, Turnout Average for a Midterm Election

By: Wednesday November 3, 2010 8:20 am

I mentioned this before, but a lot of losses for Democrats were baked into the cake last night simply because of the relative age of a midterm electorate. In the modern, non-Boll Weevil Democrat era, we’ve seen two midterms for a Democratic President that were absolute slaughters. The midterms for Republican Presidents were occasionally bad, [...]

Beware of Hopes Driven By Turnout

By: Tuesday November 2, 2010 12:29 pm

Based on the anecdata I’m seeing, voter turnout is fairly high for a midterm election for the most part. (Not in New Orleans, where there’s a monsoon.) The conventional wisdom is that high turnout helps Democrats, and I’d be willing to grant that. But WHERE the turnout is coming from matters, too. For instance, elevated [...]

Foreclosure Crisis Speaks Volumes About Voter Frustration

By: Tuesday November 2, 2010 10:27 am

Arthur Delaney found one woman in Colorado who won’t be, er, updating her Facebook status with “I Voted” anytime soon. She’s an overnight stocker at Wal-Mart who found herself in trouble with her mortgage: “Why even bother? They’re not for us. Us working stiffs don’t stand a chance,” Cooks told HuffPost. “I said I would [...]

2010 Midterms Determined By Non-Voters More Than Voters

By: Monday November 1, 2010 10:02 am

You read the pre-post-mortems on the midterm elections today and you see a clear set of frustrations bubble to the surface. Young voters are mad that their concerns and perspective has not been addressed in the first two years of the Obama presidency. Voters in the Midwest look around their bleak economic landscape and cast [...]

Republican GOTV: Voter Suppression Through Bogus Fraud Claims

By: Tuesday October 26, 2010 12:28 pm

I’ve received some interesting responses from my ground game post. Atrios sees positives in the fact that Republicans seemingly have had no coordinated voter registration strategy this cycle, and have appeared to rely on organic changes in the national environment rather than GOTV. Those organic changes probably mean more overall than turnout, but turnout can [...]

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